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Time-specific variation in passerine nest survival: new insights for old questions

Auk

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Abstract

Nest survival likely varies with nest age and date, but until recently researchers had only limited tools to efficiently address those sources of variability. Beginning with Mayfield (1961), many researchers have averaged survival rates within time-specific categories (e.g. egg and nestling stages; early and late nesting dates). However, Mayfield's estimator assumes constant survival within categories, and violations of that assumption can lead to biased estimates. We used the logistic-exposure method to examine nest survival as a function of nest age and date in Clay-colored Sparrows (Spizella pallida) and Vesper Sparrows (Pooecetes gramineus) breeding in north-central North Dakota. Daily survival rates increased during egg laying, decreased during incubation to a low shortly after hatch, and then increased during brood rearing in both species. Variation in survival with nest age suggests that traditional categorical averaging using Mayfield's or similar methods would have been inappropriate for this study; similar variation may bias results of other studies. Nest survival also varied with date. For both species, survival was high during the peak of nest initiations in late May and early June and declined throughout the remainder of the nesting season. Models of nest survival that incorporate time-specific information may provide insights that are unavailable from averaged data.

Additional Publication Details

Publication type:
Article
Publication Subtype:
Journal Article
Title:
Time-specific variation in passerine nest survival: new insights for old questions
Series title:
Auk
Volume
122
Issue:
2
Year Published:
2005
Language:
English
Description:
p. 661-672
Larger Work Type:
Article
Larger Work Subtype:
Journal Article
First page:
661
Last page:
672
Number of Pages:
11