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Publications recently added to the Pubs Warehouse

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Characterizing large earthquakes before rupture is complete

Released September 16, 2019 00:24 EST

2019, Science Advances (5)

Diego Melgar, Gavin P. Hayes

Whether large and very large earthquakes are distinguishable from each other early on in the rupture process has been a subject often debated over the past several decades. Studies have shown that the frequency content of radiated seismic energy in the first few seconds of an earthquake scales with the final magnitude of the event, implying determinism. Other studies have shown that the recordings of ground displacement from small-to-moderate sized earthquakes are indistinguishable, and thus earthquakes share a universal early rupture process. Regardless of how earthquakes start, however, at some point in the rupture process events of different sizes must be distinguishable from one another. If that difference occurs early - i.e., before the rupture duration of the smaller event - this implies that earthquakes demonstrate some level of determinism. Here we show through analysis of a large database of source time functions and near-source displacement records that after an initiation phase, ruptures of M7-9 earthquakes organize into a slip pulse, the kinematic properties of which scale with magnitude. As such, early in the rupture process - after about 10s - large and very large earthquakes demonstrate different properties and can thus be distinguished.

Global earthquake response with imaging geodesy: recent examples from the USGS NEIC

Released September 15, 2019 23:12 EST

2019, Remote Sensing (11)

William D. Barnhart, Gavin P. Hayes, David J. Wald

The U.S. Geological Survey National Earthquake Information Center leads real-time efforts to provide rapid and accurate assessments of the impacts of global earthquakes, including estimates of ground shaking, ground failure, and the resulting human impacts. These efforts primarily rely on analysis of the seismic wavefield to characterize the source of the earthquake, which in turn informs a suite of disaster response products such as ShakeMap and PAGER. In recent years, the proliferation of rapidly acquired and openly available in-situ and remotely sensed geodetic observations has opened new avenues for responding to earthquakes around the world in the days following significant events. Geodetic observations, particularly from interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) and satellite optical imagery, provide a means to robustly constrain the dimensions and spatial complexity of earthquakes beyond what is typically possible with seismic observations alone. Here, we document recent cases where geodetic observations contributed important information to earthquake response efforts – from informing and validating seismically-derived source models to independently constraining earthquake impact products – and the conditions under which geodetic observations improve earthquake response products. We use examples from the 2013 Mw7.7 Baluchistan, Pakistan, 2014 Mw6.0 Napa, California, 2015 Mw7.8 Gorkha, Nepal, and 2018 Mw7.5 Palu, Indonesia earthquakes to highlight the varying ways geodetic observations have contributed to earthquake response efforts at the NEIC. We additionally provide a synopsis of the workflows implemented for geodetic earthquake response. As remote sensing geodetic observations become increasingly available and the frequency of satellite acquisitions continues to increase, operational earthquake geodetic imaging stands to make critical contributions to natural disaster response efforts around the world.

Characterization and evaluation of controls on post-fire streamflow response across western U.S. watersheds

Released September 15, 2019 23:03 EST

2019, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (22) 1221-1237

Samuel Saxe, Terri S. Hogue, Lauren E. Hay

This research investigates the impact of wildfires on watershed flow regimes, specifically focusing on evaluation of fire events within specified hydroclimatic regions in the western United States, and evaluating the impact of climate and geophysical variables on response. Eighty-two watersheds were identified with at least 10 years of continuous pre-fire daily streamflow records and 5 years of continuous post-fire daily flow records. Percent change in annual runoff ratio, low flows, high flows, peak flows, number of zero flow days, baseflow index, and Richards–Baker flashiness index were calculated for each watershed using pre- and post-fire periods. Independent variables were identified for each watershed and fire event, including topographic, vegetation, climate, burn severity, percent area burned, and soils data. Results show that low flows, high flows, and peak flows increase in the first 2 years following a wildfire and decrease over time. Relative response was used to scale response variables with the respective percent area of watershed burned in order to compare regional differences in watershed response. To account for variability in precipitation events, runoff ratio was used to compare runoff directly to PRISM precipitation estimates. To account for regional differences in climate patterns, watersheds were divided into nine regions, or clusters, through k-means clustering using climate data, and regression models were produced for watersheds grouped by total area burned. Watersheds in Cluster 9 (eastern California, western Nevada, Oregon) demonstrate a small negative response to observed flow regimes after fire. Cluster 8 watersheds (coastal California) display the greatest flow responses, typically within the first year following wildfire. Most other watersheds show a positive mean relative response. In addition, simple regression models show low correlation between percent watershed burned and streamflow response, implying that other watershed factors strongly influence response. Spearman correlation identified NDVI, aridity index, percent of a watershed's precipitation that falls as rain, and slope as being positively correlated with post-fire streamflow response. This metric also suggested a negative correlation between response and the soil erodibility factor, watershed area, and percent low burn severity. Regression models identified only moderate burn severity and watershed area as being consistently positively/negatively correlated, respectively, with response. The random forest model identified only slope and percent area burned as significant watershed parameters controlling response. Results will help inform post-fire runoff management decisions by helping to identify expected changes to flow regimes, as well as facilitate parameterization for model application in burned watersheds.

Putative mitochondrial sex determination in the Bivalvia: insights from a hybrid transcriptome assembly in freshwater mussels

Released September 13, 2019 14:38 EST

2019, Frontiers in Genetics (10)

Charlotte Capt, Sebastien Renaut, Donald Stewart, Nathan Johnson, Sophie Breton

Bivalves exhibit an astonishing diversity of sexual systems, with genetic and environmental determinants of sex, and possibly the only example of mitochondrial genes influencing sex determination pathways in animals. In contrast to all other animal species in which strict maternal inheritance (SMI) of mitochondria is the rule, bivalves possess a system known as doubly uniparental inheritance (DUI) of mitochondria in which maternal and paternal mitochondria (and their corresponding female-transmitted or F mtDNA and male-transmitted or M mtDNA genomes) are transmitted within a species. Species with DUI also possess sex-associated mtDNA-encoded proteins (in addition to the typical set of 13), which have been hypothesized to play a role in sex determination. In this study, we analyzed the sex-biased transcriptome in gonads of two closely-related freshwater mussel species with different reproductive and mitochondrial transmission modes: the gonochoric, DUI species, Utterbackia peninsularis, and the hermaphroditic, SMI species, Utterbackia imbecillis. Through comparative analysis with other DUI and non-DUI bivalve transcriptomes already available, we identify common male and female-specific genes, as well as SMI and DUI-related genes, that are probably involved in sex determination and mitochondrial inheritance in this animal group. Our results contribute to the understanding of what could be the first animal sex determination system involving the mitochondrial genome

National earthquake information center strategic plan, 2019–23

Released September 13, 2019 10:30 EST

2019, Circular 1457

Gavin P. Hayes, Paul S. Earle, Harley M. Benz, David J. Wald, William L. Yeck

Executive Summary

Damaging earthquakes occur regularly around the world; since the turn of the 20th century, hundreds of earthquakes have caused significant loss of life and (or) millions of dollars or more in economic losses. While most of these did not directly affect the United States and its Territories, by studying worldwide seismicity we can better understand how to mitigate the effects of earthquakes when they do occur within U.S. borders. Within the U.S. Government, this mandate falls on the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC), which has the statutory responsibility for monitoring and reporting on earthquakes domestically and globally.

The NEIC has been operating since 1966, and throughout its history has been recognized as a world leader for earthquake information. For much of this time, NEIC has been cooperating with a number of regional seismic networks (RSNs) which operate in areas of heightened seismicity in the United States. In 2000, the Advanced National Seismic System (ANSS) was founded as a cooperative umbrella for earthquake-related data collection, analysis, and dissemination in the United States, thereby promoting advanced interoperability between the NEIC and RSN partners. The NEIC also cooperates and coordinates with dozens of global seismic networks. At present (2019), NEIC acquires real-time waveform data from more than 2,000 seismic stations worldwide, contributed from more than 130 seismic networks.

Since 2006, the NEIC has operated on a 24-hour, 7-days per week (24/7) basis, and reports on about 30,000 earthquakes per year. Soon after the occurrence of a significant global earthquake, notifications are issued to government representatives, aid agencies, the press, and members of the general public by the Earthquake Notification Service (ENS), electronic feeds, and through the USGS Earthquake Hazards Program (EHP) website. Event-specific web pages provide detailed source parameter information outlining the location and magnitude of the earthquake, including more detailed source characteristics like moment magnitude and focal mechanisms and finite fault solutions. Further, NEIC produces a suite of real-time situational awareness products, including ShakeMap, ShakeCast, Did-You-Feel-It? (DYFI?), and Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER), to characterize the shaking resulting from the earthquake and the impact it is likely to have on nearby populations and infrastructure. All of these products are ultimately archived in the ANSS Comprehensive Catalog (ComCat), hosted and served by the NEIC.

The NEIC also pursues an active research program to improve its ability to characterize earthquakes and understand their hazards. These efforts are all aimed at mitigating the risks of earthquakes to humankind.

To maintain its prominent position in earthquake monitoring, the NEIC must continue to evolve, concurrently improving its operations and 24/7 robustness, streamlining services and infrastructure, and keeping pace with research and innovation in the field of seismology. This document outlines how the NEIC might best achieve such goals, by describing specific avenues and opportunities for development in the next five years (2019–23).

Several key areas of operational and research focus are identified in this plan as being of the highest importance. First, NEIC must finalize improvements to its regional monitoring capabilities, including the implementation of a variety of improved earthquake detection and association algorithms. One of the most exciting avenues of recent research expansion in earthquake monitoring has involved the use of machine learning; NEIC must explore the benefits of machine learning for improved earthquake detection and source characterization. NEIC also needs to address issues related to the timeliness of earthquake information, exploring the benefits of distributing information as it becomes available, rather than when certain quality criteria are met. To that end, the incorporation of real-time Global Positioning System (GPS) data into the NEIC operational workflow will help improve the speed and accuracy of information for moderate-to-large earthquakes. Finally, NEIC should explore how to further expand and improve the quality and content of the products served during earthquake response efforts, including the generation of new earthquake sequence-specific products, adding an evolutionary component to earthquake information, and continued improvements to earthquake impact products.

Methods for estimating regional coefficient of skewness for unregulated streams in New England, based on data through water year 2011

Released September 13, 2019 10:26 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2017-5037

Andrea G. Veilleux, Phillip J. Zarriello, Glenn A. Hodgkins, Elizabeth A. Ahearn, Scott A. Olson, Timothy A. Cohn

The magnitude of annual exceedance probability floods is greatly affected by the coefficient of skewness (skew) of the annual peak flows at a streamgage. Standard flood frequency methods recommend weighting the station skew with a regional skew to better represent regional and stable conditions. This study presents an updated analysis of a regional skew for New England developed using a robust Bayesian weighted and generalized least squares regression model. Nineteen explanatory variables for 153 streamgages were tested in the regression analysis, but none were statistically significant and, as a result, a constant model was selected to define the regional skew for New England. The constant model for the New England region has, in log units, a skew of 0.37, a model error variance of 0.13, and an average variance of prediction at a new site of 0.14. An assessment of the selected regional skew model was conducted using a Monte Carlo analysis. The Monte Carlo simulations reveal that the perceived pattern in the station skews among the 153 streamgages is an artifact of the sample variability and the covariance structure of the errors.

Potentiometric surface of the Mississippi River Valley Alluvial Aquifer, Spring 2016

Released September 12, 2019 17:00 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Map 3439

Virginia L. McGuire, Ronald C. Seanor, William H. Asquith, Wade H. Kress, Kellan R. Strauch

A potentiometric surface map for spring 2016 was created for the Mississippi River Valley alluvial (MRVA) aquifer using selected available groundwater-altitude data from wells and surface-water-altitude data from streamgages. Most of the wells were measured annually or one time after installation, but some wells were measured more than one time or continually; streamgages are typically operated continuously. Personnel from the Arkansas Natural Resources Commission, Arkansas Department of Health, Arkansas Geological Survey, Illinois Department of Agriculture, Illinois State Water Survey, Louisiana Department of Natural Resources, Louisiana Department of Transportation and Development, Mississippi Department of Environmental Quality, Yazoo Mississippi Delta Joint Water Management District, U.S. Department of Agriculture–Natural Resources Conservation Service, and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) routinely collect groundwater data from wells screened in the MRVA aquifer. The USGS and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers routinely collect data on river stage and discharge for the rivers overlying the MRVA aquifer.

The potentiometric surface map for 2016 was created using existing data as part of the USGS Water Availability and Use Science Program to support investigations that characterize the MRVA aquifer. Sufficient groundwater-altitude data were available to create a potentiometric-surface map for spring 2016 for about 81 percent of the aquifer area. The potentiometric contours ranged from 10 to 340 feet. The regional direction of groundwater flow in the MRVA aquifer was generally towards the south-southwest, except in areas of groundwater-altitude depressions, where groundwater flows into the depressions, and near rivers, where groundwater flow generally parallels the flow in the rivers. There are large depressions in the potentiometric surface of the MRVA aquifer in the lower half of the Cache region and in most of the Grand Prairie and Delta regions.

Photosynthetic and respiratory responses of two bog shrub species to whole ecosystem warming and elevated CO2 at the boreal-temperate ecotone

Released September 12, 2019 14:04 EST

2019, Frontiers in Forests and Global Change (2)

Eric Ward, Jeffrey M . Warren, David A McLennan, Mirindi E Dusenge, Danielle A. Way, Stan D. Wullschleger, Paul J Hanson

Peatlands within the boreal-temperate ecotone contain the majority of terrestrial carbon in this region, and there is concern over the fate of such carbon stores in the face of global environmental changes. The Spruce and Peatland Response Under Changing Environments (SPRUCE) facility aims to advance the understanding of how such peatlands may respond to such changes, using a combination of whole ecosystem warming (WEW; +0, 2.25, 4.5, 6.75, and 9°C) and elevated CO2 (eCO2; +500 ppm) treatments in an intact bog ecosystem. We examined photosynthetic and respiration responses in leaves of two ericaceous shrub species–leatherleaf [Chamaedaphne calyculata (L.) Moench] and bog Labrador tea [Rhododendron groenlandicum (Oeder) Kron & Judd]–to the first year of combined eCO2 and WEW treatments at SPRUCE. We surveyed the leaf N content per area (Narea), net photosynthesis (AST) and respiration (RD25) at 25°C and 400 ppm CO2 and net photosynthesis at mean growing conditions (AGR) of newly emerged, mature and overwintered leaves. We also measured leaf non-structural carbohydrate content (NSC) in mature leaves. The effects of WEW and eCO2 varied by season and species, highlighting the need to accommodate such variability in modeling this system. In mature leaves, we did not observe a response to either treatment of AST or RD25 in R. groenlandicum, but we did observe a 50% decrease in AST of C. calyculata with eCO2. In mature leaves under eCO2, neither species had increased AGR and both had increases in NSC, indicating acclimation of photosynthesis to eCO2 may be related to source-sink imbalances of carbohydrates. Thus, productivity gains of shrubs under eCO2 may be lower than previously predicted for this site by models not accounting for such acclimation. In newly emerged leaves, AST increased with WEW in R. groenlandicum, but not C. calyculata. Overwintered leaves exhibited a decrease in RD25 for R. groenlandicum and in AST for C. calyculata with increasing WEW, as well as an increase of AGR with eCO2 in both species. Responses in newly emerged and overwintered leaves may reflect physiological acclimation or phenological changes in response to treatments.

Geologic map of the Poncha Pass area, Chaffee, Fremont, and Saguache Counties, Colorado

Released September 12, 2019 13:25 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Map 3436

Scott A. Minor, Jonathan Saul Caine, Chester A. Ruleman, Christopher J. Fridrich, Christine F. Chan, Theodore R. Brandt, Christopher S. Holm-Denoma, Leah E. Morgan, Michael A. Cosca, V. J. Grauch

This report presents a 1:24,000-scale geologic map, cross sections, and descriptive and interpretative text for the Poncha Pass area in central Colorado. The map area is irregular in shape, covering all of one 7 ½' quadrangle (Poncha Pass) and parts of five others (Mount Ouray, Maysville, Salida West, Salida East, and Wellsville). The map boundaries were drawn to cover all of the “Poncha mountain block,” our designation for the approximately 15-kilometer-long northwestern end of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains. The map conveys the areal distribution of (1) Proterozoic basement rocks forming the core of the Poncha mountain block, (2) overlying Eocene and Oligocene volcanic rocks, (3) Miocene and younger basin-fill deposits, (4) Quaternary surficial glacial and alluvial deposits, and (5) faults and folds affecting all of the above units. The Poncha mountain block, which lies within the Rio Grande rift, is topographically and geologically distinctive. Generally, the Rio Grande rift is internally characterized by subsided structural basins or grabens and subdued, low-relief topography rather than elevated mountain blocks. The intrarift, topographically high Poncha mountain block spans the axial part of the rift and separates the low-lying basins of the west-tilted upper Arkansas River half graben and east-northeast-tilted San Luis half graben. These distinctive aspects of the Poncha mountain block were the primary motivations to conduct geologic mapping in the area. Important questions addressed by geologic mapping and related studies in the Poncha Pass area include (1) what were the structural controls and tectonic mechanism(s) that resulted in development of the Poncha mountain block in an intrarift environment; (2) did surface uplift of the Poncha block occur during rift development in the Neogene and Quaternary, and at what rate(s); (3) how was extensional strain accommodated and relayed across the Poncha block between the opposite-polarity rift basins and flanking mountain blocks; (4) is there a clear Laramide deformational signal in rocks of the map area; and (5) have earlier Laramide contractional structures, if they exist, influenced later rift-related extensional deformation through reactivation or strain localization. Prior to our mapping, the geology of much of the Poncha Pass area had only been mapped in reconnaissance fashion, reflecting the area’s poor bedrock exposures, poor access due to the rugged terrain, and geologic complexity. The map presented here provides new details of the geology of this difficult area and helps elucidate the development of the Poncha block and improves understanding of the geologic framework and geologic history of the area.

Rare earth elements in coal and coal fly ash

Released September 12, 2019 10:23 EST

2019, Fact Sheet 2019-3048

Clint Scott, Allan Kolker

The rare earth elements (REEs) are a group of 17 elements sharing similar chemical properties. They include yttrium (Y, atomic number 39), scandium (Sc, atomic number 21), and the 15 elements of the lanthanide series, atomic numbers 57 (lanthanum, La) to 71 (lutetium, Lu). Because promethium (Pm, atomic number 61) does not occur in the Earth’s crust and scandium typically has different geological occurrences from other REEs, they are not discussed further herein.

REEs are, on average, more abundant than precious metals (for example, gold, silver, and platinum), but because of their unique geochemical properties, they do not commonly form economically viable ore deposits. Nevertheless, REEs are increasingly required for a range of modern applications in defense and renewable energy technologies and in commercial products, primarily as magnets, batteries, and catalysts. The United States currently (2018) produces REEs from a single mine in California, accounting for just 9 percent of global production, whereas 70 percent of global REE production comes from China. For these reasons, REEs are considered a critical resource, and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has an interest in helping to identify new sources of REEs for domestic production.

In 2017, coal use accounted for about 30 percent of the electric power generated in the United States. Fly ash, produced during the burning of coal, is a fine­-grained solid derived from noncombustible constituents of coal, such as clay minerals and quartz. When coal is burned, REEs are retained and enriched in the fly ash and, as a result, fly ash has long been considered a potential resource for REEs.

The United States has the world’s largest coal reserves and, even though gas-­fired power generation has increased significantly in the last decade, the United States continues to produce vast quantities of fly ash, about half of which is beneficially reused, primarily in construction materials. The remainder is stored, mostly in landfills and impound­ments. Thus, annual fly ash production, combined with fly ash already in stor­age, constitutes a large potential resource.

Research into how to utilize coal and coal fly ash as sources of REEs is ongo­ing. Viable recovery of REEs from coal and coal ash requires identification of coals and ashes with the highest REE concentrations and development of workable methods for REE extraction and recovery. Understanding how REEs occur within fly ash, described in this fact sheet, is one of the keys to developing possible methods for their recovery.

Guidelines and standard procedures for high-frequency groundwater-quality monitoring stations—Design, operation, and record computation

Released September 11, 2019 15:52 EST

2019, Techniques and Methods 1-D7

Timothy M. Mathany, John Franco Saraceno, Justin T. Kulongoski

High-frequency water-quality monitoring stations measure and transmit data, often in near real-time, from a wide range of aquatic environments to assess the quality of the Nation’s water resources. Common instrumentation for high-frequency water-quality data collection uses a multi-parameter sonde, which typically has sensors that measure and record water temperature, specific conductance, pH, and dissolved oxygen. Nitrate, turbidity, and fluorescent dissolved organic matter can also be monitored at high frequency.

