Designing and implementing a regional urban modeling system using the SLEUTH cellular urban model

Computers, Environment and Urban Systems
By: , and 

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Abstract

This paper presents a fine-scale (30 meter resolution) regional land cover modeling system, based on the SLEUTH cellular automata model, that was developed for a 257000 km2 area comprising the Chesapeake Bay drainage basin in the eastern United States. As part of this effort, we developed a new version of the SLEUTH model (SLEUTH-3r), which introduces new functionality and fit metrics that substantially increase the performance and applicability of the model. In addition, we developed methods that expand the capability of SLEUTH to incorporate economic, cultural and policy information, opening up new avenues for the integration of SLEUTH with other land-change models. SLEUTH-3r is also more computationally efficient (by a factor of 5) and uses less memory (reduced 65%) than the original software. With the new version of SLEUTH, we were able to achieve high accuracies at both the aggregate level of 15 sub-regional modeling units and at finer scales. We present forecasts to 2030 of urban development under a current trends scenario across the entire Chesapeake Bay drainage basin, and three alternative scenarios for a sub-region within the Chesapeake Bay watershed to illustrate the new ability of SLEUTH-3r to generate forecasts across a broad range of conditions.

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Designing and implementing a regional urban modeling system using the SLEUTH cellular urban model
Series title Computers, Environment and Urban Systems
DOI 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2009.08.003
Volume 34
Issue 1
Year Published 2010
Language English
Publisher Elsevier
Description 16 p.
First page 1
Last page 16
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