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Real-time forecasts of tomorrow's earthquakes in California: a new mapping tool

Open-File Report 2004-1390

By:
, , and

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Abstract

We have derived a multi-model approach to calculate time-dependent earthquake hazard resulting from earthquake clustering. This file report explains the theoretical background behind the approach, the specific details that are used in applying the method to California, as well as the statistical testing to validate the technique. We have implemented our algorithm as a real-time tool that has been automatically generating short-term hazard maps for California since May of 2002, at http://step.wr.usgs.gov

Additional Publication Details

Publication type:
Report
Publication Subtype:
USGS Numbered Series
Title:
Real-time forecasts of tomorrow's earthquakes in California: a new mapping tool
Series title:
Open-File Report
Series number:
2004-1390
Edition:
Version 1.0
Year Published:
2004
Language:
ENGLISH
Description:
39 p.