High-frequency groundwater-quality monitoring stations provide high-resolution time-series data to improve understanding of the timing of water-quality changes in the subsurface, especially for aquifer systems with short groundwater-residence times. High-frequency time-series data are used to monitor surface-water to groundwater interaction, quantify contaminant transport rates, and study water-quality variability in relation to variability of precipitation and groundwater pumping rates. High-frequency monitoring for contaminants or their surrogates have the added benefit of providing an early warning to protect valuable or sensitive aquifer resources. High-frequency time-series data also reveal short-term trends in groundwater quality, which may not be identifiable from monthly or annual sampling programs which facilitate the interpretation of decadal conditions. Systematic application of water-quality sonde operational procedures and a standard record-computation process are part of the required quality assurance for producing and documenting complete and accurate high-frequency groundwater-quality monitoring records. To collect quality high-frequency groundwater times-series data, water-quality sondes and sensors require careful field operation, cleaning, and calibration, as well as specific procedures for data computation, evaluation, review, and publication of final records.

This report provides guidelines for the use of water-quality sondes and sensors for high-frequency groundwater-quality monitoring and updates the guidance pertaining to standardized records computation procedures for a wide range of groundwater environments. This report builds on previous continuous surface-water-quality monitoring guidance documentation for water temperature, specific conductance, pH, dissolved oxygen, and nitrate. The specific groundwater-quality monitoring guidelines presented in this report address station selection, design, installation, and operations; sonde and sensor inspections and cleaning and calibration methods; troubleshooting procedures; data evaluations, data corrections, and record computations; and record review, approval, and auditing procedures for the groundwater environment.

Evaluation of chemical and hydrologic processes in the eastern Snake River Plain Aquifer based on results from geochemical modeling, Idaho National Laboratory, eastern Idaho

Released September 11, 2019 15:03 EST

2019, Professional Paper 1837-B

Gordon W. Rattray

Nuclear research activities at the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Idaho National Laboratory (INL) produced liquid and solid chemical and radiochemical wastes that were disposed to the subsurface resulting in detectable concentrations of some waste constituents in the eastern Snake River Plain (ESRP) aquifer. These waste constituents may affect the water quality of the aquifer and may pose risks to the eventual users of the aquifer water. To understand these risks to water quality the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the DOE, conducted geochemical mass-balance modeling of the ESRP aquifer to improve the understanding of chemical reactions, sources of recharge, mixing of water, and groundwater flow directions in the shallow (upper 250 feet) aquifer at the INL.

Modeling was conducted using the water chemistry of 127 water samples collected from sites at and near the INL. Water samples were collected between 1952 and 2017 with most of the samples collected during the mid-1990s. Geochemistry and isotopic data used in geochemical modeling consisted of dissolved oxygen, carbon dioxide, major ions, silica, aluminum, iron, and the stable isotope ratios of hydrogen, oxygen, and carbon.

Geochemical modeling results indicated that the primary chemical reactions in the aquifer were precipitation of calcite and dissolution of plagioclase (An60) and basalt volcanic glass. Secondary minerals other than calcite included calcium montmorillonite and goethite. Reverse cation exchange, consisting of sodium exchanging for calcium on clay minerals, occurred near site facilities where large amounts of sodium were released to the ESRP aquifer in wastewater discharge. Reverse cation exchange acted to retard the movement of wastewater-derived sodium in the aquifer.

Regional groundwater inflow was the primary source of recharge to the aquifer underlying the Northeast and Southeast INL Areas. Birch Creek (BC), the Big Lost River (BLR), and groundwater from BC valley provided recharge to the North INL Area, and the BLR and groundwater from BC and Little Lost River (LLR) valleys provided recharge to the Central INL Area. The BLR, groundwater from the BLR and LLR valleys and the Lost River Range, and precipitation provided recharge to the Northwest and Southwest INL Areas. The primary source of recharge west and southwest of the INL was groundwater inflow from BLR valley. Upwelling geothermal water was a small source of recharge at two wells. Aquifer recharge from surface water in the northern, central, and western parts of the INL indicated that the aquifer in these areas was a dynamic, open system, whereas the aquifer in the eastern part of the INL, which receives little recharge from surface water, was a relatively static and closed system.

Sources of recharge identified from isotope ratios and geochemical modeling (major ion concentrations) were nearly identical for the North, Northeast, Southeast, and Central INL Areas, which indicated that both methods probably accurately identified the sources of recharge in these areas. Conversely, isotope ratios indicated that the BLR and groundwater from the LLR valley provided most recharge to the western parts of the Northwest and Southwest INL Areas, whereas geochemical modeling results indicated a smaller area of recharge from the BLR and groundwater from the LLR valley, a larger area of recharge from the Lost River Range, and recharge of groundwater from the BLR valley that extended to the west INL boundary. The results from geochemical modeling probably were more accurate because major ion concentrations, but not isotope ratios, were available to characterize groundwater from the BLR valley and the Lost River Range. 

Sources of recharge identified with a groundwater flow model (using particle tracking) and geochemical modeling were similar for the Northeast and Southeast INL Areas. However, differences between the models were that the geochemical model represented (1) recharge of groundwater from the Lost River Range in the western part of the INL, whereas the flow model did not, (2) recharge of groundwater from the BC and BLR valleys extending farther south and east, respectively, than the flow model, and (3) more recharge from the BLR in the Southwest INL Area than the flow model.

Mixing of aquifer water beneath the INL included (1) mixing of regional groundwater and water from the BC valley in the Northeast and Southeast INL Areas and (2) mixing of surface water (primarily from the BLR) and groundwater across much of the North, Central, Northwest, and Southwest INL Areas. Localized recharge from precipitation mixed with groundwater in the Northwest and Southwest INL Areas, and localized upwelling geothermal water mixed with groundwater in the Central and Northeast INL Areas. Flow directions of regional groundwater were south in the eastern part of the INL and south-southwest at downgradient locations. Groundwater from the BC and LLR valleys initially flowed southeast before changing to south-southwest flow directions that paralleled regional groundwater, and groundwater from the BLR valley initially flowed south before changing to a southsouthwest direction.

Wastewater-contaminated groundwater flowed south from the Idaho Nuclear Technology and Engineering Center (INTEC) infiltration ponds in a narrow plume, with the percentage of wastewater in groundwater decreasing due to dilution, dispersion, and (or) degradation from about 60‒80 percent wastewater 0.7‒0.8 mile (mi) south of the INTEC infiltration ponds to about 1.4 percent wastewater about 15.5 mi south of the INTEC infiltration ponds. Wastewater contaminated groundwater flowed southeast and then southwest from the Naval Reactors Facility industrial waste ditch, with the percentage of wastewater in groundwater decreasing from about 100 percent wastewater adjacent to the waste ditch to about 2 percent wastewater about 0.6 mi south of the waste ditch.


Willingness to pay for conservation of transborder migratory species: A case study of the Mexican free-tailed bat in the United States and Mexico

Released September 11, 2019 13:00 EST

2019, Environmental Management (62) 229-240

Michelle A. Haefele, John B. Loomis, Robert W. Merideth, Aaron M. Lien, Darius J. Semmens, Jim Dubovsky, Ruscena Wiederholt, Wayne E. Thogmartin, Ta-Ken Huang, Gary McCracken, Laura Lopez-Hoffman, Rodrigo Medellin, J.E. Diffendorfer

We estimated U.S. and Mexican citizens’ willingness to pay (WTP) for protecting habitat for a transborder migratory species, the Mexican free-tailed bats (Tadarida brasiliensis mexicana), using the contingent valuation method. Few contingent valuation surveys have evaluated whether households in one country would pay to protect habitat in another country. This study addresses that gap. In our study, Mexican respondents were asked about their WTP for conservation of Mexican free-tailed bat habitat in Mexico and in the United States. Similarly, U.S. respondents were asked about their WTP for conservation in the United States and in Mexico. U.S. households would be willing to pay $30 annually to protect habitat in the United States and $24 annually to protect habitat in Mexico. Mexican households would pay $8 annually to protect habitat in Mexico and $5 annually to protect habitat in the United States. In both countries, these WTP amounts rose significantly for increasing the size of the bat population rather than simply stabilizing the current bat population. The ratio of Mexican-household WTP relative to U.S.-household WTP is nearly identical to that of Mexican-household income relative to U.S.-household income. This suggests that the perceived economic benefits received from the bats is similar in Mexico and the United States, and that scaling WTP by relative income in international benefit transfer may be plausible.

Quantifying spirorchiid eggs in splenic histological samples from green turtles

Released September 11, 2019 11:50 EST

2019, Helminthologia (56) 269-272

Felipe D'Azeredo, Meira Meira-Filho, Thierry M. Work

The present study proposes a new methodology for the quantification of parasite eggs in animal tissue. Quantification of parasites are important to understand epidemiology of spirorchiid infections in sea turtles, however different methodologies for quantifying Spirorchiidae eggs in turtle tissues have been used. The most representative way to quantify Spirorchiidae burdens in tissues is counting eggs / g of tissue, however, this method is very laborious. As an alternative, we propose quantifying number of Spirorchiidae eggs/ area of tissue on a microscope slide. We compared this method to number of eggs / slide, a common metric of egg burden in turtle tissues. Both methods correlated well with eggs / g with eggs/mm^2 of tissue having better correlation.

Drought-mediated extinction of an arid-land amphibian: Insights from a spatially explicit dynamic occupancy model

Released September 11, 2019 11:49 EST

2019, Ecological Applications (29)

Erin R Zylstra, Don E Swann, Blake R. Hossack, Robert J Steidl

Erin L. Muths, editor(s)

Understanding how natural and anthropogenic processes affect population dynamics of species with patchy distributions is critical to predicting their responses to environmental changes. Despite considerable evidence that demographic rates and dispersal patterns vary temporally in response to an array of biotic and abiotic processes, few applications of metapopulation theory have sought to explore factors that explain spatio-temporal variation in extinction or colonization rates. To facilitate exploring these factors, we extended a spatially explicit model of metapopulation dynamics to create a framework that requires only binary presence-absence data, makes few assumptions about the dispersal process, and accounts for imperfect detection. We apply this framework to 22 years of biannual survey data for lowland leopard frogs, Lithobates yavapaiensis, an amphibian that inhabits arid stream systems in the southwestern U.S. and northern Mexico. Our results highlight the importance of accounting for factors that govern temporal variation in transition probabilities, as both extinction and colonization rates varied with hydrologic conditions. Specifically, local extinctions were more frequent during drought periods, particularly at sites without reliable surface water. Colonization rates increased when larval and dispersal periods were wetter than normal, which increased the probability that potential emigrants metamorphosed and reached neighboring sites. Extirpation of frogs from one watershed during a period of severe drought demonstrated the influence of site-level features, as frogs persisted only in areas where most sites held water consistently and where the amount of sediment deposited from high-elevation wildfires was low. Application of our model provided novel insights into how climate-related processes affected the distribution and population dynamics of an arid-land amphibian. The approach we describe has application to a wide array of species that inhabit patchy environments, can improve our understanding of factors that govern metapopulation dynamics, and can inform strategies for conservation of imperiled species.

Using social-context matching to improve spatial function-transfer performance for cultural ecosystem service models

Released September 11, 2019 11:32 EST

2019, Ecosystem Services (38)

Darius J. Semmens, Ben C. Sherrouse, Zachary H. Ancona

Recreational and aesthetic enjoyment of public lands is increasing across a wide range of activities, highlighting the need to assess and adapt management to accommodate these uses. Despite a growing number of studies on mapping cultural ecosystem services, most are local-scale assessments that rely on costly and time-consuming primary data collection. As a result, the availability of spatial information on non-market values associated with cultural ecosystem services (social values) remains limited. Spatial function transfer, if it could be justified for social-value models, would expedite the development of social-value information and promote its more regular inclusion in ecosystem service assessments. We used survey data from six national forests in Colorado and Wyoming to explore the potential for transferring cultural ecosystem service models between forests and specifically to test the hypothesis that transfer performance increases with social-context similarity between transferring and receiving areas. Results confirm this relationship but fall just short of being able to predict with certainty when transferred models will meet the minimum performance criterion needed for defensible use by managers. Social values are highly variable and can be difficult to predict, but our results suggest that with the right combination of indicators spatial function transfer can become a defensible means of generating social-value information when primary data collection is not feasible.

Monarch habitat as a component of multifunctional landscape restoration using continuous riparian buffers

Released September 11, 2019 11:31 EST

2019, Frontiers in Environmental Science (7)

Darius J. Semmens, Zachary H. Ancona

Stabilizing the eastern, migratory population of monarch butterflies (Danaus plexippus) is expected to require substantial habitat restoration on agricultural land in the core breeding area of the Upper Midwestern U.S. Previous research has considered the potential to utilize marginal land for this purpose because of its low productivity, erodible soils, and high nutrient input requirements. This strategy has strong potential for restoring milkweed (Asclepias spp.), but may be limited in terms of its ability to generate additional biophysical and socioeconomic benefits for local communities. Here we explore the possibility of restoring milkweed via the creation of continuous riparian buffer strips around rivers and streams throughout the region. We use a GIS-based analysis to consider the potential of several different buffer-width scenarios to meet milkweed restoration targets. We further estimate the ability of these habitat areas to provide additional functionality in the form of crop pollination and water quality regulation across the entire region. Finally, we estimate the conservative economic value of these ecosystem services and compare it with the lost value of crops associated with each scenario. Results suggest that riparian buffers could be used to meet 10-43% of the total milkweed restoration target of 1.3 billion new stems with moderate management. The value of water quality and pollination benefits provided by buffers is estimated to exceed costs only for our smallest buffer-width scenario, with a cost-benefit ratio of 1:2. Larger buffer widths provide more milkweed, but costs to farmers exceed the benefits we were able to quantify. The large-scale restoration of multifunctional riparian corridors thus has the potential to be a win-win scenario, adding milkweed stems while also providing a variety of other valuable benefits. This suggests the potential to leverage monarch habitat restoration efforts for the benefit of a wider variety of species and broader coalition of beneficiaries.

Assessment of undiscovered gas hydrate resources in the North Slope of Alaska, 2018

Released September 10, 2019 11:00 EST

2019, Fact Sheet 2019-3037

Timothy S. Collett, Kristen A. Lewis, Margarita V. Zyrianova, Seth S. Haines, Christopher J. Schenk, Tracey J. Mercier, Michael E. Brownfield, Stephanie B. Gaswirth, Kristen R. Marra, Heidi M. Leathers-Miller, Janet K. Pitman, Marilyn E. Tennyson, Cheryl A. Woodall, David W. Houseknecht

Using a geology-based assessment methodology, the U.S. Geological Survey estimated undiscovered, technically recoverable mean resources of about 54 trillion cubic feet of gas resources within gas hydrates in the North Slope of Alaska.

Efficacy of increasing discharge to reduce tow-mediated fish passage across an electric dispersal barrier system in a confined channel

Released September 10, 2019 10:57 EST

2019, Journal of Great Lakes Research

Jessica Zinger, Jeremiah J. Davis, Matthew R. Shanks, P. Ryan Jackson, Elizabeth A. Murphy, Carey L. Baxter, Jonathan C. Trovillion, Michael K. McInerney

The Electric Dispersal Barrier System (EDBS) in the Chicago Sanitary and Ship Canal (CSSC) was built to limit the interbasin transfer of aquatic invasive species between the Mississippi River Basin and the Great Lakes Basin. Commercial barge traffic, or tows, moving downstream through the EDBS can facilitate the upstream passage of small fish through the barrier by reducing the voltage gradient of the barrier and causing localized upstream return currents. This study tested whether it is possible to prevent upstream passage of small fish across the barrier by preventing upstream return currents. Measurements of water velocity, voltage gradient, and tow speed, as well as sonar-based observations of resident fish, were made as a tow transited the EDBS moving downstream. The results indicate that upstream return currents can be prevented for typical flow conditions in the CSSC (ambient velocity = 0.15 to 0.23 m/s) when tow speeds are <0.46 m/s. Similarly, increasing the ambient velocity above typical values can prevent upstream return currents for faster tow speeds and larger tows. Additionally, preventing upstream return currents at the EDBS may reduce, but does not prevent, tow-mediated upstream fish passages because tows also cause a temporary reduction in the streamwise voltage gradient at the EDBS. These results have implications for the management of invasive bigheaded carps in the Illinois Waterway.

Factors affecting post-release survival of coded-wire tagged Lake Trout Salvelinus namaycush in Lake Michigan at four historical spawning locations

Released September 10, 2019 09:51 EST

2019, North American Journal of Fisheries Management

Matthew S. Kornis, Charles R. Bronte, Mark E. Holey, S. Dale Hanson, Theodore J. Treska, Jory L. Jonas, Charles P. Madenjian, Randall M. Claramunt, Steven R. Robillard, Brian Breidert, Kevin C. Donner, Stephen J. Lenart, Archie W. Martell, Patrick C. McKee, Erik J. Olson

Since the 1950s, fishery agencies on Lake Michigan have pursued Lake Trout Salvelinus namaycush rehabilitation through Sea Lamprey Petromyzon marinus control, harvest regulations, and by stocking millions of fish annually. Stocking was prioritized at four historically important spawning locations beginning in 1985, and coded wire tags (CWTs) were used to help evaluate performance. We used data from CWT fish captured in fishery-independent surveys from 1998 – 2014 to evaluate relative post-release survival of Lake Trout, estimated by catch-per-unit-effort and corrected for the number of fish stocked (CPUE), across 173 CWT tag lots of the 1994 – 2003 year classes stocked at these four locations. Boosted regression tree (BRT) models were used to assess the relative influence of four variables on Lake Trout CPUE in two age groups (age 4-5 years and 6-10 years) and paired with analyses of variance to test for statistical significance. Genetic strain (29.1%), stocking location (27.8%), mortality at release (23.1%) and predator density (19.9%) had similar influence on the relative survival of younger fish, whereas relative survival of older fish was heavily influenced by stocking location (79.8%). Survival of both age groups was lowest for fish stocked in the Northern Refuge, where the age structure was truncated due to fishery harvest and Sea Lamprey predation. Survival of stocked fish was higher at the Southern Refuge, Clay Banks, and Julian’s Reef, where mortality from sea lamprey and harvest was lower, and where increases in wild Lake Trout have been observed in recent years. Stocked Lake Michigan remnant genetic strains also appeared to survive better than strains from other lakes at these three locations, but strain effects could not be fully disentangled from effects of stocking location, and continued stocking of multiple genetic strains may provide resiliency toward future selection pressures. Continued progress toward rehabilitation will require reducing fishing and lamprey-induced mortality in northern Lake Michigan to build parental stocks of advanced ages as well as balancing efforts among competing management goals.

Controls on spatial and temporal variations of brine discharge to the Dolores River in the Paradox Valley, Colorado, 2016–18

Released September 09, 2019 15:55 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5058

M. Alisa Mast, Neil Terry

The Paradox Valley in southwestern Colorado is a collapsed anticline formed by movement of the salt-rich Paradox Formation at the core of the anticline. The salinity of the Dolores River, a tributary of the Colorado River, increases substantially as it crosses the valley because of discharge of brine-rich groundwater derived from the underlying salts. Although the brine is naturally occurring, it increases the salinity of the Colorado River, which is a major concern to downstream agricultural, municipal, and industrial water users. The U.S. Geological Survey in cooperation with the Bureau of Reclamation conducted a study to improve the characterization of processes controlling spatial and temporal variations in brine discharge to the Dolores River. For the study, three geophysical surveys were conducted in March, May, and September 2017, and water levels were monitored in selected ponds and groundwater wells from November 2016 to May 2018. The study also utilized streamflow and specific conductance data from two U.S. Geological Survey streamflow-gaging stations on the Dolores River to estimate salt load to the river.

River-based continuous resistivity profiling and frequency domain electromagnetic induction surveys made during low-flow conditions indicated a zone of brine-rich groundwater close to the riverbed along an approximately 4-kilometer reach of the river. Under high-flow conditions, the brine was depressed as much as 2 meters below the riverbed, and brine discharge to the river was reduced to a minimum. Direct current electrical resistivity surveys show that the freshwater lens overlying the brine is much thicker (up to 10 meters) on the west bank than on the east bank (less than 5 meters). A large low-conductivity anomaly at river distance 6,800 meters was observed in all surveys and may represent a freshwater discharge zone or a losing reach of the river.

