Improving estimates and forecasts of lake carbon dynamics using data assimilation
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Abstract
Lakes are biogeochemical hotspots on the landscape, contributing significantly to the global carbon cycle despite their small areal coverage. Observations and models of lake carbon pools and fluxes are rarely explicitly combined through data assimilation despite successful use of this technique in other fields. Data assimilation adds value to both observations and models by constraining models with observations of the system and by leveraging knowledge of the system formalized by the model to objectively fill observation gaps. In this article, we highlight the utility of data assimilation in lake carbon cycling research by using the ensemble Kalman filter to combine simple lake carbon models with observations of lake carbon pools and fluxes. We demonstrate that data assimilation helps reduce uncertainty in estimates of lake carbon pools and fluxes and more accurately estimate the true carbon pool size compared to estimates derived from observations alone. Data assimilation techniques should be embraced as valuable tools for lake biogeochemists interested in learning about ecosystem dynamics and forecasting ecosystem states and processes.
| Publication type | Article |
|---|---|
| Publication Subtype | Journal Article |
| Title | Improving estimates and forecasts of lake carbon dynamics using data assimilation |
| Series title | Limnology and Oceanography: Methods |
| DOI | 10.1002/lom3.10302 |
| Volume | 17 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Year Published | 2019 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Wiley |
| Contributing office(s) | WMA - Integrated Information Dissemination Division |
| Description | 15 p. |
| First page | 97 |
| Last page | 111 |
| Google Analytic Metrics | Metrics page |