| Abstract: | This paper presents a methodology that intends to aggregate the results of a recent assessment of undiscovered conventional oil and gas resources of the Arctic by the U.S. Geological Survey. The assessment occurred in 48 geologically defined regions called assessment units. The methodology includes using assessor specified pair-wise correlations as the basis to construct a correlation matrix. Sampling from this matrix generates more realistic uncertainty estimates of aggregated resources than if assumptions of total independence or total dependence are made. The latter two assumptions result in overly narrow or overly broad estimates. Aggregation results for resources in regions north of the Arctic Circle are presented. |
| Genre: | Article |
| ProdID: | 70004471 |
| Citation Author: | Schuenemeyer, John H.; Gautier, Donald L. |
| Citation Contributing Office: | Geology and Geophysics Science Center |
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| Citation End Page: | 594 |
| Citation Issue: | 5 |
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| Citation Language: | English |
| Citation Larger Work Title: | Mathematical Geosciences |
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| Citation Phsyical Description: | 12 p. |
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| Citation Publisher: | Springer |
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| Citation Search Results Text: | Aggregation methodology for the circum-arctic resource appraisal; 2009; Article; Journal; Mathematical Geosciences; Schuenemeyer, John H.; Gautier, Donald L. |
| Citation Start Page: | 583 |
| Citation Volume: | 42 |
| Citation Year: | 2009 |
| Type: | citation/reference |
| Text: | Aggregation methodology for the circum-arctic resource appraisal; 2009; Article; Journal; Mathematical Geosciences; Schuenemeyer, John H.; Gautier, Donald L. |
| URL (THUMBNAIL): | http://pubs.er.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg |
| URL (INDEX PAGE): | http://www.springerlink.com/content/7302833v6ln74x37/ |
| Date Other: | Wed, 22 Jun 2011 13:50 -0500 |
| Publisher: | Springer |
