Preface to the Focus Section on the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP): New results and future directions

Seismological Research Letters
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Abstract

The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP; Jordan, 2006) carries out fully prospective tests of earthquake forecasts, using fixed and standardized statistical tests and authoritative data sets, to assess the predictive skill of forecast models and to make objective comparisons between models. CSEP conducts prospective experiments at four testing centers around the world, at which more than 400 models and model versions are currently under evaluation. These models include a range of methods and scales from long‐term global earthquake forecasts to short‐term regional forecasts used for Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF). CSEP has also conducted retrospective tests and developed new testing methods in its quest to answer fundamental scientific questions, improve seismic hazard assessments, and develop new forecast methods for OEF.

Additional publication details

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Preface to the Focus Section on the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP): New results and future directions
Series title Seismological Research Letters
DOI 10.1785/0220180161
Volume 89
Issue 4
Year Published 2018
Language English
Publisher Seismological Society of America
Contributing office(s) Earthquake Science Center
Description 3 p.
First page 1226
Last page 1228