Filling and draining of the wildlife ponds on the west side of the river had a negligible effect on salt loads in the river during the study period. Groundwater monitoring showed there was active exchange of water between the river and the adjacent alluvial aquifer. When river stage was low, groundwater flowed towards the river, and brine discharge to the river increased. When the river stage was high, the gradient was reversed, and fresh surface water recharged the alluvial aquifer minimizing brine discharge. Most of the salt load to the river occurred during the winter and appeared to be enhanced by diurnal stage fluctuations.

A conceptual model of brine discharge to the river is presented at three scales. Groundwater at the regional scale drives dissolution of salt in the Paradox Formation and flow of brine into the base of the alluvial aquifer. Surface water–groundwater interactions at the scale of the alluvial aquifer control brine discharge to the river seasonally and interannually. At the finest scale, diurnal fluctuations in river stage drive exchange of freshwater with saltier pore water in the hyporheic zone, which appears to increase brine discharge to the river during winter.

Influenza A virus detected in native bivalves in waterfowl habitat of the Delmarva Peninsula, USA

Released September 09, 2019 14:22 EST

2019, Microorganisms (7)

Christine L. Densmore, Deborah D. Iwanowicz, Shawn M. McLaughlin, Christopher A. Ottinger, Jason E. Spires, Luke R. Iwanowicz

We evaluated the prevalence of influenza A virus (IAV) in different species of bivalves inhabiting natural water bodies in waterfowl habitat along the Delmarva Peninsula and Chesapeake Bay in eastern Maryland. Bivalve tissue from clam and mussel specimens (Macoma balthicaMacoma phenaxMulinia sp., Rangia cuneataMya arenariaGuekensia demissa, and an undetermined mussel species) from five collection sites was analyzed for the presence of type A influenza virus by qPCR targeting the matrix gene. Of the 300 tissue samples analyzed, 13 samples (4.3%) tested positive for presence of influenza virus A matrix gene. To our knowledge, this is the first report of detection of IAV in the tissue of any bivalve mollusk from a natural water body.

Effects of water temperature, turbidity, and rainbow trout on humpback chub population dynamics

Released September 06, 2019 11:43 EST

2019, Fact Sheet 2019-3049

Charles Yackulic, Julia B. Hull

Phil Frederick, editor(s)

Humpback chub (Gila cypha Miller 1946), found only in the Colorado River Basin, was one of the first species to be given full protection under the Endangered Species Act of 1973. Habitat alterations, such as changes in flow and water temperature caused by dams, and the introduction of nonnative fish have contributed to population declines in humpback chub and other native fish. These habitat alterations provide ideal conditions for the nonnative sport fish, rainbow trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss Walbaum 1792). Managers have long sought to balance recovery of humpback chub with a viable rainbow trout fishery. However, finding this balance requires understanding how environmental conditions and rainbow trout have affected humpback chub populations. Recent findings indicate that the Colorado River can be managed for rainbow trout while maintaining a healthy humpback chub population in Grand Canyon National Park.

The effects of management practices on grassland birds—American Bittern (Botaurus lentiginosus)

Released September 06, 2019 10:15 EST

2019, Professional Paper 1842-K

Jill A. Shaffer, Lawrence D. Igl, Douglas H. Johnson, Marriah L. Sondreal, Christopher M. Goldade, Amy L. Zimmerman, Travis L. Wooten, Betty R. Euliss

Keys to American Bittern (Botaurus lentiginosus) management include protecting wetlands and adjacent uplands and maintaining idle upland habitat. American Bitterns have been reported to use habitats with 30–203 centimeters (cm) average vegetation height, 44–99 cm visual obstruction reading, and less than 91 cm water depth. 

The effects of management practices on grassland birds—Willet (Tringa semipalmata inornata)

Released September 06, 2019 10:15 EST

2019, Professional Paper 1842-I

Jill A. Shaffer, Lawrence D. Igl, Douglas H. Johnson, Marriah L. Sondreal, Christopher M. Goldade, Barry D. Parkin, Jason P. Thiele, Betty R. Euliss

Keys to Willet (Tringa semipalmata inornata) management include providing large expanses of native grasslands and wetland complexes. Wetland complexes should contain a diversity of wetland sizes and classes, such as ephemeral, temporary, seasonal, semipermanent, and permanent wetlands, as well as intermittent streams. Willets use wetlands of various salinities. Willets require short, sparse upland grasslands for nesting and foraging and wetland complexes for foraging. Broods use taller, denser grass cover than do nesting adults. Willets have been reported to use habitats with less than or equal to 70 centimeters (cm) average vegetation height, 4–23 cm visual obstruction reading, 15 percent bare ground, 38 percent litter cover, and 1–9 cm litter depth. 

The effects of management practices on grassland birds—Wilson’s Phalarope (Phalaropus tricolor)

Released September 06, 2019 10:15 EST

2019, Professional Paper 1842-J

Jill A. Shaffer, Lawrence D. Igl, Douglas H. Johnson, Christopher M. Goldade, Amy L. Zimmerman, Betty R. Euliss

The key to Wilson’s Phalarope (Phalaropus tricolor) management is providing wetland complexes containing suitable wetland characteristics (that is, open water, emergent vegetation, and open shoreline) and upland habitat (native grassland or tame hayland) throughout the breeding season. Wilson’s Phalaropes have been reported to use habitats with 15–32 centimeters (cm) average vegetation height, 8–18 cm visual obstruction reading, 45–53 percent grass cover, 19–22 percent forb cover, and less than 3 cm litter depth.

The effects of management practices on grassland birds—Marbled Godwit (Limosa fedoa)

Released September 06, 2019 10:15 EST

2019, Professional Paper 1842-H

Jill A. Shaffer, Lawrence D. Igl, Douglas H. Johnson, Marriah L. Sondreal, Christopher M. Goldade, Melvin P. Nenneman, Betty R. Euliss

Keys to Marbled Godwit (Limosa fedoa) management include providing large expanses of short, sparsely to moderately vegetated landscapes that include native grasslands and wetland complexes. Optimal wetland complexes should contain a diversity of wetland classes and sizes, such as ephemeral, temporary, seasonal, semipermanent, permanent, and alkali wetlands, as well as intermittent streams. Marbled Godwits use wetlands of various salinities. The species has been reported to use habitats with less than or equal to 70 centimeters (cm) average vegetation height, 4–23 cm visual obstruction reading, and 1–9 cm litter depth.

The effects of management practices on grassland birds—Long-billed Curlew (Numenius americanus)

Released September 06, 2019 10:15 EST

2019, Professional Paper 1842-G

Jill A. Shaffer, Lawrence D. Igl, Douglas H. Johnson, Marriah L. Sondreal, Christopher M. Goldade, Paul A. Rabie, Betty R. Euliss

Keys to Long-billed Curlew (Numenius americanus) management include providing large, open, level to gently rolling grasslands with short vegetation, and tailoring grazing regimes to local conditions. Long-billed Curlews have been reported to use habitats with 3–75 centimeters (cm) average vegetation height, less than or equal to 27 cm visual obstruction reading, 20–71 percent grass cover, 4–50 percent forb cover, 2–12 percent shrub cover, 7–40 percent bare ground, and less than 3 cm litter depth.

The effects of management practices on grassland birds—Upland Sandpiper (Bartramia longicauda)

Released September 06, 2019 10:15 EST

2019, Professional Paper 1842-F

Jill A. Shaffer, Lawrence D. Igl, Douglas H. Johnson, Meghan F. Dinkins, Christopher M. Goldade, Barry D. Parkin, Betty R. Euliss

The key to Upland Sandpiper (Bartramia longicauda) management is providing grasslands of various heights with few shrubs. In general, Upland Sandpipers forage within short vegetation and nest and rear broods within taller vegetation. Upland Sandpipers have been reported to use habitats with less than (<) 93 centimeters (cm) vegetation height, 5–75 cm visual obstruction reading, greater than or equal to 33 percent grass cover, less than or equal to (≤) 50 percent forb cover, ≤13 percent shrub cover, 3–12 percent bare ground, 11–30 percent litter cover, and <13 cm litter depth.

The effects of management practices on grassland birds—Mountain Plover (Charadrius montanus)

Released September 06, 2019 10:15 EST

2019, Professional Paper 1842-E

Jill A. Shaffer, Lawrence D. Igl, Douglas H. Johnson, Marriah L. Sondreal, Christopher M. Goldade, Melvin P. Nenneman, Travis L. Wooten, Betty R. Euliss

The key to Mountain Plover (Charadrius montanus) management is maintaining sparsely vegetated grasslands. Grasslands can be made suitable for breeding Mountain Plovers by preserving large prairie dog (Cynomys species) towns, conducting prescribed burns, or implementing heavy grazing in some situations. Mountain Plovers have been reported to use habitats with 2–38 centimeters average vegetation height, 14–87 percent grass cover, 2–14 percent forb cover, 4–55 percent shrub cover, 9–72 percent bare ground, 2 percent litter cover, and 4–6 cm litter depth.

Laboratory assessment of alternative stream velocity measurement methods

Released September 06, 2019 09:54 EST

2019, PLoS ONE (14)

Stephen Hundt, Kyle Blasch

Understanding streamflow in montane watersheds on regional scales is often incomplete due to a lack of data for small-order streams that link precipitation and snowmelt processes to main stem discharge. This data deficiency is attributed to the prohibitive cost of conventional streamflow measurement methods and the remote location of many small streams. Expedient and low-cost streamflow measurement methods used by resource professionals or citizen scientists can provide scientifically useful solutions to this data deficiency. To this end, four current velocity measurement methods were evaluated in a laboratory flume: the surface float, rising body, velocity head rod, and rising air bubble methods. The methods were tested under a range of stream velocities, cross-sectional depths, and streambed substrates. The resulting measurements provide estimates of precision and bias of each method, as well as method-specific insight and calibration formulas. The velocity head rod and surface float methods were the easiest methods to use, providing greater precision at large (>=0.6 m/s) and small (<0.6 m/s) velocities, respectively. However, the reliance on a velocity ratio for each of these methods can generate inaccuracy in their results. The rising body method is more challenging to execute and of lower precision than the former two methods but provides low bias measurements. The rising air bubble method has a complex instrument assembly that is considered impractical for potential field user groups.

Gravity surveys using a mobile atom interferometer

Released September 06, 2019 09:24 EST

2019, Science Advances (5)

Xuejian Wu, Zachary Pagel, Bola S. Malek, Timothy H. Nguyen, Fei Zi, Daniel Scheirer, Holger Muller

Mobile gravimetry is important in metrology, navigation, geodesy, and geophysics. Atomic gravimeters could be among the most accurate mobile gravimeters, but are currently constrained by being complex and fragile. Here, we demonstrate a mobile atomic gravimeter, measuring tidal gravity variations in the laboratory as well as surveying gravity in the field. The tidal gravity measurements achieve a sensitivity of 37 μGal/√Hz (1 μGal=10 nm/s2) and a long-term stability of better than 2 μGal, revealing ocean tidal loading effects and recording several distant earthquakes. We survey gravity in the Berkeley Hills with an uncertainty of around 0.04 mGal and determine the density of the subsurface rocks from the vertical gravity gradient. With simplicity and sensitivity, our instrument paves the way for bringing atomic gravimeters to field applications.

Arsenic variability and groundwater age in three water supply wells in southeast New Hampshire

Released September 05, 2019 15:42 EST

2019, Geoscience Frontiers (10) 1669-1683

Joseph Levitt, James Degnan, Sarah Flanagan, Bryant Jurgens

Three wells in New Hampshire were sampled bimonthly over three years to evaluate the temporal variability of arsenic concentrations and groundwater age. All samples had measurable concentrations of arsenic throughout the entire sampling period and concentrations in individual wells varied, on average, by more than 7 µg/L. High arsenic concentrations (>10 µg/L) were measured in bedrock wells KFW-87 and SGW-93, consistent with the high pH and low dissolved oxygen typically found in fractured crystalline bedrock aquifers in New Hampshire. Lower arsenic concentrations (<10 µg/L) at well SGW-65 were consistent with lower pH typical of glacial aquifers in New Hampshire.

Numerical model simulations of potential changes in water levels and capture of natural discharge from groundwater withdrawals in Snake Valley and adjacent areas, Utah and Nevada

Released September 05, 2019 14:12 EST

2019, Open-File Report 2019-1083

Melissa D. Masbruch

The National Park Service (NPS) and the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) are concerned about cumulative effects of groundwater development on groundwater-dependent resources managed by, and other groundwater resources of interest to, these agencies in Snake Valley and adjacent areas, Utah and Nevada. Of particular concern to the NPS and BLM are withdrawals from all existing approved, perfected, certified, permitted, and vested groundwater rights in Snake Valley totaling about 55,272 acre-feet per year (acre-ft/yr), and from several senior water-right applications filed by the Southern Nevada Water Authority (SNWA) totaling 50,680 acre-ft/yr.

An existing groundwater-flow model of the eastern Great Basin was used to investigate where potential drawdown and capture of natural discharge is likely to result from potential groundwater withdrawals from existing groundwater rights in Snake Valley, and from groundwater withdrawals proposed in several applications filed by the SNWA. To evaluate the potential effects of the existing and proposed SNWA groundwater withdrawals, 11 withdrawal scenarios were simulated. All scenarios were run as steady state to estimate the ultimate long-term effects of the simulated withdrawals. This assessment provides a general understanding of the relative susceptibility of the groundwater resources of interest to the NPS and BLM, and the groundwater system in general, to existing and future groundwater development in the study area.

At the NPS and BLM groundwater resource sites of interest, simulated drawdown resulting from withdrawals based on existing approved, perfected, certified, permitted, and vested groundwater rights within Snake Valley ranged between 0 and 159 feet (ft) without accounting for irrigation return flow, and between 0 and 123 ft with accounting for irrigation return flow. With the addition of proposed SNWA withdrawals of 35,000 acre-ft/yr (equal to the Unallocated Groundwater portion allotted to Nevada in a draft interstate agreement), simulated drawdowns at the NPS and BLM sites of interest increased to range between 0 and 2,074 ft without irrigation return flow, and between 0 and 2,002 ft with irrigation return flow. With the addition of the proposed SNWA withdrawals of an amount equal to the full application amounts (50,680 acre-ft/yr), simulated drawdowns at the NPS and BLM sites of interest increased to range between 1 and 3,119 ft without irrigation return flow, and between 1 and 3,044 ft with irrigation return flow.

At the NPS and BLM groundwater resource sites of interest, simulated capture of natural discharge resulting from withdrawals based on existing groundwater rights in Snake Valley, both with and without irrigation return flow, ranged between 0 and 100 percent; simulated capture of 100 percent occurred at four sites. With the addition of proposed SNWA withdrawals of an amount equal to the Unallocated Groundwater portion allotted to Nevada in the draft interstate agreement, simulated capture of 100 percent occurred at nine additional sites without irrigation return flow, and at eight additional sites with irrigation return flow. With the addition of the proposed SNWA withdrawals of an amount equal to the full application amounts, simulated capture of 100 percent occurred at 11 additional sites without irrigation return flow, and at 9 additional sites with irrigation return flow.

The large simulated drawdowns produced in the scenarios that include large portions or all of the proposed SNWA withdrawals indicate that the groundwater system may not be able to support the amount of withdrawals from the proposed points of diversion (PODs) in the current SNWA water-right applications. Therefore, four additional scenarios were simulated where the withdrawal rates at the SNWA PODs were constrained by not allowing drawdowns to be deeper than the assumed depth of the PODs (about 2,000 ft). In the constrained scenarios, total withdrawals at the SNWA PODs were reduced to about 48 percent of the Unallocated Groundwater portion allotted to Nevada (35,000 acre-ft/yr reduced to 16,817 acre-ft/yr or 16,914 acre-ft/yr, without or with irrigation return flow, respectively), and about 44 percent of the full application amounts (50,680 acre-ft/yr reduced to 22,048 acre-ft/yr or 22,165 acre-ft/yr, without or with irrigation return flow, respectively). This indicates that the SNWA may need to add more PODs, or PODs in different locations, in order to withdraw large portions or all of the groundwater that has been applied for.

At the NPS and BLM groundwater resource sites of interest, simulated drawdown resulting from the addition of the constrained SNWA withdrawals applied to the Unallocated Groundwater amount ranged between 0 and 290 ft without irrigation return flow, and between 0 and 252 ft with irrigation return flow. With the addition of the constrained SNWA withdrawals applied to the full application amounts, simulated drawdowns at the NPS and BLM sites of interest ranged between 0 and 358 ft without irrigation return flow, and between 0 and 313 ft with irrigation return flow.

At the NPS and BLM groundwater resource sites of interest, with the addition of the constrained SNWA withdrawals applied to the Unallocated Groundwater amount, simulated capture of 100 percent of the natural discharge occurred at five additional sites without irrigation return flow, and at two additional sites with irrigation return flow (in addition to the four captured from existing water rights both with and without irrigation return flow). With the addition of the constrained SNWA withdrawals applied to the full application amounts, simulated capture of 100 percent occurred at six additional sites both with and without irrigation return flow.

Analysis of groundwater response to tidal fluctuations, Operable Unit 1, Naval Base Kitsap, Keyport, Washington

Released September 05, 2019 13:41 EST

2019, Open-File Report 2019-1098

Chad C. Opatz, Richard S. Dinicola

Chlorinated volatile organic compounds have affected groundwater beneath a former 9-acre landfill at Operable Unit 1 (OU 1) of Naval Base Kitsap (NBK) Keyport, in Keyport, Washington. The landfill was the primary disposal area for domestic and industrial waste generated by NBK Keyport from the 1930s through 1973. Naval Facilities Engineering Command Northwest, in conjunction with the Environmental Protection Agency, Washington State Department of Ecology, and the Suquamish Tribe, is charged with collecting necessary data to monitor the contamination left in place and to ensure that the site does not pose a risk to human health or the environment.

To support these efforts, refined information was collected on how groundwater levels throughout OU 1 respond to tidal fluctuations at this nearshore site adjacent to Liberty Bay, an inlet of Puget Sound. The information was analyzed to determine the optimal times during the semidiurnal and the neap-spring tidal cycles to sample groundwater for contaminants associated with fresh groundwater originating from OU 1. The optimal times for sampling are presumed to be when fresh groundwater flowing seaward is least impeded by elevated tides, and those times are related to predicted tide levels by tidal lags, the durations between low tides, and corresponding low groundwater levels. Discrete groundwater-specific conductance data also were collected to determine if a seawater/freshwater interface was present at any of the monitoring wells, and to inform decisions on the depth at which groundwater should be sampled in existing wells.

Groundwater and surface-water levels were monitored at 19 monitoring wells and five adjacent surface-water sites. Specific conductance was monitored in each surface-water site. All time-series data parameters were collected every 15 minutes during a 4-week duration to measure how nearshore groundwater responds to tidal forcing. Time-series data were collected from July 12, 2018, to August 8, 2018, a period that included neap and spring tides. Vertical water-quality profiles were measured once in the screened interval of nine selected monitoring wells. The profiles included measurements at the top, middle, and bottom of each saturated screen interval.

Tidal lag times were determined relative to tidal levels in Liberty Bay (rather than in the more nearby Tide Flats) because the predicted tides for the Poulsbo, Washington Station (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration [NOAA] Station 9445719) that are used to schedule groundwater sampling represent open-water conditions in the area; a sill that separates Dogfish Bay from the Tide Flats clearly affects the timing and magnitude of low-low tides in the Tide Flats. Calculated tidal lag times were divided into three general groups: (1) wells where groundwater responded to tidal level changes immediately, (2) wells where groundwater responded to tidal level changes within about 2–5 hours, and (3) wells where groundwater had minimal response to tidal level changes. Groundwater levels in the middle group of wells primarily responded in concert with tidal level changes in the Tide Flats rather than tidal level changes in Liberty Bay.

An intended sampling depth refinement based on an assessment of transient seawater intrusion was not completed because of a failure to collect specific-conductance time-series data in select wells. Instead, discrete specific-conductance data from this and prior studies were evaluated to determine that the midpoint of well screens in OU 1 wells can be assumed to be a reasonably representative of undiluted groundwater. When sampling during spring (rather than neap) tides (as has generally been the standard practice at OU 1), the optimal time to sample the monitoring wells influenced by tides would be to add the tidal lags presented in this report to the time of the predicted low-low tide for Liberty Bay as measured at NOAA Station 9445719 at Poulsbo, Washington. Sampling schedules for the six wells where groundwater levels were only minimally influenced by tide changes should not be constrained by tidal conditions.

