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Scenarios of land use and land cover change in the conterminous United States: Utilizing the special report on emission scenarios at ecoregional scales

Global Environmental Change

By:
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DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.03.008

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Abstract

Global environmental change scenarios have typically provided projections of land use and land cover for a relatively small number of regions or using a relatively coarse resolution spatial grid, and for only a few major sectors. The coarseness of global projections, in both spatial and thematic dimensions, often limits their direct utility at scales useful for environmental management. This paper describes methods to downscale projections of land-use and land-cover change from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Special Report on Emission Scenarios to ecological regions of the conterminous United States, using an integrated assessment model, land-use histories, and expert knowledge. Downscaled projections span a wide range of future potential conditions across sixteen land use/land cover sectors and 84 ecological regions, and are logically consistent with both historical measurements and SRES characteristics. Results appear to provide a credible solution for connecting regionalized projections of land use and land cover with existing downscaled climate scenarios, under a common set of scenario-based socioeconomic assumptions.

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Additional Publication Details

Publication type:
Article
Publication Subtype:
Journal Article
Title:
Scenarios of land use and land cover change in the conterminous United States: Utilizing the special report on emission scenarios at ecoregional scales
Series title:
Global Environmental Change
DOI:
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.03.008
Volume
22
Issue:
4
Year Published:
2012
Language:
English
Publisher:
Elsevier
Publisher location:
Amsterdam, Netherlands
Contributing office(s):
Western Geographic Science Center
Description:
19 p.
Larger Work Type:
Article
Larger Work Subtype:
Journal Article
Larger Work Title:
Global Environmental Change
First page:
896
Last page:
914
Number of Pages:
19
Country:
United States