United States Geological Survey fire science: Fire danger monitoring and forecasting

Fact Sheet 2012-3121
Geographic Analysis and Monitoring Program
By:  and 

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Abstract

Each day, the U.S. Geological Survey produces 7-day forecasts for all Federal lands of the distributions of number of ignitions, number of fires above a given size, and conditional probabilities of fires growing larger than a specified size. The large fire probability map is an estimate of the likelihood that ignitions will become large fires. The large fire forecast map is a probability estimate of the number of fires on federal lands exceeding 100 acres in the forthcoming week. The ignition forecast map is a probability estimate of the number of fires on Federal land greater than 1 acre in the forthcoming week. The extreme event forecast is the probability estimate of the number of fires on Federal land that may exceed 5,000 acres in the forthcoming week.

Study Area

Publication type Report
Publication Subtype USGS Numbered Series
Title United States Geological Survey fire science: Fire danger monitoring and forecasting
Series title Fact Sheet
Series number 2012-3121
Subseries Geographic Analysis and Monitoring Program
DOI 10.3133/fs20123121
Edition Version 1.0: Originally posted October 29, 2012; Version 2.0: July 30, 2015
Year Published 2012
Language English
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Publisher location Reston, VA
Contributing office(s) Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center
Description 2 p.; Data release
Country United States
Online Only (Y/N) Y
Additional Online Files (Y/N) N
Google Analytic Metrics Metrics page
Additional publication details