San Andreas fault earthquake chronology and Lake Cahuilla history at Coachella, California

Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
By: , and 

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Abstract

The southernmost ~100 km of the San Andreas fault has not ruptured historically. It is imperative to determine its rupture history to better predict its future behavior. This paleoseismic investigation in Coachella, California, establishes a chronology of at least five and up to seven major earthquakes during the past ~1100 yr. This chronology yields a range of average recurrence intervals between 116 and 221 yr, depending on assumptions, with a best-estimate average recurrence interval of 180 yr. The most recent earthquake occurred c.1690, more than 300 yr ago, suggesting that this stretch of the fault has accumulated a large amount of tectonic stress and is likely to rupture in the near future, assuming the fault follows a stress renewal model. This study also establishes the timing of the past 5-6 highstands of ancient Lake Cahuilla since A.D. 800.We found that earthquakes do not tend to occur at any particular stage in the lake cycle.

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Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title San Andreas fault earthquake chronology and Lake Cahuilla history at Coachella, California
Series title Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
DOI 10.1785/0120100050
Volume 101
Issue 1
Year Published 2011
Language English
Publisher Seismological Society of America
Publisher location El Cerrito, CA
Contributing office(s) Earthquake Science Center
Description 26 p.
Larger Work Type Article
Larger Work Subtype Journal Article
Larger Work Title Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
First page 13
Last page 38
Country United States
State California
City Coachella
Other Geospatial Lake Cahuilla
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