Probabilistic liquefaction triggering based on the cone penetration test

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Performance-based earthquake engineering requires a probabilistic treatment of potential failure modes in order to accurately quantify the overall stability of the system. This paper is a summary of the application portions of the probabilistic liquefaction triggering correlations proposed recently proposed by Moss and co-workers. To enable probabilistic treatment of liquefaction triggering, the variables comprising the seismic load and the liquefaction resistance were treated as inherently uncertain. Supporting data from an extensive Cone Penetration Test (CPT)-based liquefaction case history database were used to develop a probabilistic correlation. The methods used to measure the uncertainty of the load and resistance variables, how the interactions of these variables were treated using Bayesian updating, and how reliability analysis was applied to produce curves of equal probability of liquefaction are presented. The normalization for effective overburden stress, the magnitude correlated duration weighting factor, and the non-linear shear mass participation factor used are also discussed.
Publication type Conference Paper
Publication Subtype Conference Paper
Title Probabilistic liquefaction triggering based on the cone penetration test
Issue 130-142
Year Published 2005
Language English
Larger Work Title Geotechnical Special Publication
First page 1227
Last page 1239
Conference Title Geo-Frontiers 2005
Conference Location Austin, TX
Conference Date 24 January 2005 through 26 January 2005
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