When do we need more data? A primer on calculating the value of information for applied ecologists

Methods in Ecology and Evolution
By: , and 

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Abstract

  1. Applied ecologists continually advocate further research, under the assumption that obtaining more information will lead to better decisions. Value of information (VoI) analysis can be used to quantify how additional information may improve management outcomes: despite its potential, this method is still underused in environmental decision-making. We provide a primer on how to calculate the VoI and assess whether reducing uncertainty will change a decision. Our aim is to facilitate the application of VoI by managers who are not familiar with decision-analytic principles and notation, by increasing the technical accessibility of the tool.
  2. Calculating the VoI requires explicit formulation of management objectives and actions. Uncertainty must be clearly structured and its effects on management outcomes evaluated. We present two measures of the VoI. The expected value of perfect information is a calculation of the expected improvement in management outcomes that would result from access to perfect knowledge. The expected value of sample information calculates the improvement in outcomes expected by collecting a given sample of new data.
  3. We guide readers through the calculation of VoI using two case studies: (i) testing for disease when managing a frog species and (ii) learning about demographic rates for the reintroduction of an endangered turtle. We illustrate the use of Bayesian updating to incorporate new information.
  4. The VoI depends on our current knowledge, the quality of the information collected and the expected outcomes of the available management actions. Collecting information can require significant investments of resources; VoI analysis assists managers in deciding whether these investments are justified.

Additional publication details

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title When do we need more data? A primer on calculating the value of information for applied ecologists
Series title Methods in Ecology and Evolution
DOI 10.1111/2041-210X.12423
Volume 6
Issue 10
Year Published 2015
Language English
Publisher John Wiley
Publisher location Hoboken, N.J.
Contributing office(s) Patuxent Wildlife Research Center
Description 10 p.
First page 1219
Last page 1228
Online Only (Y/N) N
Additional Online Files (Y/N) N