Differences in flood hazard projections in Europe – their causes and consequences for decision making

Hydrological Sciences Journal/Journal des Sciences Hydrologiques
By: , and 

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Abstract

This paper interprets differences in flood hazard projections over Europe and identifies likely sources of discrepancy. Further, it discusses potential implications of these differences for flood risk reduction and adaptation to climate change. The discrepancy in flood hazard projections raises caution, especially among decision makers in charge of water resources management, flood risk reduction, and climate change adaptation at regional to local scales. Because it is naïve to expect availability of trustworthy quantitative projections of future flood hazard, in order to reduce flood risk one should focus attention on mapping of current and future risks and vulnerability hotspots and improve the situation there. Although an intercomparison of flood hazard projections is done in this paper and differences are identified and interpreted, it does not seems possible to recommend which large-scale studies may be considered most credible in particular areas of Europe.

Additional publication details

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Differences in flood hazard projections in Europe – their causes and consequences for decision making
Series title Hydrological Sciences Journal/Journal des Sciences Hydrologiques
DOI 10.1080/02626667.2016.1241398
Volume 62
Issue 1
Year Published 2017
Language English
Publisher Taylor & Francis
Contributing office(s) National Research Program - Eastern Branch
Description 14 p.
First page 1
Last page 14