Delineation of spatial extent, depth, thickness, and potential volume of aquifers used for domestic and public water-supply in the Central Valley, California

Released September 05, 2019 10:24 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5076

Stefan Voss, Bryant C. Jurgens, Miranda S. Fram, George L. Bennett V

Identification of the groundwater resources used for drinking-water supplies is essential for the design of strategies to manage those resources. In this study, the spatial extent, depths, thicknesses, and volumes of groundwater aquifers used for domestic and public drinking-water supply were estimated from locations and well-construction data from 11,725 domestic-supply wells and 2,376 public-supply wells in the Central Valley, California. The data were compiled as part of the U.S. Geological Survey National Water Quality Assessment Project and California State Water Resources Control Board Groundwater Ambient Monitoring and Assessment Program Priority Basin Project. The spatial distributions of the depth to top and bottom of well screens were interpolated using Empirical Bayesian Kriging across buffer areas surrounding domestic- and public-supply wells. These surfaces provide a measure of the likely maximum horizontal and vertical extent of the aquifer volume accessed for drinking water in the Central Valley during the past century. Well depth generally increased from north to south, and over time from 1905 to 2010. Well-construction depths were generally more consistent in the Sacramento Valley than in the San Joaquin Valley. The total potential aquifer volume accessed for public supply was calculated to be greater than domestic-supply access, even though the estimated spatial extent of domestic-supply wells was 1.5 times larger than the spatial extent of public-supply wells. Public-supply wells commonly have screen lengths greater than 51 meters, whereas domestic-supply wells typically have shorter screen lengths (overall median of 6 meters). Consequently, the accessed thickness and volume of the aquifer is on average 1.8 and 1.4 times greater for public-supply wells than domestic-supply wells, respectively. Results are presented as maps of areal extent, depth, and thickness of zones in the Central Valley aquifer system used for domestic and public drinking-water supplies.

Tritium as an indicator of modern, mixed, and premodern groundwater age

Released September 05, 2019 10:00 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5090

Bruce D. Lindsey, Bryant C. Jurgens, Kenneth Belitz

Categorical classification of groundwater age is often used for the assessment and understanding of groundwater resources. This report presents a tritium-based age classification system for the conterminous United States based on tritium (3H) thresholds that vary in space and time: modern (recharged in 1953 or later), if the measured value is larger than an upper threshold; premodern (recharged prior to 1953) if the measured value is smaller than a lower threshold; or mixed if the measured value is between the two thresholds. Inclusion of spatially varying thresholds, rather than a single threshold, accounts for the observed systematic variation in 3H deposition across the United States. Inclusion of time-varying thresholds, rather than a single threshold, accounts for the date of sampling given the radioactive decay of 3H.

The efficacy of the tritium-based age classification system was evaluated at national and regional scales. The system was evaluated at a national scale by classifying samples from 1,788 public-supply wells distributed across 19 principal aquifers and comparing those results with expectations based on hydrogeologic principles. The regional-scale data are from five paired networks of shallow and deep wells (287 wells). As expected, modern groundwater is more prevalent in shallow wells than in deeper wells, in fractured-rock and carbonate aquifers as compared to clastic aquifers, in unconfined areas as compared to confined areas, and in humid climates as compared to arid climates. The results from a tritium-based age classification system compared favorably with the results of 14 previous studies of groundwater ages that used different age tracers and analytical methods. The wells and samples from the Cambrian-Ordovician aquifer that had been analyzed using a more complex multi-tracer analysis were also analyzed using the tritium-based age classification system, and there was a close match between the two methods. The results from these various studies suggest that the tritium-based age classification system may be informative as a screening tool prior to selecting more expensive and complex age-dating tracers and methods, or to provide an explanatory variable for other water-quality data where more complex methods or tracers are not available.

This work improves on previous groundwater age classification using 3H by developing methods that (1) determine 3H thresholds for groundwater recharged in 1953 or later that minimize the misclassification of modern samples as mixed; (2) determine a pre-1953 threshold to estimate premodern background concentrations; and (3) add a mixed category to classify samples that are clearly neither entirely modern nor entirely premodern. As with any tritium-based approach, it can fail when the 3H record in precipitation does not accurately reflect the record of 3H in recharge

Estimating spatially and temporally complex range dynamics when detection is imperfect

Released September 05, 2019 09:48 EST

2019, Scientific Reports (9)

Clark S. Rushing, J. Andrew Royle, David Ziolkowski Jr., Keith L. Pardieck

Species distributions are determined by the interaction of multiple biotic and abiotic factors, which produces complex spatial and temporal patterns of occurrence. As habitats and climate change due to anthropogenic activities, there is a need to develop species distribution models that can quantify these complex range dynamics. In this paper, we develop a dynamic occupancy model that uses a spatial generalized additive model to estimate non-linear spatial variation in occupancy not accounted for by environmental covariates. The model is flexible and can accommodate data from a range of sampling designs that provide information about both occupancy and detection probability. Output from the model can be used to create distribution maps and to estimate indices of temporal range dynamics. We demonstrate the utility of this approach by modeling long-term range dynamics of 10 eastern North American birds using data from the North American Breeding Bird Survey. We anticipate this framework will be particularly useful for modeling species’ distributions over large spatial scales and for quantifying range dynamics over long temporal scales.

Evaluation of groundwater-flow models for estimating drawdown from proposed groundwater development in Tule Desert, Nevada

Released September 05, 2019 09:37 EST

2019, Open-File Report 2019-1091

K.J. Halford

At the request of the Bureau of Land Management (BLM), the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) is releasing with this open-file report (OFR) a previously unpublished review and comparison of two numerical models for Tule Desert, Nevada. The original review was performed in spring 2013, and only minor editorial revisions were made in the current (2019) OFR for clarity and to reformat the original interagency correspondence to the USGS OFR template. No revisions have been made to the technical content of the original review for this OFR release. Report content presented in the purpose and scope statement, and all subsequent sections of the OFR, are original content submitted to BLM in May 2013. Model review and comparisons described in the following paragraphs are based on, in part, results of a long-term (more than 2 years) aquifer test mandated by Nevada State Engineer Order 1169. Additional information on Order 1169 and associated aquifer test results can be found at the State of Nevada Division of Water Resources website (State of Nevada, 2019).

Streamflow gains and losses in New Fork and Green Rivers, upstream from Fontenelle Reservoir, Wyoming, October 2015

Released September 04, 2019 13:00 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5081

Cheryl A. Eddy-Miller, Seth L. Davidson, Jerrod D. Wheeler, Sarah J. Davis, J. Brooks Stephens, James R. Campbell

The Wyoming Landscape Conservation Initiative is a program created to implement a long-term, science-based program of assessing natural resources while facilitating responsible energy and other development and does studies in much of southwestern Wyoming, including all or parts of Lincoln, Sublette, Fremont, Sweetwater, and Carbon Counties. A synoptic study was completed by the U.S. Geological Survey as part of ongoing contributions to the Wyoming Landscape Conservation Initiative to better understand the streamflow dynamics in the New Fork and Green Rivers in an area with historical, current, and future energy development.

Streamflow measurements were collected October 19–22, 2015, at 19 sites on the New Fork and Green Rivers in Wyoming to determine changes in streamflow and, where applicable, describe the inflow and outflow of groundwater. Streamflow in the New Fork River generally increased from 50 cubic feet per second (ft3/s) at the most upstream site near Pinedale, Wyoming, to 350 ft3/s at the mouth of the river. Streamflow in the Green River generally increased downstream from 250 ft3/s at the most upstream site at Warren Bridge to around 800 ft3/s at the most downstream site near La Barge, Wyo., upstream from Fontenelle Reservoir.

Estimated streamflow gains and losses were calculated for five reaches on the New Fork River. Four of the five reaches on the New Fork River had a change greater than the associated measurement error and were gaining reaches; the reach with the largest gain was the most upstream reach. One reach, the most downstream reach, had a calculated change in streamflow less than the associated measurement error.

Estimated streamflow gains and losses were calculated for four reaches on the Green River. One reach was determined to be a gaining reach, one was a losing reach, and two reaches had changes less than the associated measurement error.

Comparing the annual streamflow hydrographs for three long-term streamgages likely showed the effects of applying irrigation water to the upstream areas of land draining to the Green and New Fork Rivers. Streamflows in the New Fork River near Big Piney and the Green River near La Barge, Wyo., are sustained later in the season compared to the upstream site of Green River at Warren Bridge, which has few diversions and minimal irrigation.

Alaska Geochemical Database Version 3.0 (AGDB3)—Including “Best Value” Data Compilations for Rock, Sediment, Soil, Mineral, and Concentrate Sample Media

Released September 03, 2019 14:45 EST

2019, Data Series 1117

Matthew Granitto, Bronwen Wang, Nora B. Shew, Susan M. Karl, Keith A. Labay, Melanie B. Werdon, Susan S. Seitz, John E. Hoppe

The Alaska Geochemical Database Version 3.0 (AGDB3) contains new geochemical data compilations in which each geologic material sample has one “best value” determination for each analyzed species, greatly improving speed and efficiency of use. Like the Alaska Geochemical Database Version 2.0 before it, the AGDB3 was created and designed to compile and integrate geochemical data from Alaska to facilitate geologic mapping, petrologic studies, mineral resource assessments, definition of geochemical baseline values and statistics, element concentrations and associations, environmental impact assessments, and studies in public health associated with geology. This relational database, created from data-bases and published datasets of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), Atomic Energy Commission National Uranium Resource Evaluation (NURE), Alaska Division of Geological & Geophysical Surveys (DGGS), U.S. Bureau of Mines, and U.S. Bureau of Land Management serves as a data archive in support of Alaskan geologic and geochemical projects and contains data tables in several different formats describing historical and new quantitative and qualitative geochemical analyses. The analytical results were determined by 112 laboratory and field analytical methods on 396,343 rock, sediment, soil, mineral, heavy-mineral concentrate, and oxalic acid leachate samples. Most samples were collected by personnel of these agencies and analyzed in agency laboratories or, under contracts, in commercial analytical laboratories. These data represent analyses of samples collected as part of various agency programs and projects from 1938 through 2017. In addition, mineralogical data from 18,138 nonmagnetic heavy-mineral concentrate samples are included in this database. The AGDB3 includes historical geochemical data archived in the USGS National Geochemical Database (NGDB) and NURE National Uranium Resource Evaluation-Hydrogeochemical and Stream Sediment Reconnaissance databases, and in the DGGS Geochemistry database. Retrievals from these data-bases were used to generate most of the AGDB data set. These data were checked for accuracy regarding sample location, sample media type, and analytical methods used. In other words, the data of AGDB3 supersedes data in the AGDB and the AGDB2, but the background about the data in these two earlier versions are needed by users of the current AGDB3 to understand what has been done to amend, clean up, correct and format this data. Corrections were entered, resulting in a significantly improved Alaska geochemical dataset, the AGDB3. Data that were not previously in these databases because the data predate the earliest agency geochemical data-bases, or were once excluded for programmatic reasons, are included here in the AGDB3 and will be added to the NGDB and Alaska Geochemistry. The AGDB3 data provided here are the most accurate and complete to date and should be useful for a wide variety of geochemical studies. The AGDB3 data provided in the online version of the database may be updated or changed periodically.

Stratigraphic analysis of Corte Madera Creek flood control channel deposits

Released September 03, 2019 14:15 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5070

Daniel N. Livsey, Paul A. Work, Maureen Downing-Kunz

Sedimentation in a channel can reduce flood conveyance capability and potentially place nearby property and life at risk from flooding. In 1998, Marin County Public Works dredged the concrete-lined segment of Corte Madera Creek, which drains a hilly and largely urbanized watershed that terminates in San Francisco Bay, California. From then through 2015, approximately 4,100 cubic meters of sand and gravel infilled the concrete-lined segment. Determining when and under what conditions this material was deposited informs dredging operations for the Corte Madera Creek Flood Control Project and increases understanding of sediment delivery timing and mechanisms from this and other San Francisco Bay tributaries.

Two hypothesized scenarios were investigated: (1) complete flushing during high flows and re-deposition of channel fill afterward and (2) more steady, gradual channel infilling. Stratigraphic analysis of eight sediment cores collected from the flood-control channel deposits in August 2017 was used to identify the most likely scenario. In addition, sediment elevation profiles, grain-size data, and a one-dimensional hydrodynamic model were used to assess the potential for longitudinal-channel scour and deposition following the wet winter of water year 2017 in the intertidal reach of the concrete channel in Corte Madera Creek.

Results indicated the channel is undergoing gradual infilling. Storm flows of water year 2017 did not completely scour the concrete channel fill. Sediment cores, stratigraphic analysis, and sediment elevation profiles indicated 0.23 meter of scour at the downstream end of the concrete-lined section and that roughly 0.5 meter of channel fill remained in the channel. The hydrodynamic model demonstrated that sediment deposition in the concrete channel is expected to start downstream from the point where the channel bed reaches mean lower low-water level. High flows can carry most of the sediment through this segment of channel, depositing the bed-material load downstream from the transition to a wide channel, where velocity and bed shear stress decrease abruptly.

Although the storm flows of 2017 did not completely scour the channel fill, subsequent material deposited in the channel could be transported downstream from the concrete channel if the sediment elevation profile is in equilibrium with present (2019) mean sea level. A calibrated, coupled hydrodynamic-sediment transport model could be used to test the present equilibrium between sediment elevation profiles and mean sea level, such that additional sediment build-up in the concrete channel is remobilized during subsequent wet-season flows and deposited downstream from the concrete-lined segment.

Residency, recruitment, and stopover duration of hatch-year Roseate Terns (Sterna dougallii) during the pre-migratory staging period

Released September 03, 2019 09:44 EST

2019, Avian Conservation and Ecology (14)

Kayla L. Davis, Sarah M. Karpanty, Jeffrey A. Spendelow, Jonathan B. Cohen, Melissa A. Althouse, Katharine C Parsons, Cristin F. Luttazi, Daniel H. Catlin, Daniel Gibson

Avian migratory stopover and staging sites represent important energetic bottlenecks and may influence population dynamics as much as breeding or wintering periods. Roseate terns (Sterna dougallii) are an ideal species to examine staging demography because >70% of the entire endangered northwest Atlantic population stages at accessible locations around Cape Cod, MA before southward migration. We quantified hatch-year tern weekly residency, weekly recruitment rate into the staging population, and derived weekly staging population growth rate during two post-breeding, pre-migratory staging seasons (2014 and 2015) at Cape Cod National Seashore. We also estimated hatch-year tern staging duration at Cape Cod staging grounds. Tern residency probability at Cape Cod National Seashore during 2014 and 2015 was nearly 1 during the first weeks of the season and decreased steadily over the last four weeks to ~0.5 in the final week of the study. Recruitment rates into the staging population, representing the weekly per capita increase in hatch-year terns during the staging season, indicated that most terns arrived on the staging grounds during the first weeks of the staging season (16 July–19 August). We also identified differences in staging duration between birds from the two breeding regions. Hatch-year terns from the southernmost region spent less time staging at Cape Cod National Seashore than their northern counterparts in both 2014 and 2015. These differences may indicate alternative staging strategies for individuals originating in different regions and possibly reveal differences in conditions between these areas; for example, in the availability of ephemeral prey fish.

Floodplains provide important amphibian habitat despite multiple ecological threats

Released September 03, 2019 09:35 EST

2019, Ecosphere (10)

Meredith Holgerson, Adam Duarte, Marc Hayes, Michael J. Adams, Julie A. Tyson, Keith Douville, Angela Strecker

Floodplain ponds and wetlands are productive and biodiverse ecosystems, yet they face multiple threats including altered hydrology, land use change, and non‐native species. Protecting and restoring important floodplain ecosystems requires understanding how organisms use these habitats and respond to altered environmental conditions. We developed Bayesian models to evaluate occupancy of six amphibian species across 103 off‐channel aquatic habitats in the Chehalis River floodplain, Washington State, USA. The basin has been altered by changes in land use, reduced river–wetland connections, and the establishment of non‐native American bullfrogs (Rana catesbeiana = Lithobates catesbeianus) and centrarchid fishes, all of which we hypothesized could influence native amphibian occupancy. Despite potential threats, the floodplain habitats had relatively high rates of native amphibian occupancy, particularly when compared to studies from non‐floodplain habitats within the species’ native ranges. The biggest challenge for native amphibians appears to be non‐native centrarchid fishes, which strongly reduced occupancy of two native amphibians: the northern red‐legged frog (Rana aurora) and the northwestern salamander (Ambystoma gracile). Emergent vegetative cover increased occupancy probability for all five native amphibian species, indicating that plant management may offer a strategy to counter the negative effect of centrarchids by providing refuge from predation. We found that temporary and permanent hydroperiod sites supported different species; hence, both should be conserved on the landscape. Lastly, human‐created and natural ponds had similar amphibian occupancy patterns, suggesting that pond construction offers a viable strategy for adding habitats to the floodplain landscape. Overall, floodplain ponds and wetlands provide important amphibian habitat, and we offer management strategies that will bolster amphibian occupancy in an altered floodplain landscape.

Back to the future: Rebuilding the Everglades

Released September 01, 2019 10:57 EST

2019, Book chapter, The Coastal Everglades: The Dynamics of Social-Ecological Transformation in the South Florida Landscape

Fred H. Sklar, James M. Beerens, Laura A. Brandt, Carlos A. Coronado-Molina, Steven M Davis, Tom Frankovich, Christopher Madden, Agnes McLean, Joel C. Trexler, Walter Wilcox

Society values landscapes that are engrained in cultural tradition and have a rich connection with human history. As such, there has been a concerted effort to look at the pristine past and develop plans to move the past into the future. However, bringing the past back is constrained by hysteretic changes, irrevocable damages, and anthropogenic trends that do not reflect past conditions. The scale of the Everglades and its importance to water supply and flood control is such that a full recovery, to past, pre-drainage conditions, is not possible. What is possible? The answer is the federally authorized Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP) and the first, most significant implementation of the $12 Billion CERP is the $2 Billion Central Everglades Planning Project (CEPP). CEPP is our “flux-capacitor” in the DeLorean sports car that generates the ability to go back and forth in time, in the movie series “Back to the Future.” The primary hydrological modeling outputs of CEPP came from a version of the Regional Simulation Model (RSM), developed by the South Florida Water Management District. The RSM is the DeLorean vehicle, designed to carry the bags of ecological restoration. Unfortunately, the capacity of this vehicle (i.e., CEPP) is limited, but is it large enough? Will CEPP make a difference? The 20-year RSM simulations (1965 – 1985) without restoration showed nine dry periods when there was no water in the sloughs of Everglades National Park (ENP). When the model was run with CEPP conditions, all of these extreme dry conditions were eliminated. The impact of this was most apparent for fish, especially the size classes that wading birds eat. With our DeLorean (i.e. the RSM) we saw a 60-90% increase in fish density. As one might expect, the birds in our alternative future responded to the fish. The increased volume, flow, and connectivity in the CEPP simulations significantly improved the foraging response of all wading bird species, especially in Water Conservation Area 3 (WCA-3) and ENP. Foraging conditions for an average CEPP year improved by 25-100%. Further downstream, the CEPP simulations showed increased delivery of low nutrient fresh water to the Coastal Everglades and Florida Bay that displaced the relatively P-rich marine water, increased water transparency, and thus decreased algal blooms. However, in a future with accelerating sea levels and estuarine lakes with legacy phosphorus (P), how much more fresh water will be needed to maintain submerged aquatic vegetated habitats? The quest for Everglades Restoration will reach a resource management milestone with the implementation of CEPP. CEPP successfully used a broad suite of hydrological, ecological and societal models to build an acceptable and feasible adaptive management vision of the future. It has been a long and difficult journey, but what we have learned in the process will guide future travelers back in time.

Regionalization of surface-water statistics using multiple linear regression

Released August 29, 2019 12:00 EST

2019, Techniques and Methods 4-A12

William H. Farmer, Julie E. Kiang, Toby D. Feaster, Ken Eng

This report serves as a reference document in support of the regionalization of surface-water statistics using multiple linear regression. Streamflow statistics are quantitative characterizations of hydrology and are often derived from observed streamflow records. In the absence of observed streamflow records, as at unmonitored or ungaged locations, other techniques are required. Multiple linear regression is one tool that is widely used to regionalize or transfer information from gaged to ungaged locations. This report provides the background to support regression-based regionalization of streamflow statistics. This background includes tools for data assembly, exploratory data analysis, model estimation in a least-squares framework, and model evaluation.

