From points to forecasts: Predicting invasive species habitat suitability in the near term
Links
- More information: Publisher Index Page (via DOI)
- Open Access Version: Publisher Index Page
- Download citation as: RIS | Dublin Core
Abstract
We used near-term climate scenarios for the continental United States, to model 12 invasive plants species. We created three potential habitat suitability models for each species using maximum entropy modeling: (1) current; (2) 2020; and (3) 2035. Area under the curve values for the models ranged from 0.92 to 0.70, with 10 of the 12 being above 0.83 suggesting strong and predictable species-environment matching. Change in area between the current potential habitat and 2035 ranged from a potential habitat loss of about 217,000 km2, to a potential habitat gain of about 133,000 km2.
Publication type | Article |
---|---|
Publication Subtype | Journal Article |
Title | From points to forecasts: Predicting invasive species habitat suitability in the near term |
Series title | Diversity |
DOI | 10.3390/d2050738 |
Volume | 2 |
Issue | 5 |
Year Published | 2010 |
Language | English |
Contributing office(s) | Fort Collins Science Center |
Description | 30 p. |
First page | 738 |
Last page | 767 |
Country | United States |
Online Only (Y/N) | N |
Additional Online Files (Y/N) | N |
Google Analytic Metrics | Metrics page |