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Projected 21st century coastal flooding in the Southern California Bight. Part 1: Development of the third generation CoSMoS model

Journal of Marine Science and Engineering

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https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse6020059

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Abstract

Due to the effects of climate change over the course of the next century, the combination of rising sea levels, severe storms, and coastal change will threaten the sustainability of coastal communities, development, and ecosystems as we know them today. To clearly identify coastal vulnerabilities and develop appropriate adaptation strategies due to projected increased levels of coastal flooding and erosion, coastal managers need local-scale hazards projections using the best available climate and coastal science. In collaboration with leading scientists world-wide, the USGS designed the Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) to assess the coastal impacts of climate change for the California coast, including the combination of sea-level rise, storms, and coastal change. In this project, we directly address the needs of coastal resource managers in Southern California by integrating a vast range of global climate change projections in a thorough and comprehensive numerical modeling framework. In Part 1 of a two-part submission on CoSMoS, methods and the latest improvements are discussed, and an example of hazard projections is presented.

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Additional publication details

Publication type:
Article
Publication Subtype:
Journal Article
Title:
Projected 21st century coastal flooding in the Southern California Bight. Part 1: Development of the third generation CoSMoS model
Series title:
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
DOI:
10.3390/jmse6020059
Volume:
6
Issue:
2
Year Published:
2018
Language:
English
Publisher:
MDPI
Contributing office(s):
Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center
Description:
Article 59; 31 p.
First page:
1
Last page:
31