Evaluating predictors of local dabbling duck abundance during migration: Managing the spectrum of conditions faced by migrants

Wildfowl
The Nature Conservancy; U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
By: , and 

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Abstract

The development of robust modelling techniques to derive inferences from large-scale migratory bird monitoring data at appropriate scales has direct relevance to their management. The Integrated Waterbird Management and Monitoring programme (IWMM) represents one of the few attempts to monitor migrating waterbirds across entire flyways using targeted local surveys. This dataset included 13,208,785 waterfowl (eight Anas species) counted during 28,000 surveys at nearly 1,000 locations across the eastern United States between autumn 2010 and spring 2013 and was used to evaluate potential predictors of waterfowl abundance at the wetland scale. Mixed-effects, log-linear models of local abundance were built for the Atlantic and Mississippi flyways during spring and autumn migration to identify factors relating to habitat structure, forage availability, and migration timing that influence target dabbling duck species abundance. Results indicated that migrating dabbling ducks responded differently to environmental factors. While the factors identified demonstrated a high degree of importance, they were inconsistent across species, flyways and seasons. Furthermore, the direction and magnitude of the importance of each covariate group considered here varied across species. Given our results, actionable policy recommendations are likely to be most effective if they consider species-level variation within targeted taxonomic units and across management areas. The methods implemented here can easily be applied to other contexts, and serve as a novel investigation into local-level population patterns using data from broad-scale monitoring programmes.

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Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Evaluating predictors of local dabbling duck abundance during migration: Managing the spectrum of conditions faced by migrants
Series title Wildfowl
Volume 65
Year Published 2015
Language English
Publisher Wildfowl & Wetlands Trust
Publisher location Slimbridge
Contributing office(s) Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences Center
Description 21 p.
First page 100
Last page 120
Country United States
Online Only (Y/N) N
Additional Online Files (Y/N) N
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