Influence of vertical and lateral heat transfer on permafrost thaw, peatland landscape transition, and groundwater flow

Water Resources Research
By: , and 



Recent climate change has reduced the spatial extent and thickness of permafrost in many discontinuous permafrost regions. Rapid permafrost thaw is producing distinct landscape changes in the Taiga Plains of the Northwest Territories, Canada. As permafrost bodies underlying forested peat plateaus shrink, the landscape slowly transitions into unforested wetlands. The expansion of wetlands has enhanced the hydrologic connectivity of many watersheds via new surface and near-surface flow paths, and increased streamflow has been observed. Furthermore, the decrease in forested peat plateaus results in a net loss of boreal forest and associated ecosystems. This study investigates fundamental processes that contribute to permafrost thaw by comparing observed and simulated thaw development and landscape transition of a peat plateau-wetland complex in the Northwest Territories, Canada from 1970 to 2012. Measured climate data are first used to drive surface energy balance simulations for the wetland and peat plateau. Near-surface soil temperatures simulated in the surface energy balance model are then applied as the upper boundary condition to a three-dimensional model of subsurface water flow and coupled energy transport with freeze-thaw. Simulation results demonstrate that lateral heat transfer, which is not considered in many permafrost models, can influence permafrost thaw rates. Furthermore, the simulations indicate that landscape evolution arising from permafrost thaw acts as a positive feedback mechanism that increases the energy absorbed at the land surface and produces additional permafrost thaw. The modeling results also demonstrate that flow rates in local groundwater flow systems may be enhanced by the degradation of isolated permafrost bodies.

Study Area

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Influence of vertical and lateral heat transfer on permafrost thaw, peatland landscape transition, and groundwater flow
Series title Water Resources Research
DOI 10.1002/2015WR018057
Volume 52
Issue 2
Year Published 2016
Language English
Publisher American Geophysical Union
Contributing office(s) National Research Program - Western Branch
Description 20 p.
First page 1286
Last page 1305
Country Canada
State Northwest Territories
Other Geospatial Scotty Creek
Online Only (Y/N) N
Additional Online Files (Y/N) N
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