Analyses of historical and projected climates to support climate adaptation in the northern Rocky Mountains: Chapter 4

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Abstract

Most of the western United States is experiencing the effects of rapid and directional climate change (Garfin et al. 2013). These effects, along with forecasts of profound changes in the future, provide strong motivation for resource managers to learn about and prepare for future changes. Climate adaptation plans are based on an understanding of historic climate variation and their effects on ecosystems and on forecasts of future climate trends. Frameworks for climate adaptation thus universally identify the importance of a summary of historical, current, and projected climates (Glick, Stein, and Edelson 2011; Cross et al. 2013; Stein et al. 2014). Trends in physical climate variables are usually the basis for evaluating the exposure component in vulnerability assessments. Thus, this chapter focuses on step 2 of the Climate-Smart Conservation framework (chap. 2): vulnerability assessment. We present analyses of historical and current observations of temperature, precipitation, and other key climate measurements to provide context and a baseline for interpreting the ecological impacts of projected climate changes.

Additional publication details

Publication type Book chapter
Publication Subtype Book Chapter
Title Analyses of historical and projected climates to support climate adaptation in the northern Rocky Mountains: Chapter 4
DOI 10.5822/978-1-61091-713-1_4
Year Published 2016
Language English
Publisher Island Press
Publisher location Washington, D.C.
Contributing office(s) North Central Climate Science Center
Description 23 p.
Larger Work Type Book
Larger Work Subtype Monograph
Larger Work Title Climate change in wildlands: Pioneering approaches to science and management
First page 55
Last page 77
Country United States
Other Geospatial Rocky Mountains