Black Carp in North America: A description of range, habitats, time of year, and methods of reported captures

Released August 29, 2019 11:53 EST

2019, North American Journal of Fisheries Management

Patrick Kroboth, Cortney Cox, Duane C. Chapman, Gregory W. Whitledge

Black Carp Mylopharyngodon piceus are considered invasive in North America. Since the first wild capture in 2003, collection records have increased, yet information summarizing successful collection methods is lacking. Reported capture methods throughout the Black Carp's native and introduced ranges vary providing minimal aid for determining control and monitoring methods. Here, we describe the current species range and the spatial and temporal variation among captures. The size of fish can affect capture; thus, we report captured fish and gear dimensions and recommend appropriate scientific collection methods. We focus on collection data from 302 Black Carp ranging from 410 to 1,607 mm total length received from 2011 to February 2019. The reported range of Black Carp has expanded in the Cumberland, Illinois, Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio, and Tennessee rivers. Captures most frequently occurred in channel (41%), side‐channel (24%), and backwater (22%) habitat types, with increased records in May, June, and July. Most records were commercial captures, of which hoop net (51%) and gill net (26%) were most common. Results suggest that standard scientific methods for sampling fish in large rivers and standing water by hoop net and gill net may be used to monitor Black Carp, but a robust study design needs to be applied to determine gear selectivity and to determine if catch rates are density dependent or incidental.

Characterizing and imaging sedimentary strata using depth-converted spectral ratios: An example from the Atlantic Coastal Plain of the Eastern U.S.

Released August 28, 2019 09:47 EST

2019, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (108) 2801-2815

Thomas L. Pratt

Unconsolidated, near-surface sediments can have a profound influence on the amplitudes and frequencies of ground shaking during earthquakes, and these effects should be accounted for when using amplitude observations for seismic hazard assessments. This study explores methods to use teleseismic arrivals recorded on linear receiver arrays to characterize widespread, shallow sedimentary deposits, including estimation of the velocities, determination of the fundamental resonance peaks, and imaging of the major reflectors. The examples used are the extensive Atlantic Coastal Plain (ACP) and associated Mississippi Embayment (ME) strata of the Central and Eastern United States. The large contrast in material properties at the bedrock surface beneath these sediments produces a strong fundamental resonance peak in the 0.2 to 4 Hz frequency range, which is estimated here by computing spectral ratios at each receiver site relative to bedrock sites at the ends of the receiver arrays. Sediment thicknesses derived from published contour maps made from drill hole data allow for the computation of average velocities to match the observed frequencies of resonance peaks with theoretical values at each receiver site, with the sloping bedrock surface allowing for computation of an average velocity versus depth function if horizontal layers are assumed. The velocity function is then used to convert the spectral ratios from frequency to depth, resulting in an image of the subsurface similar to that of a seismic reflection profile. The results demonstrate the use of teleseismic signals for characterizing and imaging shallow sedimentary strata.  

Morphodynamic evolution following sediment release from the world’s largest dam removal

Released August 27, 2019 14:26 EST

2018, Scientific Reports (8)

Andrew C. Ritchie, Jonathan A. Warrick, Amy E. East, Christopher S. Magirl, Andrew W. Stevens, Jennifer A. Bountry, Timothy J. Randle, Christopher A. Curran, Robert C. Hilldale, James M. Duda, Ian M. Miller, George R. Pess, Emily Eidam, Melissa M. Foley, Randall McCoy, Andrea S. Ogston

Sediment pulses can cause widespread, complex changes to rivers and coastal regions. Quantifying landscape response to sediment-supply changes is a long-standing problem in geomorphology, but the unanticipated nature of most sediment pulses rarely allows for detailed measurement of associated landscape processes and evolution. The intentional removal of two large dams on the Elwha River (Washington, USA) exposed ~30 Mt of impounded sediment to fluvial erosion, presenting a unique opportunity to quantify source-to-sink river and coastal responses to a massive sediment-source perturbation. Here we evaluate geomorphic evolution during and after the sediment pulse, presenting a 5-year sediment budget and morphodynamic analysis of the Elwha River and its delta. Approximately 65% of the sediment was eroded, of which only ~10% was deposited in the fluvial system. This restored fluvial supply of sand, gravel, and wood substantially changed the channel morphology. The remaining ~90% of the released sediment was transported to the coast, causing ~60 ha of delta growth. Although metrics of geomorphic change did not follow simple time-coherent paths, many signals peaked 1–2 years after the start of dam removal, indicating combined impulse and step-change disturbance responses.

Non-native marine fishes in Florida: Updated checklist, population status and early detection/rapid response

Released August 27, 2019 14:00 EST

2019, BioInvasions Records

Pamela J. Schofield, Lad Akins

It has been ten years since the last comprehensive assessment of non-native marine fishes in Florida. Herein, we report sightings of 41 species from Florida coastal waters since the earliest reported sighting in 1984. Information is provided on the population status of each species (e.g., established, eradicated, unknown), and our early detection/rapid response program to remove these fish is described. Of the 41 species, five have established reproducing populations. Nineteen species are either eradicated or failed, while the status of 17 additional species is unknown. Since 1999, 18 individuals comprising 13 species have been removed from coastal waters, most of which were collected through our early-detection/rapid-response program. Many of those fishes were transferred to public aquaria where they were displayed to provide educational information to the public. Most reports of non-native marine fishes originated from citizen scientists, emphasizing the importance of outreach and education.

Arsenic, antimony, mercury, and water temperature in streams near Stibnite mining area, central Idaho, 2011–17

Released August 27, 2019 13:23 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5072

Austin K. Baldwin, Alexandra B. Etheridge

Mineralization and historical mining of stibnite (antimony sulfide), tungsten, gold, silver, and mercury in the headwaters of the East Fork of the South Fork Salmon River (EFSFSR) near the former town of Stibnite in central Idaho resulted in water-quality impairments related to mercury, antimony, and arsenic. Additionally, mining-related disturbances and wildfires have resulted in a lack of riparian shade in some areas, likely impacting water temperatures. In 2011, the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with Midas Gold Corporation and the Idaho Department of Lands, began a study to characterize the spatial and temporal occurrence of trace metals to the EFSFSR. Five sites on the EFSFSR and its tributaries (Meadow and Sugar Creeks) were sampled about six times annually during 2011–17, during a range of streamflow conditions, for a total of 36–40 samples per location. Continuous water temperature, specific conductance, and streamflow also were measured at each site. The purpose of this report is to update previously reported information related to arsenic, antimony, mercury, and water temperature. Concentrations of dissolved arsenic and antimony generally increased from upstream to downstream in the EFSFSR. At the upstream site, upstream of the Meadow Creek confluence, dissolved arsenic and antimony concentrations averaged 8.86 and 0.93 micrograms per liter (μg/L), respectively. Downstream, upstream from the Sugar Creek confluence, average dissolved concentrations increased to 56.5 and 27.9 μg/L, respectively. All samples from the downstream EFSFSR site exceeded the human-health based criterion for both dissolved arsenic (10 µg/L) and dissolved antimony (5.6 µg/L). The chronic aquatic life criterion for dissolved arsenic (150 μg/L) was not exceeded (the maximum sample concentration was 108 μg/L), and aquatic life criteria for antimony have not been established. The highest concentrations of both dissolved arsenic and dissolved antimony occurred during low-flow periods (July–March), suggesting the constituents are present in groundwater. In contrast, total mercury concentrations were highest during high-flow periods (April–June) and were particulate-associated, suggesting that mercury is present in surface materials. At Sugar Creek, where the highest total mercury concentrations were measured, 97 percent of samples exceeded the chronic aquatic life criterion (0.012 μg/L) and 11 percent exceeded the acute criterion (2.1 μg/L). At all sites, summertime water temperatures frequently exceeded criteria related to salmonid spawning. Surrogate models previously developed to estimate continuous concentrations of arsenic, antimony, and mercury were reevaluated and updated, and the importance of explanatory variables on constituent concentrations is discussed. Results from this study can help guide future remediation locations and strategies, and provide a baseline against which future changes can be measured.

Juvenile Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) survival in Lookout Point Reservoir, Oregon, 2018

Released August 27, 2019 13:00 EST

2019, Open-File Report 2019-1097

Tobias J. Kock, Russell W. Perry, Gabriel S. Hansen, Philip V. Haner, Adam C. Pope, John M. Plumb, Karen M. Cogliati, Amy C. Hansen

A field study was conducted to estimate survival of juvenile Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) in Lookout Point Reservoir, Oregon, during 2018. The study consisted of releasing three groups of genetically-marked fish into the reservoir, and sampling them monthly. Juveniles were released during April 10–13 (116,708 fish), May 15–18 (31,911 fish), and June 19–20 (11,758 fish). Reservoir sampling began in May and occurred monthly through October, consisting of 5-day events where juvenile Chinook salmon were collected using electrofishing, shoreline traps, and gill nets. Data were analyzed using a staggered release-recovery model and a parentage-based tagging (PBT) N-mixture model. The staggered release-recovery model provided survival estimates from three periods: mid-April to mid-May (SSRRM1); mid-May to mid-June (SSRRM2); and mid-April to mid-June (SSRRM12). Multiple estimates of survival were possible for each period using different combinations of recovery data from the three groups of fish that were released. Survival probability estimates for SSRRM1 ranged from 0.98520 to 0.98954; estimates for SSRRM2 ranged from 0.09338 to 0.62142; and the estimate for cumulative survival from mid-April to mid-June (SSRRM12) were 0.75211. We suspect that issues with release groups in May (R2) and June (R3) led to biased survival results using the staggered release-recovery model. The PBT N-mixture model provided survival estimates from six periods: mid-April to mid-May (SNMIX1); mid-May to mid-June (SNMIX2), mid-June to mid-July (SNMIX3), mid-July to mid-August (SNMIX4), mid-August to mid-September (SNMIX5); and mid-September to mid-October (SNMIX6). Survival estimates from the PBT N-mixture model were lowest for SNMIX6 (0.41620) and highest for SNMIX1 (0.79587). These results differed from those in 2017 when monthly survival increased across months. This suggests that one or more factors could have affected juvenile Chinook salmon survival in Lookout Point Reservoir. One possible factor could be copepods (which were highly prevalent on juvenile Chinook salmon during summer 2018), but environmental factors such as reserveroir elevation, discharge at Lookout Point Dam, and fish distributions within the reservoir differed between study years. Two PBT N-mixture models provided cumulative survival estimates from mid-April to mid-October. Estimates from the two models were 0.061 and 0.039, which suggests that survival of subyearling Chinook salmon in Lookout Point Reservoir was very low in 2018. Additional research is recommended to better understand inter-annual variability of subyearling Chinook salmon in the reservoir and to gain insights into factors that affect their survival.

Lake Andrei: A pliocene pluvial lake in Eureka Valley, Eastern California

Released August 27, 2019 09:14 EST

2019, Book chapter, From Saline to Freshwater: The Diversity of Western Lakes in Space and Time

Jeffrey R. Knott, Elmira Wan, Alan L. Deino, Mitch Casteel, Marith C. Reheis, Fred Phillips, Laura Walkup, Kyle McCarty, David N. Manoukian, Ernest Nuñez

We used geologic mapping, tephrochronology and 40Ar/39Ar dating to describe evidence of a ca. 3.5 Ma pluvial lake in Eureka Valley, eastern California, that we informally name herein Lake Andrei. We identified six different tuffs in the Eureka Valley drainage basin including two previously undescribed tuffs: the 3.509 ± 0.009 Ma tuff of Hanging Rock Canyon and the 3.506 ± 0.010 Ma tuff of Last Chance (informal names). We focused on four Pliocene stratigraphic sequences. Three sequences are composed of fluvial sandstone and conglomerate with basalt flows in two of these sequences. The fourth sequence, located about 1.5 km south of the Death Valley/Big Pine Road along the western piedmont of the Last Chance Range, included green, fine-grained, gypsiferous lacustrine deposits interbedded with the 3.506 Ma tuff of Last Chance that we interpret as evidence of a pluvial lake. Pluvial Lake Andrei is similar in age pluvial lakes in Searles Valley, Amargosa Valley, Fish Lake Valley and Death Valley of the western Great Basin. We interpret these simultaneous lakes in the region as indirect evidence of a significant glacial climate in western North America during Marine Isotope Stages MG5/M2 and a persistent Pacific jet stream south of 37°N.

Hydrologic balance, water quality, chemical-mass balance, and geochemical modeling of hyperalkaline ponds at Big Marsh, Chicago, Illinois, 2016–17

Released August 27, 2019 03:55 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5078

Amy M. Gahala, Robert R. Seal, Nadine M. Piatak

Hyperalkaline (pH greater than 12) ponds and groundwater exist at Big Marsh near Lake Calumet, Chicago, Illinois, a site used by the steel industry during the mid-1900s to deposit steel- and iron-making waste, in particular, slag. The hyperalkaline ponds may pose a hazard to human health and the environment. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and in collaboration with the City of Chicago’s Park District, completed a study to evaluate the hydrologic balance, water quality, and chemical-mass balance of hyperalkaline ponds at Big Marsh and geochemical modeling used to evaluate remediation options for water quality at the site based on data collected in 2016–17.

Synoptic measurements of surface-water and groundwater elevations were used to determine flow directions and to enable a preliminary estimate of the hydrologic balance for the ponds. Water-quality samples also were collected and analyzed for selected constituents including major anions and cations, nutrients, metals, and trace elements. The results of the water-quality analyses were used to develop a geochemical model to evaluate concentrations, factors affecting pH, and the state of equilibrium between surface waters and atmospheric carbon dioxide. The geochemical model was used to evaluate remediation scenarios using riprap, spillways, or active aeration. The results indicate that active aeration will decrease the pH to near 7.5 in about 8 hours, the fastest rate of the scenarios. Passive aeration, such as riprap or spillways, also can be effective at decreasing the pH in about 45 hours, but spatial obstacles limit their implementation. Seasonal variations in temperature also affect the rate of equilibration, where colder temperatures may have a lower pH than warmer temperatures and may affect the timing and frequency of remediation.

Development and evaluation of a record extension technique for estimating discharge at selected stream sites in New Hampshire

Released August 26, 2019 12:00 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5066

Scott A. Olson, Abraham J. Meyerhofer

Daily mean discharges are needed for rivers in New Hampshire for the management of instream flows. It is impractical, however, to continuously gage all streams in New Hampshire, and at many sites where information is needed, the discharge data required do not exist. For such sites, techniques for estimating discharge are available. The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the New Hampshire Department of Environmental Services, developed and evaluated the accuracy of estimated discharge records for six discontinued U.S. Geological Survey streamgages in New Hampshire.

The estimated records were developed by using the maintenance of variance extension, type 1 (MOVE.1), record extension technique and were generated for periods with concurrent observed records to allow for evaluation. The six discontinued streamgages were on New Hampshire designated rivers throughout the State and had drainage areas ranging from 35.6 to 395 square miles with little to no regulation.

Estimated records for four of the six streamgages had Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficients greater than 0.85. The other two streamgages had Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficients between 0.45 and 0.60. For the four streamgages with the higher Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficients, more than 35 percent of the estimated record was within 15 percent of the observed record. At the other two streamgages, more than 23 percent of the estimated record was within 15 percent of the observed record.

At lower discharges (exceeded 80 percent of the time), for four of the six streamgages, more than 40 percent of the estimated record was within 15 percent of the observed record. The site with the lowest Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient had more than 14 percent of the estimated record at low discharges within 15 percent of the observed record.

Santa Rosa's past and future earthquakes

Released August 26, 2019 09:20 EST

2019, Fact Sheet 2019-3035

Suzanne Hecker, Darcy K. McPhee, Victoria E. Langenheim, Janet T. Watt

Santa Rosa is no stranger to earthquakes. This northern California city was damaged several times in the late 19th and early 20th centuries by shaking from earthquakes, culminating in the devastating earthquake of 1906, whose rupture passed 20 miles to the west of the city on the San Andreas Fault. Then in 1969, Santa Rosa was again strongly shaken and buildings were damaged by a pair of nearby, moderate-sized earthquakes on the Rodgers Creek Fault. Since then, scientists have learned how the underlying geology increases shaking damage in Santa Rosa, have mapped where the Rodgers Creek Fault runs beneath the city, and have discovered that this fault is capable of much larger earthquakes. Following the 1969 earthquakes, Santa Rosa rose to the challenge of improving seismic safety; however, continued progress is needed to increase seismic resilience and reduce the impact of future earthquakes.

Flood-inundation maps for a 23-mile reach of the Medina River at Bandera, Texas, 2018

Released August 26, 2019 05:36 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5067

Namjeong Choi, Frank L. Engel

In 2018, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with the Bandera County River Authority and Groundwater District and the Texas Water Development Board, studied floods through the period of record to create a library of flood-inundation maps for the Medina River at Bandera, Texas. Digital flood-inundation maps for a 23-mile reach of the Medina River at and near Bandera, from the confluence with Winans Creek to English Crossing Road, were developed. The flood-inundation maps depict estimates of the areal extent and depth of flooding corresponding to a range of different gage heights (gage height is commonly referred to as “stage,” or the water-surface elevation at a streamflow-gaging station) at USGS streamflow-gaging station 08178880 Medina River at Bandera, Tex. (hereinafter referred to as the “Bandera station”). Water-surface profiles were computed for the stream reach by means of a one-dimensional step-backwater model. The stage-discharge (streamflow) relation effective in 2018 was used to calibrate the model, and stages from four recent flood events were used to independently validate the model. The calibrated hydraulic model was then used to compute 29 water-surface profiles for stages at 1-foot (ft) increments referenced to the station datum and ranging from 10 ft (near bankfull) to 38 ft, which exceeds the major flood stage of the National Weather Service Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service of 24 ft. The simulated water-surface profiles were then combined with a geographic information system digital elevation model (derived from light detection and ranging data having a 0.4-ft vertical accuracy and 1.6-ft horizontal resolution) to delineate the area flooded for stages ranging from 10 to 38 ft.

The digital flood-inundation maps are delivered through the USGS Flood Inundation Mapper application that presents map libraries and provides detailed information on flood-inundation extents and stages for modeled sites. The flood-inundation maps developed in this study, in conjunction with the real-time stage data from the Bandera station, are intended to help guide the public in taking individual safety precautions and provide emergency management personnel with a tool to efficiently manage emergency flood operations and post-flood recovery efforts.

Flood warning toolset for the Medina River in Bandera County, Texas

Released August 26, 2019 05:35 EST

2019, Fact Sheet 2019-3043

Frank L. Engel, Namjeong Choi

Overview

Floods are the most common natural disaster in the United States. The Medina River in Bandera County, Texas, is in the Edwards Plateau, where high-intensity rain rates and steep terrain frequently contribute to severe flash flooding capable of causing loss of life and property. For example, the July 5, 2002, flood claimed a total of 12 lives in the central Texas area. The estimated peak discharge during this flood at U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) streamflow-gaging station 08178880 Medina River at Bandera, Tex., was 159,000 cubic feet per second (corresponding to a stage or gage height of 38.91 feet), causing significant flooding in Bandera near Mud Creek and farther downstream.

In 2018, the USGS, in cooperation with the Bandera County River Authority and Groundwater District and the Texas Water Development Board, developed a flood early-warning toolset to enhance the communication of flood risk and provide emergency management with additional information to improve flood response and mitigation. This toolset consists of a continuous streamflow-gage monitoring network, a well-calibrated hydraulic model of the Medina River, and a flood-inundation mapper application for the study area. A library of flood-inundation maps tied to the National Weather Service river stage forecast capability is included with the toolset.

Evaluating k-nearest neighbor (kNN) imputation models for species-level aboveground forest biomass mapping in northeast China

Released August 25, 2019 16:01 EST

2019, Remote Sensing (17) 1-20

Yuanyuan Fu, Hong S He, Todd J. Hawbaker, Paul D. Henne, Zhiliang Zhu, David R. Larsen

Quantifying spatially explicit or pixel-level aboveground forest biomass (AFB) across large regions is critical for measuring forest carbon sequestration capacity, assessing forest carbon balance, and revealing changes in the structure and function of forest ecosystems. When AFB is measured at the species level using widely available remote sensing data, regional changes in forest composition can readily be monitored. In this study, wall-to-wall maps of species-level AFB were generated for forests in Northeast China by integrating forest inventory data with Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) images and environmental variables through applying the optimal k-nearest neighbor (kNN) imputation model. By comparing the prediction accuracy of 630 kNN models, we found that the models with random forest (RF) as the distance metric showed the highest accuracy. Compared to the use of single-month MODIS data for September, there was no appreciable improvement for the estimation accuracy of species-level AFB by using multi-month MODIS data. When k > 7, the accuracy improvement of the RF-based kNN models using the single MODIS predictors for September was essentially negligible. Therefore, the kNN model using the RF distance metric, single-month (September) MODIS predictors and k = 7 was the optimal model to impute the species-level AFB for entire Northeast China. Our imputation results showed that average AFB of all species over Northeast China was 101.98 Mg/ha around 2000. Among 17 widespread species, larch was most dominant, with the largest AFB (20.88 Mg/ha), followed by white birch (13.84 Mg/ha). Amur corktree and willow had low AFB (0.91 and 0.96 Mg/ha, respectively). Environmental variables (e.g., climate and topography) had strong relationships with species-level AFB. By integrating forest inventory data and remote sensing data with complete spatial coverage using the optimal kNN model, we successfully mapped the AFB distribution of the 17 tree species over Northeast China. We also evaluated the accuracy of AFB at different spatial scales. The AFB estimation accuracy significantly improved from stand level up to the ecotype level, indicating that the AFB maps generated from this study are more suitable to apply to forest ecosystem models (e.g., LINKAGES) which require species-level attributes at the ecotype scale.

