Ignitions explain more than climate or weather in driving Santa Ana Wind fires

Science Advances
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Abstract

Autumn and winter Santa Ana wind (SAW)–driven wildfires play a substantial role in area burned and societal losses in southern California. Temperature during the event and antecedent precipitation in the week or month prior play a minor role in determining area burned. Burning is dependent on wind intensity and number of human-ignited fires. Over 75% of all SAW events generate no fires; rather, fires during a SAW event are dependent on a fire being ignited. Models explained 40 to 50% of area burned, with number of ignitions being the strongest variable. One hundred percent of SAW fires were human caused, and in the past decade, powerline failures have been the dominant cause. Future fire losses can be reduced by greater emphasis on maintenance of utility lines and attention to planning urban growth in ways that reduce the potential for powerline ignitions.

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Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Ignitions explain more than climate or weather in driving Santa Ana Wind fires
Series title Science Advances
DOI 10.1126/sciadv.abh2262
Volume 7
Issue 30
Year Published 2021
Language English
Publisher AAAS
Contributing office(s) Western Ecological Research Center
Description eabh2262, 10 p.
Country United States
State California
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