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2013 Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia Forecast

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Abstract

The Gulf of Mexico annual summer hypoxia forecasts are based on average May total nitrogen loads from the Mississippi River basin for that year. The load estimate, recently released by USGS, is 7,316 metric tons per day. Based on that estimate, we predict the area of this summer’s hypoxic zone to be 18,900 square kilometers (95% credible interval, 13,400 to 24,200), the 7th largest reported and about the size of New Jersey. Our forecast hypoxic volume is 74.5 km3 (95% credible interval, 51.5 to 97.0), also the 7th largest on record.

Additional Publication Details

Publication type:
Report
Publication Subtype:
Other Government Series
Title:
2013 Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia Forecast
Year Published:
2013
Language:
English
Publisher:
University of Michigan
Publisher location:
Ann Arbor, MI
Number of Pages:
6