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Forecasting damaging earthquakes in the central and eastern United States

Science

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Abstract

Analysis of seismograph network data, earthquake catalogs from 1727 to 1982, and paleoseismic data for the central and eastern United States indicate that the Poisson probability of a damaging earthquake (magnitude ??? 6.0) occurring during the next 30 years is at a moderate to high level (0.4 to 0.6). When differences in seismic wave attenuation are taken into account, the central and eastern United States has approximately two-thirds the likelihood of California to produce an earthquake with comparable damage area and societal impact within the next 30 years.

Additional Publication Details

Publication type:
Article
Publication Subtype:
Journal Article
Title:
Forecasting damaging earthquakes in the central and eastern United States
Series title:
Science
Volume
249
Issue:
4975
Year Published:
1990
Language:
English
Larger Work Type:
Article
Larger Work Subtype:
Journal Article
First page:
1412
Last page:
1416
Number of Pages:
5