Publication Citation

USGS Series Open-File Report
Report Number 2007-1437
Title The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2 (UCERF 2)
Edition Version 1.0
Language ENGLISH
Author(s) 2007 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities
Year 2008
Originating office USGS Earthquake Hazards Program
USGS Library Call Number
Physical description Executive Summary; Report; Excel Workbook; 16 Appendixes
ISBN
Northernmost latitude 0420000
Southernmost latitude 0320000
Easternmost longitude -1140000
Westernmost longitude -1241500

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Abstract

California?s 35 million people live among some of the most active earthquake faults in the United States. Public safety demands credible assessments of the earthquake hazard to maintain appropriate building codes for safe construction and earthquake insurance for loss protection. Seismic hazard analysis begins with an earthquake rupture forecast?a model of probabilities that earthquakes of specified magnitudes, locations, and faulting types will occur during a specified time interval. This report describes a new earthquake rupture forecast for California developed by the 2007 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP 2007).