The FORE-SCE model: a practical approach for projecting land cover change using scenario-based modeling

Journal of Land Use Science
By: , and 

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Abstract

A wide variety of ecological applications require spatially explicit, historic, current, and projected land use and land cover data. The U.S. Land Cover Trends project is analyzing contemporary (1973–2000) land-cover change in the conterminous United States. The newly developed FORE-SCE model used Land Cover Trends data and theoretical, statistical, and deterministic modeling techniques to project future land cover change through 2020 for multiple plausible scenarios. Projected proportions of future land use were initially developed, and then sited on the lands with the highest potential for supporting that land use and land cover using a statistically based stochastic allocation procedure. Three scenarios of 2020 land cover were mapped for the western Great Plains in the US. The model provided realistic, high-resolution, scenario-based land-cover products suitable for multiple applications, including studies of climate and weather variability, carbon dynamics, and regional hydrology.

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title The FORE-SCE model: a practical approach for projecting land cover change using scenario-based modeling
Series title Journal of Land Use Science
DOI 10.1080/17474230701218202
Volume 2
Issue 2
Year Published 2007
Language English
Publisher Taylor & Francis
Contributing office(s) Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center
Description 24 p.
First page 103
Last page 126
Online Only (Y/N) N
Additional Online Files (Y/N) N
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