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Ensemble habitat mapping of invasive plant species

Risk Analysis

By:
, , , , , ,
DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01343.x

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Abstract

Ensemble species distribution models combine the strengths of several species environmental matching models, while minimizing the weakness of any one model. Ensemble models may be particularly useful in risk analysis of recently arrived, harmful invasive species because species may not yet have spread to all suitable habitats, leaving species-environment relationships difficult to determine. We tested five individual models (logistic regression, boosted regression trees, random forest, multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), and maximum entropy model or Maxent) and ensemble modeling for selected nonnative plant species in Yellowstone and Grand Teton National Parks, Wyoming; Sequoia and Kings Canyon National Parks, California, and areas of interior Alaska. The models are based on field data provided by the park staffs, combined with topographic, climatic, and vegetation predictors derived from satellite data. For the four invasive plant species tested, ensemble models were the only models that ranked in the top three models for both field validation and test data. Ensemble models may be more robust than individual species-environment matching models for risk analysis. ?? 2010 Society for Risk Analysis.

Additional Publication Details

Publication type:
Article
Publication Subtype:
Journal Article
Title:
Ensemble habitat mapping of invasive plant species
Series title:
Risk Analysis
DOI:
10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01343.x
Volume
30
Issue:
2
Year Published:
2010
Language:
English
Larger Work Type:
Article
Larger Work Subtype:
Journal Article
First page:
224
Last page:
235
Number of Pages:
12