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Improving PAGER's real-time earthquake casualty and loss estimation toolkit: a challenge

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Abstract

We describe the on-going developments of PAGER’s loss estimation models, and discuss value-added web content that can be generated related to exposure, damage and loss outputs for a variety of PAGER users. These developments include identifying vulnerable building types in any given area, estimating earthquake-induced damage and loss statistics by building type, and developing visualization aids that help locate areas of concern for improving post-earthquake response efforts. While detailed exposure and damage information is highly useful and desirable, significant improvements are still necessary in order to improve underlying building stock and vulnerability data at a global scale. Existing efforts with the GEM’s GED4GEM and GVC consortia will help achieve some of these objectives. This will benefit PAGER especially in regions where PAGER’s empirical model is less-well constrained; there, the semi-empirical and analytical models will provide robust estimates of damage and losses. Finally, we outline some of the challenges associated with rapid casualty and loss estimation that we experienced while responding to recent large earthquakes worldwide.

Additional Publication Details

Publication type:
Conference Paper
Publication Subtype:
Conference Paper
Title:
Improving PAGER's real-time earthquake casualty and loss estimation toolkit: a challenge
Year Published:
2012
Language:
English
Publisher:
IEM
Contributing office(s):
Geologic Hazards Science Center
Description:
10 p.
Larger Work Type:
Book
Larger Work Subtype:
Conference publication
Larger Work Title:
The 15th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering: September 24-28, 2012, Lisbon, Portugal