| Abstract: | Using a global model of continental water balance, forced by interannual variations in precipitation and near-surface atmospheric temperature for the period 1981-1998, we estimate the sea-level changes associated with climate-driven changes in storage of water as snowpack, soil water, and ground water; storage in ice sheets and large lakes is not considered. The 1981-1998 trend is estimated to be 0.12 mm/yr, and substantial interannual fluctuations are inferred; for 1993-1998, the trend is 0.25 mm/yr. At the decadal time scale, the terrestrial contribution to eustatic (i.e., induced by mass exchange) sea-level rise is significantly smaller than the estimated steric (i.e., induced by density changes) trend for the same period, but is not negligibly small. In the model the sea-level rise is driven mainly by a downtrend in continental precipitation during the study period, which we believe was generated by natural variability in the climate system. |
| Genre: | Article |
| ProdID: | 70025324 |
| Citation Author: | Milly, P. C. D.; Cazenave, A.; Gennero, M. C. |
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| Citation End Page: | 13161 |
| Citation Issue: | 23 |
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| Citation Language: | English |
| Citation Larger Work Title: | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America |
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| Citation Number Of Pages: | 4 |
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| Citation Search Results Text: | Contribution of climate-driven change in continental water storage to recent sea-level rise; 2003; Article; Journal; Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America; Milly, P. C. D.; Cazenave, A.; Gennero, M. C. |
| Citation Start Page: | 13158 |
| Citation Volume: | 100 |
| Citation Year: | 2003 |
| Type: | citation/reference |
| Text: | Contribution of climate-driven change in continental water storage to recent sea-level rise; 2003; Article; Journal; Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America; Milly, P. C. D.; Cazenave, A.; Gennero, M. C. |
| URL (THUMBNAIL): | http://pubs.er.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg |
| URL (DIGITAL OBJECT IDENTIFIER): | http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2134014100 |
| Date Other: | Wed, 1 Jan 2003 00:00 -0600 |
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