Acoustic tag retention rate varies between juvenile green and hawksbill sea turtles

Released August 24, 2019 14:33 EST

2019, Animal Biotelemetry (7)

Brian (Contractor) Smith, Thomas Selby, Michael Cherkiss, Andrew Crowder, Zandy Hillis-Starr, Clayton Pollock, Kristen Hart

Background Biotelemetry has become a key tool for studying marine animals in the last decade, and a wide range of electronic tags are now available for answering a range of research questions. However, comparatively, less attention has been given to attachment methods for these tags and the implications of tag retention on study design, especially when designing a comparative study looking at multiple species. Here, we reported our findings on acoustic tag retention rates for juveniles of two species of marine turtle: the green sea turtle (Chelonia mydas) and the hawksbill sea turtle (Eretmochelys imbricata). We captured both species twice annually (spring and fall) from 2012 through 2017, as part of a capture–mark–recapture study at Buck Island Reef National Monument, St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands. We assessed tag retention rates using physical recaptures of turtles previously outfitted with an acoustic tag. Results We deployed 72 acoustic tags on 60 juvenile greens and 37 acoustic tags on 29 hawksbills. We estimated the half-life for tags on greens to be 150 days (95% CI 117–188 days), whereas the half-life for tags on hawksbills was 1077 days (95% CI 870–2118 days), a marked difference. We observed that tag attachment holes, drilled into the posterior marginal scutes, migrated laterally towards the outer edge of the marginals in both species. Green turtles tended to exhibit tear-outs, as their attachment holes wore and/or tags grew near the edge of their scutes, whereas hawksbills tended to maintain the structure of these holes and did not exhibit these tear-outs. Conclusions We conclude that hawksbills can be tagged with long-battery-life acoustic tags for long-term studies of habitat use and movement patterns, whereas greens are likely to shed their tags in the 1st year, making long-term studies difficult. This study is the first clear evidence that tagging protocols should vary between species of hard-shelled turtles. Furthermore, shed tags on the seafloor continue to be detected by acoustic receivers, creating a challenge in data filtering before analysis. We encourage future research into an efficient method for filtering these data points prior to analysis.

Measuring suspended sediment in sand-bedded rivers using down-looking acoustic doppler current profilers

Released August 23, 2019 11:53 EST

2019, Conference Paper

Molly S. Wood, Ricardo N. Szupiany, Justin A. Boldt, Timothy Straub, Marian M. Domanski

The use of side-looking acoustic Doppler velocity meters (ADVMs) to estimate fluvial suspended-sediment concentrations (SSC) has become more operational by the U.S. Geological Survey in recent years; however, direct transfer of these techniques to down-looking acoustic Doppler current profilers (ADCPs) currently is not widely feasible. Key assumptions in the sidelooking ADVM method related to sediment homogeneity within the acoustic measurement volume are almost never met in wide, sand-bedded rivers because SSC and particle size commonly vary with depth and location in the river cross section. The use of ADCPs to estimate SSC has been investigated by researchers, but the requirements and limitations of an operational method that could be successfully applied at many locations are not well defined. If an operational method could be developed, the use of ADCPs, which are routinely used for flow measurements, would revolutionize sediment science by providing rapid measurements of sediment flux and spatial distribution. We collected detailed datasets in six sand-bedded rivers in the U.S. in 2016-2018, to evaluate the efficacy of using down-looking ADCPs of multiple frequencies to estimate SSC. The datasets included replicate sets of point and depth-integrated suspended-sediment samples and stationary and cross-sectional backscatter profiles using multiple ADCPs with differing frequencies. Reasonable calibrations were developed at all sites measured when calibrating to the coarse fraction (R2 0.66 to 0.98 with slopes close to 0.1 using 1200kHz ADCPs). Calibrations to the fines fraction were problematic because acoustic backscatter response was dominated by coarse particles when present, and substantial attenuation was contributed by coarse particles at some sites. A sensitivity analysis on minimum datasets showed that good calibrations could be developed using two verticals of data collected over a range of backscatter and sediment conditions, with a minimum of three points sampled for sediment within each vertical. Overall, results to date show great promise in using ADCPs to rapidly estimate and visualize SSC with high spatial resolution, and a new beta software tool called Sediment Transect Acoustics simplifies data processing. Improvements are underway to the beta software used in processing to allow incorporation of more acoustic and sediment characteristics and to estimate SSC in areas of the river cross section unmeasured by the ADCP.

The state of the world’s mangrove forests: Past, present, and future

Released August 23, 2019 11:37 EST

2019, Annual Review of Environment and Resources (44) 16-1-16.27

Daniel A. Friess, Kerrylee Rogers, Catherine E. Lovelock, Ken Krauss, Stuart E. Hamilton, Shing Yip Lee, Richard Lucas, Jurgenne Primavera, Anusha Rajkaran, Suhua Shi

Intertidal mangrove forests are a dynamic ecosystem experiencing rapid changes in extent and habitat quality over geological history, today and into the future. Climate and sea level have drastically altered mangrove distribution since their appearance in the geological record ∼75 million years ago (Mya), through to the Holocene. In contrast, contemporary mangrove dynamics are driven primarily by anthropogenic threats, including pollution, overextraction, and conversion to aquaculture and agriculture. Deforestation rates have declined in the past decade, but the future of mangroves is uncertain; new deforestation frontiers are opening, particularly in Southeast Asia and West Africa, despite international conservation policies and ambitious global targets for rehabilitation. In addition, geological and climatic processes such as sea-level rise that were important over geological history will continue to influence global mangrove distribution in the future. Recommendations are given to reframe mangrove conservation, with a view to improving the state of mangroves in the future.

Maximum entropy derived statistics of sound speed structure in a fine-grained sediment inferred from sparse broadband acoustic measurements on the New England continental shelf

Released August 23, 2019 10:55 EST

2019, IEEE Journal of Oceanic Engineering

David P. Knobles, Preston S. Wilson, J.A. Goff, L. Wan, M.J. Buckingham, Jason Chaytor, Mohsen Badiey

Marginal probability distributions for parameters representing an effective sound-speed structure of a fine-grained sediment are inferred from a data ensemble maximum entropy method that utilizes a sparse spatially distributed set of received pressure time series resulting from multiple explosive sources in a shallow-water ocean environment possessing significant spatial variability of the seabed. A remote sensing seabed acoustics experiment undertaken in March 2017 off the New England Shelf was designed so that multiple independent analyses could infer the statistical properties of the seabed. The current analysis incorporates the measured horizontal variability from interpretations of a subbottom profiling survey of the experimental area. An idealized range- and azimuth-dependent parameterization of the seabed is derived from identification of horizons within the seabed that define multiple sediment layers. A sparse set of explosive charges were deployed on circular tracks with radii of about 2, 4, and 6.5 km with an acoustic array at the center to correlate a set of random measurements to physical acoustic processes that characterize the seabed. The mean values of a surface sound speed ratio and a linear sound speed gradient for the fine-grained sediment layer derived from 12 data samples processed in the 25–275-Hz band provide an estimate of the effective sound-speed structure in a 130-km $^2$ area. The inferred sediment sound speed values are evaluated by predicting measured time series data not used in the statistical inference, and are also compared to historical measurements. Finally, the low-frequency maximum entropy estimate of the sediment sound speed along with physical measurements derived from piston core measurements are utilized to estimate the sediment grain bulk modulus. predictions made by the viscous grain shearing model.

The hydrologic benefits of wetland and prairie restoration in western Minnesota—Lessons learned at the Glacial Ridge National Wildlife Refuge, 2002–15

Released August 22, 2019 16:20 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5041

Timothy K. Cowdery, Catherine A. Christenson, Jeffrey R. Ziegeweid

Conversion of agricultural lands to wetlands and native prairie is widely viewed as beneficial because it can restore natural ecological and hydrologic functions. Some of these functions, such as reduced peak flows and improved water quality, are often attributed to restoration; however, such benefits have not been quantified at a small scale. To inform future restoration efforts, especially in northern prairie settings, the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Minnesota Environment and Natural Resources Trust Fund, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, and the Red Lake Watershed District, compared the hydrology of the Nation’s largest wetland and prairie restoration, Glacial Ridge National Wildlife Refuge, before and after restoration.

Wetland and prairie restorations resulted in substantial changes in flows through the hydrologic cycle, in reduction of overland runoff and ditch flow during storms, and in improvements in water quality. Wetland and prairie restorations within the six basins characterized in this study resulted in a 14-percent decrease of cropland, a 6-percent increase of wetlands, and a 19-percent increase of native prairie between 2002 and 2015. During the same period, runoff rate decreased 33 percent (as a proportion of precipitation) and ditch flow rate decreased by 23 percent. Areal groundwater recharge rate increased from 30 to 35 percent (16 percent relative change in flow rate). Base flow as a proportion of total ditch flow increased from 25 to 35 percent (a 40-percent relative change). Peak ditch flow from storms decreased, ditch-flow recessions lengthened, and base flow from groundwater discharge increased, though only a small amount in some basins. These changes reduce the amount of ditch water leaving the study area, reducing flows that contribute to downstream flooding. Median surficial groundwater and ditch-water nitrate concentrations decreased by 79 and 53 percent, respectively. Median ditch-water suspended-sediment concentration decreased by 64 percent.

Neither the density of restorations nor the beneficial changes in hydrology were evenly distributed in the study area. The amount of hydrologic benefits within an individual ditch basin did not relate directly with the amount of restoration in that basin; however, the landscape characteristics that related most closely with hydrologic benefits were the area of a basin underlain by a surficial aquifer and the area of drained wetlands (indicating the potential for wetland restoration). In western Minnesota, the basins underlain by surficial aquifers that contain large areas of drained wetlands are the uplands of the Alexandria Moraine Complex and the beaches of glacial Lake Agassiz on the eastern side of the western one-third of Minnesota, north of Wilmar, Minnesota. These findings provide resource managers with information that can help focus restoration resources in areas where the greatest hydrologic benefits can be realized.

An evaluation of sedatives for use in transport of juvenile endangered fishes in plastic bags

Released August 22, 2019 15:51 EST

2019, Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management

Laura A. Tennant, Ben M. Vaage, David L. Ward

Trucks and aircraft typically transport rare or endangered fishes in large unsealed tanks containing large volumes of water (typically hundreds of liters) during conservation efforts. Ornamental fishes, however, are commonly sent by mail in small sealed plastic bags filled with oxygen, minimal water, and a small amount of sedative to reduce weight and overall shipping costs. Our goal was to evaluate if these "minimal water" methods used for shipping ornamental fishes could also be used to safely transport endangered Humpback Chub, Gila cypha, into remote locations within Grand Canyon on foot to eliminate helicopter transportation costs associated with conservation actions. In the laboratory, 20 (mean, M = 193.9 g of fish/L, SD = 37.8) juvenile Bonytail, Gila elegans, or Humpback Chub were placed in plastic bags containing 1 liter of water and pure oxygen for 4, 8, and 12 hours. Treatments contained either no sedative or one of three sedatives: AquaCalm (metomidate hydrochloride), Tricaine-S (tricaine methanesulfonate or MS-222), or Aqui-S 20E (eugenol) to evaluate the effectiveness of minimal water methods for use in fish transport. Aqui-S 20E and the control without sedatives exhibited the highest survival (logistic regression, Aqui-S 20E, P = 0.994, 95% CI [0.978, 0.998]; Control, P = 0.995, 95% CI [0.981, 0.998]), followed by Tricaine-S (P = 0.933, 95% CI [0.902, 0.955]), and AquaCalm (P = 0.355, 95% CI [0.307, 0.406]). We also conducted a field trial in which we placed 240 juvenile Humpback Chub in shipping bags (n = 20 fish/bag/1L of water; M = 143.2 g of fish/L, SD= 9.72) with no sedative or 10.0 mg/L of Aqui-S 20E and transported them by vehicle and on foot. No fish perished during transport, indicating these minimal water methods can be used to safely, and at little expense, transport endangered Humpback Chub into remote locations.

Tsunamis: Stochastic models of generation, propagation, and occurrence

Released August 22, 2019 13:52 EST

2019, Book chapter, Encyclopedia of complexity and systems science

Eric L. Geist, David Oglesby, Kenny Ryan

The devastating consequences of the 2004 Indian Ocean and 2011 Tohoku-oki tsunamis have led to increased research into many different aspects of the tsunami phenomenon. In this paper, we review research related to the observed complexity and uncertainty associated with tsunami generation, propagation, and occurrence described and analyzed using a variety of stochastic models. In each case, tsunamis generated by earthquakes are primarily considered. Stochastic models are developed from the physical theories that govern tsunami evolution combined with empirical models fitted to seismic and tsunami observations, as well as tsunami catalogs. These stochastic models are key to providing probabilistic forecasts and hazard assessments for tsunamis. The stochastic methods described here are similar to those described for earthquakes (Vere-Jones, 2013) and volcanoes (Bebbington, 2013) in this Encyclopedia.

Thermal variability drives synchronicity of an aquatic insect resource pulse

Released August 22, 2019 09:49 EST

2019, Ecosphere (10)

Heidi E. Anderson, Lindsey K. Albertson, David Walters

Spatial heterogeneity in environmental conditions can prolong food availability by desynchronizing the timing of ephemeral, high‐magnitude resource pulses. Spatial patterns of water temperature are highly variable among rivers as determined by both natural and anthropogenic features, but the influence of this variability on freshwater resource pulse phenology is poorly documented. We quantified water temperature and emergence phenology of an aquatic insect (salmonfly, Pteronarcys californica) resource pulse in two rivers characterized by differing catchment topography and human impact. Along both rivers, salmonfly emergence occurred earlier where spring temperatures were warmer. Emergence events were brief (4–8 d) at sites in the more human‐impacted river, but occurred asynchronously along the entire river, lasting 27 d in total. In contrast, emergence events were more prolonged (6–11 d) at sites on the more natural and topographically complex river, but occurred synchronously along the entire river, lasting 13 d in total. These scale‐specific differences in subsidy duration could have opposing consequences for salmonfly consumers depending on their mobility and foraging habits. Asynchronous emergence at a large scale is potentially most important for mobile consumers like birds and fish that can migrate to feed on aquatic insects and track resource waves across a landscape, whereas prolonged emergence duration at a smaller scale may be most important for immobile or opportunistic consumers like spiders and ants. Relating environmental heterogeneity and resource pulse phenology across a gradient of human impact and at multiple spatial scales is needed for a better understanding of how food availability, aquatic–terrestrial linkages, and consumer–resource dynamics may change with climate variability and increasing human activity in the future.

Enhancing reproductive assessments of the Florida manatee Trichechus manatus latirostris by establishing optimal time period and inhibin B baseline concentrations

Released August 22, 2019 07:36 EST

2019, Endangered Species Research (39) 283-292

Dana L Wetzel, John Elliot Reynolds, Robert Bonde, Ryan W Schloesser, Leslie Schwierzke-Wade, William E Roudebush

The Florida manatee Trichechus manatus latirostris occupies coastal and riverine habitats that may influence the species’ endogenous biological rhythms, including its reproductive potential. Inhibin B provides a biomarker of gonadal function and reproductive potential in humans and other eutherian mammals. This study examined the influence of size, sex, and time of year on inhibin B levels in manatees sampled among 3 habitats with varying degrees of environmental stress in Florida. Inhibin B levels in 38 males averaged (±SE) 4.90 ± 0.23 pg ml-1; the average level in 31 females was 5.63 ± 0.46 pg ml-1. Elevated patterns in inhibin B were exhibited between mid-March and mid-August corresponding to increased mating activity and testicular function, with significant differences in inhibin B levels between male and female manatees (p = 0.03) throughout the year. No significant differences in inhibin B were detected between low- and high-impacted sampling locations during winter, suggesting the potential influence of environmental stress on manatee reproduction may be best examined between mid-March and mid-August—the midpoint of the reproductively active, non-winter time period. Establishing temporal baselines for inhibin B values may be useful in assessing manatee reproductive status and potential conservation threats, shedding light on fertility potential, and enabling future assessment of the effects of stressors on reproduction in Florida manatees.

Fish and habitat assessment in Rock Creek, Klickitat County, Washington 2016–17

Released August 21, 2019 14:48 EST

2019, Open-File Report 2019-1092

Jill M. Hardiman, Elaine Harvey

Executive Summary

Intermittent streams are important and productive for salmonid habitat. Rock Creek, in southeastern Washington, flows south to the Columbia River at river kilometer (rkm) 368 and is an intermittent stream of great significance to the Yakama Nation and to the Kah-miltpah (Rock Creek) Band in particular. Historically, native steelhead (anadromous form of rainbow trout [Oncorhynchus mykiss]) and bridgelip sucker (Catostomus columbianus) populations were used by the Kah-miltpah Band for sustenance, trade, and traditional practices. Anadromous salmonid populations currently present and being monitored in the Rock Creek subbasin include Coho (O. kisutch) salmon and steelhead. Resident rainbow trout are also present and monitored (rainbow trout and steelhead will be collectively referred to as O. mykiss throughout this report). Streamflow is a limiting habitat factor in this system, but despite this, steelhead and Coho salmon still successfully return to spawn, rear, out-migrate, and survive over-summer in many of the isolated pools.

We completed habitat surveys during 2015–17 to assess the perennial pools during low-flow conditions. The lower river sections (rkm 2–13) had proportionately more dry sections than the upper river sections (rkm 14–22) for all years surveyed and had higher variability among habitat types across years. The surveyed dry sections within the lower river ranged from 44 to 57 percent, with 2015 (a drought year) as the highest and 2017 the lowest. The percentage of pool habitat in the lower river was 21−24 percent, with 2015 as the lowest and 2016 and 2017 both at 24 percent. The upper river sections had a relatively high percentage of non-pool wet habitat (49−51 percent), followed by dry (33−36 percent) and pool habitat (17−18 percent). In Walaluuks Creek, the percentage of pool habitat was the most consistent across the years, ranging from 10 to 13 percent.

SUTRA, a model for saturated-unsaturated, variable-density groundwater flow with solute or energy transport—Documentation of generalized boundary conditions, a modified implementation of specified pressures and concentrations or temperatures, and the lake capability

Released August 21, 2019 13:45 EST

2019, Techniques and Methods 6-A52

Alden M. Provost, Clifford I. Voss

Version 3.0 of the SUTRA groundwater modeling program offers three new capabilities: generalized boundary conditions, a modified implementation of specified pressures and concentrations or temperatures, and lakes. Two new types of “generalized” boundary conditions facilitate simulation of a wide range of hydrologic processes that interact with the groundwater model, such as rivers, drains, and evapotranspiration. For generalized-flow boundary conditions, gain (inflow) or loss (outflow) of fluid mass varies linearly with pressure, subject to optional upper and lower limits on flow and (or) pressure. For generalized-transport boundary conditions, gain or loss of solute mass or energy varies linearly with concentration or temperature, respectively. Two of the original types of SUTRA boundary conditions—specified-pressure and specified-concentration or temperature—have been modified such that user-specified, conductance-like factors (known as GNUP and GNUU in previous versions of SUTRA) are no longer required. The new lake capability works with all types of SUTRA boundary conditions, including the new generalized boundary conditions, to enable simulation of the interaction of groundwater flow and transport with lake water “ponded” on the surface of a three-dimensional model. SUTRA uses the topography of the top surface of the model, or, optionally, user-specified lake-bottom elevations, to identify potential lakes automatically. Increases and decreases in lake stage can cause lakes to coalesce and divide, respectively. The lake capability may be used with saturated or unsaturated flow and solute or energy transport.

