| Abstract: | Using calculated stress changes to faults surrounding the January 12, 2010, rupture on the Enriquillo Fault, and the current (January 12 to 26, 2010) aftershock productivity, scientists from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI), and Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University (DPRI) have made rough estimates of the chance of a magnitude (Mw)=7 earthquake occurring during January 27 to February 22, 2010, in Haiti. The probability of such a quake on the Port-au-Prince section of the Enriquillo Fault is about 2 percent, and the probability for the section to the west of the January 12, 2010, rupture is about 1 percent. The stress changes on the Septentrional Fault in northern Haiti are much smaller, although positive. |
| Genre: | USGS Numbered Series |
| ProdID: | 98158 |
| Citation Author: | Lin, Jian ; Stein, Ross S. ; Sevilgen, Volkan ; Toda, Shinji |
| Citation Contributing Office: | Earthquake Hazards Program |
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| Citation Edition: | - |
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| Citation Language: | ENGLISH |
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| Citation LatN: | 0203000 |
| Citation LatS: | 0180000 |
| Citation LonE: | -0713000 |
| Citation LonW: | -0740000 |
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| Citation No Pagination: | N |
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| Citation Online Only Flag: | Y |
| Citation Phsyical Description: | iii, 7 p. |
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| Citation Public Comments: | IPPA: men10-9939-7373 |
| Citation Publisher: | U.S. Geological Survey |
| Citation Series: | Open-File Report |
| Citation Series Code: | OFR |
| Citation Series Number: | 2010-1019 |
| Citation Search Results Text: | USGS-WHOI-DPRI Coulomb Stress-Transfer Model for the January 12, 2010, MW=7.0 Haiti Earthquake; 2010; OFR; 2010-1019; Lin, Jian ; Stein, Ross S. ; Sevilgen, Volkan ; Toda, Shinji |
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| Citation Year: | 2010 |
| Type: | citation/reference |
| Text: | USGS-WHOI-DPRI Coulomb Stress-Transfer Model for the January 12, 2010, MW=7.0 Haiti Earthquake; 2010; OFR; 2010-1019; Lin, Jian ; Stein, Ross S. ; Sevilgen, Volkan ; Toda, Shinji |
| URL (THUMBNAIL): | http://pubs.er.usgs.gov/thumbnails/ofr_2010_1019.jpg |
| URL (INDEX PAGE): | http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2010/1019/ |
| Date Other: | Fri, 29 Jan 2010 00:00 -0600 |
| Publisher: | U.S. Geological Survey |