| Abstract: | The effect of serial dependence on the reliability of an estimate of the T-yr. event is of importance in hydrology because design decisions are based upon the estimate. In this paper the reliability of estimates of the T-yr. event from two common distributions is given as a function of number of observations and lag-one serial correlation coefficient for T = 2, 10, 20, 50, and 100 yr. A lag-one autoregressive model is assumed with either a normal or Pearson Type-III disturbance term. Results indicate that, if observations are serially correlated, the effective record length should be used to estimate the discharge associated with the expected exceedance probability. ?? 1983. |
| Genre: | Article |
| ProdID: | 70011628 |
| Citation Author: | Tasker, G. D. |
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| Citation End Page: | 47 |
| Citation Issue: | 1-4 |
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| Citation Language: | English |
| Citation Larger Work Title: | Journal of Hydrology |
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| Citation Number Of Pages: | 9 |
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| Citation Search Results Text: | Effective record length for the T-year event; 1983; Article; Journal; Journal of Hydrology; Tasker, G. D. |
| Citation Start Page: | 39 |
| Citation Volume: | 64 |
| Citation Year: | 1983 |
| Type: | citation/reference |
| Text: | Effective record length for the T-year event; 1983; Article; Journal; Journal of Hydrology; Tasker, G. D. |
| URL (THUMBNAIL): | http://pubs.er.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg |
| Date Other: | Sat, 1 Jan 1983 00:00 -0600 |
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