Topographic changes during the 2018 Kīlauea eruption from Single-pass Airborne InSAR

Released August 21, 2019 11:44 EST

2019, Geophysical Research Letters

Paul R Lundgren, Marco Bagnardi, Hannah R. Dietterich

The 2018 eruption of Kīlauea volcano, Hawai‘i, was its most effusive in over 200 years. We apply the airborne Glacier and Ice Surface Topography Interferometer (GLISTIN‐A) interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) instrument to measure topographic change associated with the eruption. The GLISTIN‐A radar flew in response to the eruption, acquiring observations of Kīlauea on seven days between May 18 and September 15, 2018. Topography differences were computed relative to GLISTIN‐A observations in 2017. Bare‐earth topography and off‐shore bathymetry were used to correct for vegetation and creation of new coastal land within the Lower East Rift Zone (LERZ) lava flow field. We estimate that the LERZ subaerial flows total bulk volume is 0.593 ± 0.011 km3 and that the summit collapse volume is ‐0.836 ± 0.002 km3. Within the temporal sampling and uncertainty from submarine flow volumes, we find that both the LERZ and caldera volume changes were approximately linear.

The Yellow-billed Loon

Released August 21, 2019 11:21 EST

2019, Report

Brian D. Uher-Koch, Mike North, Joel A. Schmutz

The Yellow-billed Loon, known in Europe as the White-billed Diver, is a relatively rare bird nesting in arctic tundra regions of North America and Eurasia. This species was first described by G. R. Gray in 1859 (1), and named (Gavia adamsii) after the surgeon Dr. Edward Adams (who collected the first specimen) aboard the H.M.S. Enterprise on a voyage through Bering Strait. The Yellow-billed Loon is closely related and similar in appearance to the Common Loon (G. immer), but distinguished from the latter by bill shape and color. Further, the Yellow-billed Loon breeds generally north of the range of its more widespread relative, although the 2 species overlap on marine wintering grounds in the Pacific Northwest. Increasingly, however, vagrant Yellow-billed Loons have been recorded wintering well inland in North America, a phenomenon that likely stems in part from improved information on field identification of loons in Basic plumage.

Local, temporal trajectories explain population-level responses to climate change in saguaro (Carnegiea gigantea)

Released August 21, 2019 10:51 EST

2019, Ecosphere (10)

Susana Rodríguez-Buriticá, Daniel E. Winkler, Robert H. Webb, Lawrence Venable

Population demography is typically assumed to be strongly influenced by climatic factors, particularly with succulent plants and cacti. The saguaro cactus (Carnegiea gigantea) is a long‐lived columnar cactus of the Sonoran Desert that experiences episodic recruitment and mortality. Previous studies have attributed long‐term changes in saguaro populations to climatic factors, including increased germination and establishment during wet periods and mortality and reduced establishment during droughts and extreme freezes. We used a 48‐yr data set of marked individuals at the Desert Laboratory in Tucson, Arizona, to test the hypothesis that local, temporal population trajectories are mediated by topographic heterogeneity that interacts with fluctuating climatic conditions. We tested the influence of local slope and aspect vs. climatic variability on a population of saguaro using >5800 marked individuals that have been measured since 1964. We examined the relationship between demography and climatic variables (drought, precipitation, and extreme temperatures) and found significant differences in growth and survival among aspects and among census periods. Saguaro population growth was higher during wet and cool periods (e.g., 1964–1970), and changes in age structures suggest that topographic differences interact with climatic fluctuations to produce unexpected demographic patterns including large recruitment events during periods of relatively unfavorable climate conditions. Our results highlight the importance of long‐term data to detect demographic responses to climate that could not be predicted from short‐term studies of plant physiology and population demography.

Case study: Thomas Fire

Released August 21, 2019 09:42 EST

2019, Report, California's Fourth Climate Change Assessment

Jason R. Kreitler, Amy E. East, Joel B. Sankey, Christina (Naomi) Tague

No abstract available.

Catalog of earthquake parameters and description of seismograph and infrasound stations at Alaskan volcanoes—January 1, 2013, through December 31, 2017

Released August 21, 2019 09:34 EST

2019, Data Series 1115

James P. Dixon, Scott D. Stihler, Matthew M. Haney, John J. Lyons, Dane M. Ketner, Katherine M. Mulliken, Thomas Parker, John A. Power

Between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2017, the Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) located a total of 28,172 earthquakes at volcanoes in Alaska. The annual totals are 3,840, 5,819, 5,297, 6,151, and 7,065 earthquakes for the years 2013 through 2017, respectively. This represents an average of 5,634 earthquakes per year, which is comparable to the yearly number of earthquakes AVO located in the previous decade when AVO monitored a similar number of volcanoes. During the reporting period, there was significant seismic activity at 20 of the 34 volcanoes monitored by a seismograph network (Akutan Peak, Aniakchak Crater, Augustine, Mount Cerberus, Mount Cleveland, Fourpeaked Mountain, Mount Gareloi, Great Sitkin, Ilimana, Kanaga, Korovin, Makushin, Mount Martin, Okmok Caldera, Pavlof, Shishaldin, Mount Spurr, Tanaga, Ugashik-Peulik, and Mount Veniaminof) and two volcanoes without a monitoring network (Mount Recheshnoi and Bogoslof Island). Instrumentation highlights for this period include the establishment of a new subnetwork on Mount Cleveland, an accelerated transition from analog to digital telemetry at most subnetworks, and an increased number of broadband and infrasound sensors throughout the AVO network. The operational highlight was the return of seismic monitoring at Korovin and Ugashik-Peulik Volcanoes following network repairs. This catalog includes hypocenters, magnitudes, and statistics of the earthquakes located in 2013–17, along with the associated station parameters, and velocity models.

A space-time geostatistical model for probabilistic estimation of harmful algal bloom biomass and areal extent

Released August 21, 2019 09:33 EST

2019, Science of the Total Environment (695)

Shiqi Fang, Dario Del Giudice, Donald Scavia, Caren E. Binding, Thomas B. Bridgeman, Justin D. Chaffin, Mary Anne Evans, Joseph Guinness, Thomas H. Johengen, Daniel R Obenour

Harmful algal blooms (HABs) have been increasing in intensity across many waterbodies worldwide, including the western basin of Lake Erie. Substantial efforts have been made to track these blooms using in situ sampling and remote sensing. However, such measurements do not fully capture HAB spatial and temporal dynamics due to the limitations of discrete shipboard sampling over large areas and the effects of clouds and winds on remote sensing estimates. To address these limitations, we develop a space-time geostatistical modeling framework to improve estimates of HAB timing, extent, and intensity using five independent sets of chlorophyll a (chl-a) data sampled from June to October, 2008 to 2017. Based on the Bayesian information criterion for model selection, trend variables explain bloom northerly and easterly expansion from Maumee Bay, wind effects over depth, and variability among sampling methods. Cross validation results indicate the model can estimate daily, location-specific chl-a concentrations with reasonable accuracy (R2 = 55%) between monitoring cruises. Conditional simulations provide probabilistic estimates of algal biomass and surface areal extent, which are compared to remote sensing estimates. The simulations also provide, for the first time, comprehensive estimates of overall bloom biomass based on depth-integrated concentrations, with quantified uncertainties. These estimates enhance our understanding of HAB variability and can inform HAB monitoring network design, predictive modeling, and management.

Shifting diets of Lake Trout in northeastern Lake Michigan

Released August 21, 2019 09:28 EST

2019, North American Journal of Fisheries Management (39) 793-806

Miles K. Luo, Charles P. Madenjian, James S. Diana, Matthew S. Kornis, Charles R. Bronte

Prey fish communities in Lake Michigan have been steadily changing, characterized by declines in both the quantity and quality of Alewife Alosa pseudoharengus. To evaluate concurrent changes in the diet of Lake Trout Salvelinus namaycush in northeastern Lake Michigan, we analyzed stomach contents of Lake Trout caught during gill‐net surveys and fishing tournaments from May through October 2016. We then compared the composition, on a wet‐weight basis, of 2016 diets with those previously described in a recent survey conducted in 2011. Overall, we found that Lake Trout diets in 2016 consisted mostly (94% by wet weight) of Alewives and Round Goby Neogobius melanostomus. Averaging across May through October, 61% of the Lake Trout diet consisted of Alewives. A clear seasonal shift was apparent: the diet was dominated by Round Goby (67%) during May–June, whereas Alewives dominated the diet (76%) during July–October. Seasonal dominance of Round Goby in spring Lake Trout diets has not been previously observed in northeastern Lake Michigan as Round Goby represented only 21% of the Lake Trout diet in spring of 2011. Diet composition of Lake Trout caught in gill nets did not significantly differ from diet composition of Lake Trout caught by anglers in either the May–June period or the July–October period. Although Lake Trout showed increased diet flexibility in 2016 compared with 2011, Alewives were still the predominant diet component during 2016, despite reduced Alewife biomass throughout Lake Michigan. Nonetheless, this further evidence of diet plasticity suggests that Lake Trout may be resilient to ongoing and future forage base changes.

Offshore shallow structure and sediment distribution, Punta Gorda to Point Arena, Northern California

Released August 21, 2019 09:26 EST

2019, Open-File Report 2019-1072

Jeffrey W. Beeson, Samuel Y. Johnson

This publication consists of two map sheets that display shallow geologic structure, along with sediment distribution and thickness, for an approximately 150-km-long offshore section of the northern California coast between Punta Gorda and Point Arena. Each map sheet includes three maps at scales of either 1:100,000 or 1:200,000, and together the sheets include 30 figures that contain representative high-resolution seismic-reflection profiles. The maps and seismic-reflection surveys cover most of the continental shelf in this region. In addition, the maps show the locations of the shelf break and the 3-nautical-mile limit of California’s State Waters.

The seismic-reflection data, which are the primary dataset used to develop the maps, were collected to support the California Seafloor Mapping Program, U.S. Geological Survey Offshore Geologic Hazards projects, and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA’s) Ocean Explorer program. In addition to the two map sheets, this publication includes geographic information system data files of faults, sediment thicknesses, and depths-to-base of sediment

The map area includes the northernmost section of the right-lateral San Andreas Fault, which extends offshore from Point Arena in the south to Point Delgada in the north. The San Andreas Fault is the primary structure in the widely distributed plate boundary between the Pacific Plate and the Sierra Nevada–Great Valley Microplate, with estimates of cumulative right slip of as much as up to 450 km. South of Point Delgada, fault-related transtension has resulted in development of the Noyo Basin. North of Point Delgada, the San Andreas Fault transitions into a complex contractional zone in and (or) south of the King Range, including a possible nearshore fault that may connect with the Mattole Canyon Fault.

Quaternary sediments and bedrock underlie the shelf. On the seismic-reflection profiles, we digitally traced the thickness and depth of the uppermost seismic-stratigraphic unit, which is a focus of this publication. The upper contact of this unit is the seafloor; the lower contact is a transgressive surface of erosion, a commonly angular, wave-cut unconformity characterized by an upward change to lower amplitude, more diffuse reflections. On the basis of this lower contact, this stratigraphic unit is inferred to have been deposited on the shelf in the last about 21,000 years during the sea-level rise that followed the last major lowstand and the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). Maps in this publication show both the thickness of this upper sediment unit and the depth to the base of the sediment unit. Within the map region, five different “domains” of post-LGM shelf sediment are delineated on the basis of sediment thickness and coastal geomorphology. Maximum sediment thickness (as much as 67 m) is found in the northern part of the region, along the steep south flank of the King Range. Minimum sediment thickness (areas of exposed bedrock) is found on fault-bounded uplifts, which include Tolo bank and Punta Gorda bank. Mean sediment thickness for the entire shelf in the map area between Punta Gorda and Point Arena is 8.9 m, and total sediment volume is 12,824×106 m3.

Continuous stream discharge, salinity, and associated data collected in the lower St. Johns River and its tributaries, Florida, 2017

Released August 21, 2019 08:11 EST

2019, Open-File Report 2019-1078

Patrick J. Ryan

The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Jacksonville District, plans to deepen the St. Johns River channel in Jacksonville, Florida, from 40 to 47 feet along 13 miles of the river channel, beginning at the mouth of the river at the Atlantic Ocean, to accommodate larger, fully loaded cargo vessels. The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, (1) installed continuous data collection stations to monitor discharge, salinity, and associated parameters at 23 sites prior to the commencement of dredging and (2) monitored stage and discharge at 13 sites and water temperature, specific conductance, and salinity at 16 sites; all parameters were monitored at some sites.

This is the second annual report by the U.S. Geological Survey on data collection for the Jacksonville Harbor deepening and contains information pertinent to the data collection sites during the 2017 water year, from October 2016 to September 2017. One data collection site on the St. Johns River below Shands Bridge was added to the network during this timeframe after the previously monitored location was damaged by Hurricane Matthew.

Discharge and salinity varied widely during the data collection period, reflecting the effects of Hurricane Matthew in October 2016 and Hurricane Irma in September 2017. The annual mean discharge at Trout River was greatest among the tributaries, followed by annual mean discharges at Durbin Creek, Ortega River, Julington Creek, Pottsburg Creek, Clapboard Creek, Cedar River, Broward River, and Dunn Creek. Among the tributary sites, annual mean salinity was highest at the site closest to the Atlantic Ocean, Clapboard Creek, and lowest at the site farthest from the ocean, Durbin Creek. Annual mean salinity data from the main-stem sites on the St. Johns River indicate that salinity decreased with distance upstream from the ocean, which is expected. Relative to salinity for the 2016 water year, annual mean salinity in the tributaries was higher for the 2017 water year at four monitoring locations, lower at four monitoring locations, and the same at one location. Of the three sites where salinity was calculated on the main stem in the 2016 water year, salinity was higher at one monitoring location in the 2017 water year and lower at two locations.

Water priorities for the nation—The U.S. Geological Survey next generation water observing system

Released August 21, 2019 02:25 EST

2019, Fact Sheet 2019-3046

Sandra M. Eberts, Chad R. Wagner, Michael D. Woodside

The challenges of providing safe and sustainable water supplies for human and ecological uses and protecting lives and property during water emergencies are well recognized. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) plays an essential role in meeting these challenges through its observational networks and renowned water science and research activities (National Academies of Science, Engineering, and Medicine, 2018). Substantial advances in water science, together with emerging breakthroughs in technical and computational capabilities, have led the USGS to develop a Next Generation Water Observing System (NGWOS). The NGWOS will provide real-time data on water quantity and quality in more affordable and rapid ways than previously possible, and in more locations. The data will be served through a modernized USGS National Water Information System that will be coupled to advanced modeling tools to inform daily water operations, decision-making during water emergencies (like floods, droughts, and contaminant spills), assessments of past trends in water quantity and quality, and forecasts of future water availability.

The U.S. Geological Survey Southwest Biological Science Center—Sound science to serve the American Southwest

Released August 20, 2019 15:36 EST

2019, Fact Sheet 2019-3041

Southwest Biological Science Center Staff

Home to Arches, Grand Canyon, and Saguaro National Parks, among others, the American Southwest’s landscapes are as fragile as they are iconic. Energy development, water security, and grassland restoration are important to the region as it experiences population growth and increased demand for resources. The U.S. Geological Survey’s Southwest Biological Science Center provides sound scientific information to help identify effective management strategies for the Southwest’s abundant natural resources and vast public lands. Research is focused on two key areas—dryland ecology and river science.

Molecular identification of fecal contamination in the Elks Run Watershed, Jefferson County, West Virginia, 2016–17

Released August 20, 2019 15:30 EST

2019, Open-File Report 2019-1064

W. Bane Schill, Deborah D. Iwanowicz

The U.S. Geological Survey conducted a study using modern methods of molecular analysis aimed at attempting to identify the source(s) of fecal contamination that had been identified in previous studies conducted by the West Virginia Conservation Agency in the Elk Run watershed, Jefferson County, West Virginia. Water samples from multiple sites showing elevated fecal coliform counts were analyzed using molecular markers associated with general mammalian fecal contamination (AllBac), human Bacteroides (HF183), bovine Bacteroides (BoBac), and human polyomavirus (HPyV). Samples were also analyzed by quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) for human and bovine cytochrome b (mitochondrial DNA marker). A headwater site (Elk Branch at Shenandoah Junction) was found to be severely affected by both human and bovine contamination in May 2017. Although many of the molecular marker levels as well as Escherichia coli numbers had declined by a repeat sampling in June 2017, total coliform bacterial numbers remained high. Examination of the data indicated that this site had probably been affected by two separate contamination events, an influx of bovine contamination close to the time of the May sampling and a human contamination event that had occurred earlier. Samples from all sites contained bovine mitochondrial DNA, whereas only one revealed relatively high levels of human mitochondrial DNA. The Elk Run watershed appears to be widely affected by bovine influences with human influence episodically playing a role. Surface runoff caused by rain events exacerbates both.

Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, polychlorinated biphenyls, and metals in ambient sediment at mussel biomonitoring sites, Puget Sound, Washington

Released August 20, 2019 15:08 EST

2019, Open-File Report 2019-1087

Renee K. Takesue, Pamela L. Campbell‐Swarzenski, Kathleen E. Conn

Caged mussels used as biomonitors can provide insights about ambient contaminant assemblages and spatial patterns, sources of contaminants, and contaminant exposure risks for consumers of wild and farmed mussels. This study explored the potential role of ambient sediment in the uptake of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), and potentially toxic inorganic elements by caged mussels and complements findings from a Puget Sound-wide stormwater-contaminant mussel-monitoring survey in Washington State. In summary, ambient sediment appeared to be related to mussel uptake of lead and possibly copper at all sites, PCBs at industrial sites, and PAHs at Liberty Bay, Eagle Harbor, and, to a lesser extent, Smith Cove. These findings indicate that resuspended bed sediment is one, but not the only, pathway that filter-feeding mussels are exposed to contaminants. Overall, PAHs, PCBs, arsenic, and potentially toxic metals were low in intertidal bed sediment at the nine sites measured in Puget Sound in February 2016 and signify a low risk of sediment-bound contaminant exposure to mussels at those locations.

Optimum electrofishing waveforms and parameters to induce a capture-prone response in juvenile Grass Carp

Released August 20, 2019 14:52 EST

2019, North American Journal of Fisheries Management (39) 705-713

Andrew S Briggs, Jan C. Dean, James C. Boase, Patrick Kocovsky, James A. Luoma

Grass Carp (Ctenopharyngodon idella) are a non-native species to North America that were first introduced for vegetation control in the 1960s. However, wild-reproducing Grass Carp can negatively impact aquatic habitats and aquatic communities by consuming substantial amounts of aquatic vegetation and increasing turbidity. Numerous fisheries techniques have been used in an attempt to control or eradicate Grass Carp, including electrofishing. However, electrofishing efficiency for Grass Carp has been variable, and optimum electrofishing waveforms and parameters for inducing a capture-prone response have not been determined. The objective of this study was to determine the optimum electrofishing waveforms and parameters to induce a capture-prone response at various water temperatures and conductivities in juvenile Grass Carp in a controlled, laboratory setting. Results indicated that rectangular pulse waveforms with 60 to 100 Hz frequencies were most effective for immobilization of juvenile Grass Carp. All duty cycles tested (20 – 48%) at these frequencies were effective; although at 60 Hz and 80 Hz frequencies, 24% and 30% duty cycles, respectively, may be more effective. Water temperature was positively related to voltage gradient immobilization thresholds whereas ambient water conductivity and fish size were inversely related to voltage gradient immobilization thresholds. This study provides important information to those seeking to control, eradicate, or detect Grass Carp using electrofishing and provides a framework for future studies focusing on adult Grass Carp.

Spatial distribution of water level impact to back-barrier bays

Released August 20, 2019 14:48 EST

2019, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (19) 1823-1838

Alfredo Aretxabaleta, Neil Kamal Ganju, Zafer Defne, Richard P. Signell

Water level in semi-enclosed bays, landward of barrier islands, is mainly driven by offshore sea level fluctuations that are modulated by bay geometry and bathymetry, causing spatial variability in the ensuing response (transfer). Local wind setup can have a secondary role that depends on wind speed, fetch, and relative orientation of the wind direction and the bay. Inlet geometry and bathymetry primarily regulate the magnitude of the transfer between open ocean and bay. Tides and short-period offshore oscillations are more damped in the bays than longer-lasting offshore fluctuations, such as storm surge and sea level rise. We compare observed and modeled water levels at stations in a mid-Atlantic bay (Barnegat Bay) with offshore water level proxies. Observed water levels in Barnegat Bay are compared and combined with model results from the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) modeling system to evaluate the spatial structure of the water level transfer. Analytical models based on the dimensional characteristics of the bay are used to combine the observed data and the numerical model results in a physically consistent approach. Model water level transfers match observed values at locations inside the Bay in the storm frequency band (transfers ranging from 70-100%) and tidal frequencies (10-55%). The contribution of frequency-dependent local setup caused by wind acting along the bay is also considered. The approach provides transfer estimates for locations inside the Bay where observations were not available resulting in a complete spatial characterization. The approach allows for the study of the Bay response to alternative forcing scenarios (landscape changes, future storms, and rising sea level). Detailed spatial estimates of water level transfer can inform decisions on inlet management and contribute to the assessment of current and future flooding hazard in back-barrier bays and along mainland shorelines.

