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Aggregation methodology for the circum-arctic resource appraisal

Mathematical Geosciences

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Abstract

This paper presents a methodology that intends to aggregate the results of a recent assessment of undiscovered conventional oil and gas resources of the Arctic by the U.S. Geological Survey. The assessment occurred in 48 geologically defined regions called assessment units. The methodology includes using assessor specified pair-wise correlations as the basis to construct a correlation matrix. Sampling from this matrix generates more realistic uncertainty estimates of aggregated resources than if assumptions of total independence or total dependence are made. The latter two assumptions result in overly narrow or overly broad estimates. Aggregation results for resources in regions north of the Arctic Circle are presented.

Additional Publication Details

Publication type:
Article
Publication Subtype:
Journal Article
Title:
Aggregation methodology for the circum-arctic resource appraisal
Series title:
Mathematical Geosciences
Volume
42
Issue:
5
Year Published:
2009
Language:
English
Publisher:
Springer
Publisher location:
Netherlands
Contributing office(s):
Geology and Geophysics Science Center
Description:
12 p.
Larger Work Type:
Article
Larger Work Subtype:
Journal Article
Larger Work Title:
Mathematical Geosciences
First page:
583
Last page:
594
Other Geospatial:
Arctic Circle