Guidelines 13 and 14—Prediction uncertainty

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Abstract

An advantage of using optimization for model development and calibration is that optimization provides methods for evaluating and quantifying prediction uncertainty. Both deterministic and statistical methods can be used. Guideline 13 discusses using regression and post-audits, which we classify as deterministic methods. Guideline 14 discusses inferential statistics and Monte Carlo methods, which we classify as statistical methods.

Additional publication details

Publication type Book chapter
Publication Subtype Book Chapter
Title Guidelines 13 and 14—Prediction uncertainty
DOI 10.1002/9780470041086.ch14
Year Published 2005
Language English
Publisher Wiley & Sons
Contributing office(s) Office of Groundwater
Description 8 p.
Larger Work Type Book
Larger Work Subtype Handbook
Larger Work Title Effective Groundwater Model Calibration: With Analysis of Data, Sensitivities, Predictions, and Uncertainty
First page 337
Last page 344