Forecasting California’s earthquakes
Earthquakes & Volcanoes (USGS)
By: R. A. Kerr
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Abstract
The first official earthquake forecast for California emphasizes the broad extent of the hazard and the uncertainties involved in predicting the next quakes.
For the first time, researchers have reached to a consensus on the threat of large earthquakes to California, things look no worse for Los Angles than before. It still has about a 60 percent chance of being shaken by a large earthquake sometime during the next 30 years. But other heavily populated areas of California, such as San Bernardino and the East Bay area of San Francisco, are now getting their fair share of attention. The new consensus also points up the considerable uncertainties invloved in earthquake forecasting.
Study Area
| Publication type | Article |
|---|---|
| Publication Subtype | Journal Article |
| Title | Forecasting California’s earthquakes |
| Series title | Earthquakes & Volcanoes (USGS) |
| Volume | 20 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Year Published | 1988 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | U.S Geological Survey |
| Description | 6 p. |
| First page | 114 |
| Last page | 119 |
| Country | United States |
| State | California |
| Online Only (Y/N) | N |
| Additional Online Files (Y/N) | N |
| Google Analytic Metrics | Metrics page |