| Abstract: | Each day, the U.S. Geological Survey produces 7-day forecasts for all Federal lands of the distributions of number of ignitions, number of fires above a given size, and conditional probabilities of fires growing larger than a specified size. The large fire probability map is an estimate of the likelihood that ignitions will become large fires. The large fire forecast map is a probability estimate of the number of fires on federal lands exceeding 100 acres in the forthcoming week. The ignition forecast map is a probability estimate of the number of fires on Federal land greater than 1 acre in the forthcoming week. The extreme event forecast is the probability estimate of the number of fires on Federal land that may exceed 5,000 acres in the forthcoming week. |
| Genre: | USGS Numbered Series |
| ProdID: | 70040523 |
| Citation Author: | Eidenshink, Jeff C.; Howard, Stephen M. |
| Citation Contributing Office: | Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center |
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| Citation Language: | English |
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| Citation LatN: | 49.383333 |
| Citation LatS: | 24.500000 |
| Citation LonE: | -66.95000 |
| Citation LonW: | -124.800000 |
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| Citation Online Only Flag: | Y |
| Citation Phsyical Description: | 2 p. |
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| Citation Public Comments: | Geographic Analysis and Monitoring Program |
| Citation Publisher: | U.S. Geological Survey |
| Citation Series: | Fact Sheet |
| Citation Series Code: | FS |
| Citation Series Number: | 2012-3121 |
| Citation Search Results Text: | United States Geological Survey fire science--Fire danger monitoring and forecasting; 2012; FS; 2012-3121; Eidenshink, Jeff C.; Howard, Stephen M. |
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| Citation Year: | 2012 |
| Type: | citation/reference |
| Text: | United States Geological Survey fire science--Fire danger monitoring and forecasting; 2012; FS; 2012-3121; Eidenshink, Jeff C.; Howard, Stephen M. |
| URL (THUMBNAIL): | http://pubs.er.usgs.gov/thumbnails/fs_2012_3121.gif |
| URL (INDEX PAGE): | http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2012/3121/ |
| URL (DOCUMENT): | http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2012/3121/FS2012-3121.pdf |
| Date Other: | Tue, 30 Oct 2012 00:00 -0500 |
| Publisher: | U.S. Geological Survey |