Forecasting California’s earthquakes

Earthquakes & Volcanoes (USGS)


  • The Publications Warehouse does not have links to digital versions of this publication at this time
  • Download citation as: RIS | Dublin Core


The first official earthquake forecast for California emphasizes the broad extent of the hazard and the uncertainties involved in predicting the next quakes.

For the first time, researchers have reached to a consensus on the threat of large earthquakes to California, things look no worse for Los Angles than before. It still has about a 60 percent chance of being shaken by a large earthquake sometime during the next 30 years. But other heavily populated areas of California, such as San Bernardino and the East Bay area of San Francisco, are now getting their fair share of attention. The new consensus also points up the considerable uncertainties invloved in earthquake forecasting. 

Study Area

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Forecasting California’s earthquakes
Series title Earthquakes & Volcanoes (USGS)
Volume 20
Issue 3
Year Published 1988
Language English
Publisher U.S Geological Survey
Description 6 p.
First page 114
Last page 119
Country United States
State California
Online Only (Y/N) N
Additional Online Files (Y/N) N
Google Analytic Metrics Metrics page
Additional publication details