Consequences of increasing bioenergy demand on wood and forests: An application of the Global Forest Products Model

Journal of Forest Economics
By: , and 

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Abstract

The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) was applied to project the consequences for the global forest sector of doubling the rate of growth of bioenergy demand relative to a base scenario, other drivers being maintained constant. The results showed that this would lead to the convergence of the price of fuelwood and industrial roundwood, raising the price of industrial roundwood by nearly 30% in 2030. The price of sawnwood and panels would be 15% higher. The price of paper would be 3% higher. Concurrently, the demand for all manufactured wood products would be lower in all countries, but the production would rise in countries with competitive advantage. The global value added in wood processing industries would be 1% lower in 2030. The forest stock would be 2% lower for the world and 4% lower for Asia. These effects varied substantially by country. ?? 2011 Department of Forest Economics, SLU Ume??, Sweden.

Additional publication details

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Consequences of increasing bioenergy demand on wood and forests: An application of the Global Forest Products Model
Series title Journal of Forest Economics
DOI 10.1016/j.jfe.2011.02.008
Volume 17
Issue 2
Year Published 2011
Language English
Larger Work Type Article
Larger Work Subtype Journal Article
Larger Work Title Journal of Forest Economics
First page 214
Last page 229