Monitoring of endangered Klamath Basin suckers translocated from Lake Ewauna to Upper Klamath Lake, Oregon, 2014−2017

Released August 20, 2019 11:48 EST

2019, Open-File Report 2019-1085

Nathan V. Banet, David A. Hewitt

Data from a 4-year capture and transport program were used to assess translocation as a management strategy for two long-lived, federally endangered catostomids in the Upper Klamath Basin, Oregon. Lost River (Deltistes luxatus) and shortnose (Chasmistes brevirostris) suckers, two species endemic to the Klamath Basin, were translocated from Lake Ewauna to Upper Klamath Lake in each of 4 years (2014–2017) in an effort to augment existing spawning populations in Upper Klamath Lake. Lake Ewauna, downstream of Upper Klamath Lake and connected to it by the Link River, has small populations of Lost River and shortnose suckers. Upper Klamath Lake has the largest remaining population of Lost River suckers and one of the largest remaining populations of shortnose suckers. Adult suckers were captured in Lake Ewauna, tagged with passive integrated transponder (PIT) tags, and translocated to the Williamson River, a spawning tributary that flows into Upper Klamath Lake. We monitored initial success of translocation efforts with encounters from remote PIT tag antennas and physical recaptures.

A total of 659 suckers were translocated from Lake Ewauna to the Williamson River (40 in 2014, 384 in 2015, 172 in 2016, and 63 in 2017). All individuals that were translocated were assumed to be one of the endangered taxa, but recaptures indicated that some translocated suckers were misidentified and were instead Klamath largescale suckers (Catostomus snyderi), a non-listed species that is also endemic to the Upper Klamath Basin. Other recaptures of translocated individuals revealed conflicts in species identification between the two endangered taxa as well. Due to species identification conflicts, we analyzed translocated individuals by cohort (year of translocation) and sex only. Specifically, we documented encounters of translocated individuals at spawning locations and throughout the Upper Klamath Lake watershed, analyzed frequency of return to spawning sites, assessed fidelity to spawning sites, and monitored migration timing over three full years (2015, 2016, and 2017). Remote PIT tag antennas at 11 sites and 5 physical capture locations were part of a monitoring network to re-encounter translocated individuals. In contrast to other years of the study, high flows in the Williamson River in 2017 prevented the installation of a river-wide weir and upstream trap with associated PIT-tag antennas that routinely detect large numbers of tagged fish. As a result, re-encounter probabilities in 2017 were expected to be lower than 2015 and 2016.

Airborne radiometric maps of Mountain Pass, California

Released August 20, 2019 11:01 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Map 3412-C

David A. Ponce, Kevin M. Denton

David A. Ponce, editor(s)

Geophysical investigations of Mountain Pass and vicinity were begun as part of an effort to study regional crustal structures as an aid to understanding the geologic framework and mineral resources of the eastern Mojave Desert. The study area encompasses Mountain Pass, host to one of the world’s largest rare earth element carbonatite deposits. The deposit is found along a north-northwest-trending, fault-bounded block that extends along the eastern parts of the Clark Mountain Range, Mescal Range, and Ivanpah Mountains. This Paleoproterozoic block is composed of a 1.7-Ga metamorphic complex of gneiss and schist that underwent widespread metamorphism and associated plutonism during the Ivanpah orogeny. The Paleoproterozoic rocks were intruded by a Mesoproterozoic (1.4 Ga) ultrapotassic alkaline intrusive suite and carbonatite body. The intrusive rocks include, from oldest to youngest, shonkinite, mesosyenite, syenite, quartz syenite, potassic granite, carbonatite, carbonatite dikes, and late shonkinite dikes.

The diverse physical properties of rocks that underlie the study area are well suited to geophysical investigations. Contrasts in radiogenic signatures between Paleoproterozoic crystalline basement, rocks of the Mesoproterozoic carbonatite body and the associated alkaline intrusive suite, Paleozoic carbonate rocks, Mesozoic granitoids, Tertiary volcanic rocks, and unconsolidated alluvium, for example, produce a distinctive pattern of radiometric anomalies that can aid in understanding the geologic framework and mineral resource potential of the eastern Mojave Desert.

A high-resolution radiometric survey of Mountain Pass was flown by helicopter over parts of the Clark Mountain Range, Mescal Range, and Ivanpah Mountains. Aeroradiometric surveys measure the intensity and energy spectrum of gamma-ray radiation from the three most common naturally occurring radioelements: potassium (40K), thorium (232Th), and uranium (238U). For 232Th and 238U, the source of the gamma-rays comes from their thallium (208Tl) and bismuth (214Bi) decay products, respectively, and, thus, concentrations for Th and U are referred to as “equivalent concentration,” assuming radioactive equilibrium. The concentrations of these radioelements can be used together to estimate changes in geochemistry and lithology.

Carbonatite deposits typically have distinctive geophysical signatures because they are relatively dense, magnetic, and radiogenic. Specifically, the carbonatite and alkaline intrusive suite at Mountain Pass is ultrapotassic and contains relatively significant amounts of K, Th, and U, which can be delineated using airborne radiometric surveys.

The effects of seasonal temperature and photoperiod manipulation on reproduction in the eastern elliptio Elliptio complanata

Released August 20, 2019 10:30 EST

2019, Journal of Shellfish Research (38) 379-384

Carrie J. Blakeslee, William A. Lellis

The eastern elliptio Elliptio complanata is a species of freshwater mussel common to streams and rivers of the Atlantic Coast. Egg fertilization, larval brooding, and glochidial release are reported to occur within a period of several weeks during early to midsummer. In this study, mussels were exposed to manipulated photoperiod and water temperatures to prolong the availability of glochidia for use in artificial propagation and research. Brooding mussels were collected from Pine Creek, Tioga County, PA, in late December and were housed in groups subjected to one of four environmental treatments: natural temperature and photoperiod, 6-wk delay in natural conditions, 12-wk delay in natural conditions, and natural temperature and photoperiod with a winter low of 10°C. Reproductive activity was monitored for 1 y. Mussels subjected to natural conditions released mature glochidia between 16°C and 19°C with a photoperiod of 15 h of light. Temperature and photoperiod delays of 6 and 12 wk delayed reproduction proportional to the treatment, and constant 10°C winter low temperatures slightly shifted the timing of glochidial release. Survival during the study was high (96%–100%). Data indicate that the seasonal availability of E. complanata glochidia can be extended 3-fold using photoperiod and temperature manipulation.

Estimates of long-term mean daily streamflow and annual nutrient and suspended-sediment loads considered for use in regional SPARROW models of the Conterminous United States, 2012 base year

Released August 19, 2019 15:45 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5069

David A. Saad, Gregory E. Schwarz, Denise M. Argue, David W. Anning, Scott A. Ator, Anne B. Hoos, Stephen D. Preston, Dale M. Robertson, Daniel Wise

Streamflow, nutrient, and sediment concentration data needed to estimate long-term mean daily streamflow and annual constituent loads were compiled from Federal, State, Tribal, and regional agencies, universities, and nongovernmental organizations. The streamflow and loads are used to develop Spatially Referenced Regressions on Watershed Attributes (SPARROW) models. SPARROW models help describe the distribution, sources, and transport of streamflow, nutrients, and sediment in streams throughout five regions of the conterminous United States. After the data were screened, approximately 5,200 streamflow, 3,000 sediment, and 3,300 nutrient sites, sampled by 137 agencies and organizations were identified as having suitable data for calculating the long-term mean daily streamflow and annual nutrient and sediment loads required for SPARROW model estimation. These sites are representative of a wide range in terms of watershed size, contaminant source types, and land-use and other important watershed characteristics. The methods used to estimate long-term mean annual loads include the Beale ratio estimator and Fluxmaster regression method with Kalman smoothing.

Water-quality and geochemical variability in the Little Arkansas River and Equus Beds aquifer, south-central Kansas, 2001–16

Released August 19, 2019 10:37 EST

2019, Fact Sheet 2019-3017

Mandy L. Stone, Brian J. Klager, Andrew C. Ziegler

This fact sheet describes water quality and geochemistry of the Little Arkansas River and Equus Beds aquifer during 2001 through 2016 as part of the City of Wichita’s Equus Beds aquifer storage and recovery project in south-central Kansas. The Equus Beds aquifer storage and recovery project was developed to help meet future water demand by pumping water out of the Little Arkansas River (during above-base-flow conditions), treating it using National Primary Drinking Water Regulations as a guideline, and injecting it into the aquifer for later use. Water-quality data were collected and analyzed by the U.S. Geological Survey from 2 Little Arkansas River surface-water sites and 63 Equus Beds groundwater sites, including 38 areal assessment index wells, each of which has a shallow well and a deep well. About 4,700 surface and groundwater samples were collected and analyzed for more than 300 water-quality constituents. About 1,300 groundwater chemistry samples were geochemically modeled. Constituents of concern in the Equus Beds aquifer exceeded their respective Federal criteria throughout the study period and included chloride, sulfate, nitrate plus nitrite, Escherichia coli (E. coli), total coliforms, and dissolved iron and arsenic species.

Water-quality and geochemical variability in the Little Arkansas River and Equus aquifer, south-central Kansas, 2001–16

Released August 19, 2019 10:36 EST

2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5026

Mandy L. Stone, Brian J. Klager, Andrew C. Ziegler

The city of Wichita’s water supply currently (2019) comes from two primary sources: Cheney Reservoir and the Equus Beds aquifer. The Equus Beds aquifer storage and recovery project was developed to help the city of Wichita meet increasing future water demands. Source water for artificial recharge comes from the Little Arkansas River during above-base-flow conditions, is treated using National Primary Drinking Water Regulations as a guideline, and is injected into the Equus Beds aquifer through recharge wells or surface spreading basins for later use. The Equus Beds aquifer storage and recovery project currently (2019) consists of two coexisting phases. Phase I began in 2007 and captures Little Arkansas River water and indirect streambank diversion well water for aquifer recharge using 4 wells and 2 recharge basins. Phase II began in 2013 and currently (2019) includes a surface-water treatment facility, a river intake facility, eight recharge injection wells, and a third recharge basin. The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the City of Wichita, completed this study to summarize water-quality and geochemical variability of the Equus Beds aquifer. Data in this report can be used to establish baseline conditions before implementing artificial aquifer recharge further, document groundwater quality, evaluate changing conditions, identify environmental factors affecting groundwater, provide science-based information for decision making, and help meet regulatory monitoring requirements.

Physicochemical properties were measured and water-quality data were collected from 2 Little Arkansas River surface-water sites and 63 Equus Beds aquifer groundwater sites, including 38 areal assessment index wells (IWs) during 2001 through 2016. Data collection included discrete samples and additional continuous measurements at selected sites. Discretely collected samples were analyzed for physicochemical properties, dissolved solids, primary ions, nutrients (nitrogen and phosphorus species), organic carbon, indicator bacteria, trace elements, arsenic species, organic compounds, and radioactivity. This report focuses discussion on aquifer water quality. Federal drinking-water criteria were used to evaluate aquifer water quality. Primary drinking-water criteria are those that are enforceable for public drinking water. Secondary criteria are those that can cause aesthetics or tastes that are unpleasant.

Continuously collected data at a subset of sites included streamflow, groundwater levels, water temperature, specific conductance, pH, oxidation-reduction potential (ORP), dissolved oxygen, turbidity, nitrate plus nitrite, and fluorescent dissolved organic matter. Continuous measurement of physicochemical properties in near-real time allowed characterization of Little Arkansas River surface water and Equus Beds aquifer groundwater during conditions and time scales that would not have been possible otherwise and served as a complement to discrete water-quality sampling. During 2001 through 2016, less than 1 percent of chloride and nitrate plus nitrite, 7 percent of dissolved iron, 48 percent of dissolved manganese, 12 percent of dissolved arsenic, and 39 percent of atrazine detections in surface-water samples exceeded their respective Federal primary or secondary drinking-water criteria. None of the surface-water samples collected exceeded the Federal sulfate criterion, and every sample had detections of total coliform bacteria during the study.

Constituents of concern in the Equus Beds aquifer exceeded their respective Federal criteria throughout the study period and included chloride, sulfate, nitrate plus nitrite, Escherichia coli (E. coli), total coliforms, and dissolved iron and arsenic species. About 5 percent of shallow (less than 80 feet) and 7 percent of deep (greater than 80 feet) IW chloride sample concentrations exceeded the secondary Federal criterion of 250 milligrams per liter (mg/L). Chloride tended to exceed its criterion in shallow and deep wells along the Arkansas River and near Burrton, Kansas, an area with past oil and gas activities. Chloride concentrations near Burrton were larger in the deep parts of the aquifer. About 18 percent of shallow and 13 percent of deep IW sulfate sample concentrations exceeded the secondary Federal criterion of 250 mg/L. Mean sulfate concentrations tended to exceed the criterion in the central part of the study area. Shallow IW mean nitrate plus nitrite (hereafter referred to as “nitrate”) was substantially larger than mean deep IW nitrate. Geochemical conditions in the deeper aquifer reduced forms of nitrogen to species such as ammonia. About 15 percent of shallow and less than 1 percent of deep IW nitrate sample concentrations exceeded the Federal criterion of 10 mg/L. Mean shallow IW nitrate concentrations exceeded the criterion in the northeastern and southeastern parts of the study area; on average, deep IW nitrate concentrations did not exceed the criterion. E. coli and fecal coliform bacteria detections were usually at or near the detection limit. E. coli was detected in 3 percent of shallow and deep IWs, and fecal coliform bacteria were detected in 8 percent of shallow and 6 percent of deep IWs. Total coliforms were detected in 24 percent of shallow and 12 percent of deep IWs. E. coli coliphage was detected in two shallow IW samples (1 percent of samples) at the detection limit and was not detected in deep IW samples.

Dissolved iron was detected in 51 percent of shallow and 62 percent of deep IW samples. Dissolved iron concentrations exceeded the secondary Federal criterion of 0.3 mg/L in 38 percent of shallow and 46 percent of deep IW samples. Mean dissolved iron concentrations were largest mostly in the central and northwest part of the study area corresponding to an area of the aquifer where aquifer material is more clay-rich. The distribution of large dissolved iron concentrations was similar to that of large sulfate concentrations. About 55 percent of shallow and 92 percent of deep IW dissolved manganese samples exceeded the secondary Federal criterion of 0.05 mg/L. Almost all samples from the central and northern parts of the study area had mean dissolved manganese concentrations that exceeded the Federal criterion in the shallow part of the aquifer. Mean dissolved manganese concentrations in the shallow part of the aquifer were substantially large (greater than 1,000 micrograms per liter [μg/L]) in wells near the Little Arkansas River and in the central part of the study area because of chemically reducing conditions in the aquifer that likely related to larger percentages of clay in the aquifer material.

Concentrations of dissolved arsenic species generally were larger in the deep parts of the aquifer. Arsenite was the dominant form of arsenic on average in shallow (52 percent) and deep (55 percent) IWs. About 12 percent of shallow and 34 percent of deep IW dissolved arsenic sample concentrations exceeded the Federal primary drinking criterion of 10 μg/L. Shallow IW dissolved arsenic concentrations were larger near the Little Arkansas River and the center of the study area; large shallow IW dissolved arsenic concentrations (10–50 μg/L) in the center of the study area correspond to areas that have had the most water-level recovery since the historical low in 1993. Mean ORP in shallow IWs generally decreased with increasing water-level depths and were inversely related to mean dissolved arsenic concentrations because of more reducing conditions (smaller ORP) at larger depths below the land surface. Larger dissolved arsenic concentrations in the shallow parts of the aquifer were associated with decreases in water levels and a subsequent decrease in ORP and thus more reducing conditions.

Atrazine was detected in about 58 percent of shallow and 28 percent of deep IWs and did not exceed the primary Federal criterion of 3 μg/L in any groundwater samples. Atrazine concentrations in shallow IWs generally were largest in the northwest part of the study area near the North Branch Kisiwa Creek, and atrazine concentrations in deep IWs generally were largest most often in the southern part of the study area. Gross α radioactivity concentrations exceeded the primary Federal criterion of 15 picocuries per liter in 4 percent of shallow IW samples. Gross α and gross β radioactivity concentrations generally were larger in the southern third of the aquifer.

Most groundwater-sample-simulated minerals saturation indices (SIs) were consistently negative (undersaturated). Minerals that had SI values that were consistently or typically positive (oversaturated) included iron oxide, hydroxide, and quartz-group minerals. Several SI values for arsenic- and manganese-bearing minerals were consistently negative. Some manganese-bearing mineral SI values ranged from undersaturated to oversaturated in shallow and deep IWs during the study. Several carbonate minerals in shallow and deep IWs varied across their equilibrium state. Calcite SI values were larger more often in the deep parts of the aquifer and did not show a clear distributional pattern. Mean and median calcite SI values for shallow and deep IWs were negative (undersaturated) indicating the potential for calcite dissolution if calcite is present for a substantial part of the study period. However, some individual calcite SI values in this study indicated saturation and subsequent calcite precipitation may occur in the study area, potentially resulting in formation of calcite mineral deposits that may reduce efficiency of injection wells. SI values with respect to iron hydroxide varied across their equilibrium states. Mean and median SI values with respect to iron hydroxide were undersaturated in shallow and deep IWs; however, some samples had positive SI values indicating there is potential for iron hydroxide precipitation, possibly caused by leaching and oxidation of iron-containing minerals, like pyrite, in the aquifer material.

Temporal changes in avian community composition in lowland conifer habitats at the southern edge of the boreal zone in the Adirondack Park, NY

Released August 19, 2019 09:55 EST

2019, PLoS ONE (14)

Michale Glennon, Stephen Langdon, Madeleine A. Rubenstein, Molly S. Cross

Climate change represents one of the most significant threats to human and wildlife communities on the planet. Populations at range margins or transitions between biomes can be particularly instructive for observing changes in biological communities that may be driven by climate change. Avian communities in lowland boreal habitats in the Adirondack Park, located at the North American boreal-temperate ecotone, have been the focus of long-term monitoring efforts since 2007. By documenting long-term changes in community structure and composition, such datasets provide an opportunity to understand how boreal species are responding differently to climate change, and which habitat characteristics may be best able to retain boreal avian communities. We examined three specific questions in order to address how well current biological communities in Adirondack boreal wetland habitats are being maintained in a changing climate: (1) how do trends in occupancy vary across species, and what guilds or characteristics are associated with increasing or decreasing occupancy? (2) how is avian community composition changing differently across sites, and (3) what distinguishes sites which are retaining boreal birds to a higher degree than other sites? Our analysis revealed that (1) boreal species appear to exhibit the largest changes in occupancy among our study locations as compared to the larger avian community, (2) dynamics of community change are not uniform across sites and habitat structure may play an important role in driving observed changes, and (3) the particular characteristics of large open peatlands may allow them to serve as refugia for boreal species in the context of climate change.

Incorporating uncertainty and risk into decision making to reduce nitrogen inputs to impaired waters

Released August 18, 2019 12:02 EST

2019, Journal of Environmental Management (249)

David M. Martin, Fred Johnson

This article aims to understand decision making under uncertainty and risk, with a case study on Cape Cod, Massachusetts. Decision makers need to consider imperfect information on the cost and effectiveness of advanced nitrogen-removing on-site wastewater treatment systems as options to mitigate water quality degradation. Research included modeling nitrogen load reduction to impaired coastal waters from seven treatment system technologies and eliciting expert knowledge on their costs. Predictions of nitrogen load removal and cost for each technology incorporated variation in effectiveness and uncertainty in household water use, costs, and expert confidence in costs. The predictions were evaluated using the Pareto efficiency concept to reveal tradeoffs between cost and effectiveness. The stochastic dominance index was used to identify preferred technologies for risk-averse decision making, assuming no further learning is possible. Lastly, the predictions were combined into a cost-effectiveness metric to estimate the expected payoff of implementing the best treatment system in the face of uncertainty and the expected payoff of learning which treatment systems are most cost-effective over time. The expected value of perfect information was calculated as the difference between the expected payoffs. Three technologies revealed Pareto efficient tradeoffs between cost and effectiveness, whereas one technology was the preferred risk-averse option in the absence of future learning. There was a high expected value of perfect information, which could motivate adaptive management on Cape Cod. This research demonstrated decision analysis methods to guide future research and decision making toward meeting water quality objectives and reducing uncertainty.