Numerical simulation of saltwater intrusion in response to sea-level rise

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Abstract

A two dimensional numerical model of variable-density groundwater flow and dispersive solute transport was used to predict the extent, rate, and lag time of saltwater intrusion in response to various sea-level rise scenarios. Three simulations were performed with varying rates of sea-level rise. For the first simulation, sea-level rise was specified at a rate of 0.9 mm/yr, which is the slowest rate of sea-level rise estimated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). After 100 years, the 250 mg/L chloride isochlor moved inland by about 40 m, and required an additional 8 years for the system to reach equilibrium. For the next simulation, sea-level rise was specified at 4.8 mm/yr, which is the central value of the IPCC estimate. For this moderate rate of sea-level rise, the 250 mg/L isochlor moved inland by about 740 m after 100 years, and required an additional 10 years for the system to reach equilibrium. For the fastest rate of sea level rise estimated by IPCC (8.8 mm/yr), the 250 mg/L isochlor moved inland by about 1800 m after 100 years, and required more than 50 years to reach equilibrium. Copyright ASCE 2005.
Publication type Conference Paper
Publication Subtype Conference Paper
Title Numerical simulation of saltwater intrusion in response to sea-level rise
ISBN 0784407924; 9780784407929
DOI 10.1061/40792(173)376
Year Published 2005
Language English
Larger Work Title World Water Congress 2005: Impacts of Global Climate Change - Proceedings of the 2005 World Water and Environmental Resources Congress
First page 376
Conference Title 2005 World Water and Environmental Resources Congress
Conference Location Anchorage, AK
Conference Date 15 May 2005 through 19 May 2005
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