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Oil, gas field growth projections: Wishful thinking or reality?

Oil and Gas Journal

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Abstract

The observed `field growth' for the period from 1992 through 1996 with the US Geological Survey's (USGS) predicted field growth for the same period are compared. Known field recovery of field size is defined as the sum of past cumulative field production and the field's proved reserves. Proved reserves are estimated quantities of hydrocarbons which geologic and engineering data demonstrate with reasonable certainty to recoverable from known fields under existing economic and operating conditions. Proved reserve estimates calculated with this definition are typically conservative. The modeling approach used by the USGS to characterize `field growth phenomena' is statistical rather that geologic in nature.

Additional Publication Details

Publication type:
Article
Publication Subtype:
Journal Article
Title:
Oil, gas field growth projections: Wishful thinking or reality?
Series title:
Oil and Gas Journal
Volume
97
Issue:
14
Year Published:
1999
Language:
English
Publisher:
PennWell Publ Co
Publisher location:
Tulsa, OK, United States
Larger Work Type:
Article
Larger Work Subtype:
Journal Article
Larger Work Title:
Oil and Gas Journal