| Abstract: | A new channel dynamics scheme ASPIRE (alternative system predictor in real time), designed specifically for real-time river flow forecasting, is introduced to reduce uncertainty in the forecast. ASPIRE is a storage routing model that limits the influence of catchment model forecast errors to the downstream station closest to the catchment. Comparisons with the Muskingum routing scheme in field tests suggest that the ASPIRE scheme can provide more accurate forecasts, probably because discharge observations are used to a maximum advantage and routing reaches (and model errors in each reach) are uncoupled. Using ASPIRE in conjunction with the Kalman filter did not improve forecast accuracy relative to a deterministic updating procedure. Theoretical analysis suggests that this is due to a large process noise to measurement noise ratio. -Authors |
| Genre: | Article |
| ProdID: | 70015839 |
| Citation Author: | Hoos, A. B.; Koussis, A. D.; Beale, G. O. |
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| Citation End Page: | 705 |
| Citation Issue: | 4 |
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| Citation Language: | English |
| Citation Larger Work Title: | Water Resources Research |
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| Citation Number Of Pages: | 15 |
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| Citation Search Results Text: | A channel dynamics model for real-time flood forecasting; 1989; Article; Journal; Water Resources Research; Hoos, A. B.; Koussis, A. D.; Beale, G. O. |
| Citation Start Page: | 691 |
| Citation Volume: | 25 |
| Citation Year: | 1989 |
| Type: | citation/reference |
| Text: | A channel dynamics model for real-time flood forecasting; 1989; Article; Journal; Water Resources Research; Hoos, A. B.; Koussis, A. D.; Beale, G. O. |
| URL (THUMBNAIL): | http://pubs.er.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg |
| Date Other: | Sun, 1 Jan 1989 00:00 -0600 |
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