Prediction failure of a wolf landscape model

Wildlife Society Bulletin



I compared 101 wolf (Canis lupus) pack territories formed in Wisconsin during 1993-2004 to the logistic regression predictive model of Mladenoff et al. (1995, 1997, 1999). Of these, 60% were located in putative habitat suitabilities <50%, including 22% in suitabilities of 0-9%. About a third of the area with putative suitabilities >50% remained unoccupied by known packs after 24 years of recolonization. This model was a poor predictor of wolf re-colonizing locations in Wisconsin, apparently because it failed to consider the adaptability of wolves. Such models should be used cautiously in wolf-management or restoration plans.
Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Prediction failure of a wolf landscape model
Series title Wildlife Society Bulletin
DOI 10.2193/0091-7648(2006)34[874:PFOAWL]2.0.CO;2
Volume 34
Issue 3
Year Published 2006
Language English
Contributing office(s) Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center
Description 4 p.
Larger Work Type Article
Larger Work Subtype Journal Article
Larger Work Title Wildlife Society Bulletin
First page 874
Last page 877
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