Evolution of methods for evaluating the occurrence of floods

Water Supply Paper 1580-A
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Abstract

A brief summary is given of the history of methods of expressing flood potentialities, proceeding from simple flood formulas to statistical methods of flood-frequency analysis on a regional basis. Current techniques are described and evaluated. Long-term flood records in the United States show no justification for the adoption of a single type of theoretical distribution of floods. The significance and predictive values of flood-frequency relations are considered. Because of the length of flood records available and the interdependence of flood events within a region, the probable long-term average magnitudes of floods of a given recurrence interval are uncertain. However, if the magnitudes defined by the records available are accepted, the relative effects of drainage-basin characteristics and climatic variables can be determined with a reasonable degree of assurance.
Publication type Report
Publication Subtype USGS Numbered Series
Title Evolution of methods for evaluating the occurrence of floods
Series title Water Supply Paper
Series number 1580
Chapter A
DOI 10.3133/wsp1580A
Edition -
Year Published 1962
Language ENGLISH
Publisher U.S. G.P.O.,
Description iii, 30 p. ; 24 cm.
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